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Quebec

Sainte-Rose


MNA: Christopher Skeete

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Likely LIB gain
Sainte-Rose 32% ± 7%▲ LIB 23% ± 6%▲ PQ 22% ± 5%▼ CAQ 12% ± 4%▼ CPQ 9% ± 4% QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 38.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sainte-Rose 95% LIB 3%▲ PQ 2%▼ CAQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sainte-Rose

LIB 32% ± 7% PQ 23% ± 6% CAQ 22% ± 5% QS 9% ± 4% CPQ 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Sainte-Rose 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 42% LIB 26% QS 13% CPQ 10% PQ 8% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 42% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 41% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 41% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 41% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 41% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 40% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 40% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 40% LIB 25% QS 13% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 12% QS 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 40% LIB 25% QS 12% CPQ 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 40% LIB 25% QS 12% CPQ 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 12% QS 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 7% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 7% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 39% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 39% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 39% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 7% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 40% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 7% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 38% LIB 24% CPQ 13% QS 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 39% LIB 21% CPQ 14% QS 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 39% LIB 21% CPQ 14% QS 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 39% LIB 21% CPQ 14% QS 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 39% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 13% PQ 10% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 41% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 40% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 38% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 11% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 39% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 11% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 39% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 12% PQ 11% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 39% LIB 22% CPQ 13% QS 12% PQ 11% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 39% LIB 22% CPQ 13% QS 12% PQ 12% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 39% LIB 22% CPQ 13% PQ 12% QS 12% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 38% LIB 24% QS 14% PQ 12% CPQ 9% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 38% LIB 24% PQ 14% QS 14% CPQ 8% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 38% LIB 24% PQ 14% QS 14% CPQ 8% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 38% LIB 24% PQ 16% QS 15% CPQ 7% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 38% LIB 23% PQ 16% QS 16% CPQ 7% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 38% LIB 25% QS 15% PQ 15% CPQ 6% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 39% LIB 24% PQ 16% QS 14% CPQ 6% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 39% LIB 24% PQ 16% QS 14% CPQ 6% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 35% LIB 23% PQ 18% QS 13% CPQ 9% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 33% LIB 26% PQ 16% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 33% LIB 26% PQ 16% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 32% LIB 26% PQ 17% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 27% CAQ 26% PQ 23% QS 13% CPQ 9% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 26% CAQ 26% PQ 24% QS 14% CPQ 9% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 28% PQ 26% CAQ 22% QS 13% CPQ 9% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 28% PQ 25% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 28% PQ 26% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 28% PQ 27% CAQ 23% QS 12% CPQ 8% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 33% PQ 25% CAQ 24% QS 10% CPQ 8% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 34% PQ 23% CAQ 22% QS 9% CPQ 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 33% CAQ 25% PQ 22% QS 9% CPQ 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 33% CAQ 24% PQ 23% QS 10% CPQ 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 32% CAQ 25% PQ 20% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 31% CAQ 23% PQ 21% CPQ 13% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Sainte-Rose

LIB 95% PQ 3% CAQ 2% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 92% LIB 8% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 92% LIB 8% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 89% LIB 11% PQ <1% QS <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 59% CAQ 34% PQ 7% QS <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 46% CAQ 41% PQ 13% QS <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 67% PQ 30% CAQ 4% QS <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 65% PQ 20% CAQ 15% QS <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 62% PQ 28% CAQ 11% QS <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 58% PQ 38% CAQ 4% QS <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 93% PQ 5% CAQ 3% QS <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 97% PQ 2% CAQ 1% QS <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 95% CAQ 5% PQ 1% QS <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 94% CAQ 4% PQ 2% QS <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 90% CAQ 10% PQ <1% QS <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 95% CAQ 4% PQ 1% QS <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 95% PQ 3% CAQ 2% QS <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Sainte-Rose



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 24.0% 36.9% 38.5% 22% ± 5% LIB 42.2% 30.2% 24.0% 32% ± 7% QS 5.8% 13.8% 14.3% 9% ± 4% PQ 27.3% 14.4% 12.4% 23% ± 6% CPQ 0.0% 1.2% 9.4% 12% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.