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Quebec

Sainte-Rose


MNA: Christopher Skeete (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Sainte-Rose


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 44% ± 7% 42.2% 30.2% 24.0% PQ 20% ± 5% 27.3% 14.4% 12.4% CAQ 16% ± 5% 24.0% 36.9% 38.5% CPQ 10% ± 4% 0.0% 1.2% 9.4% QS 7% ± 3% 5.8% 13.8% 14.3%




338Canada projection for Sainte-Rose


Sainte-Rose 44% ± 7% LIB 20% ± 5%▲ PQ 16% ± 5%▼ CAQ 10% ± 4% CPQ 7% ± 3% QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 38.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sainte-Rose >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sainte-Rose

LIB 44% ± 7% PQ 20% ± 5% CAQ 16% ± 5% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Sainte-Rose 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 28% PQ 25% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 28% PQ 26% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 28% PQ 27% CAQ 23% QS 12% CPQ 8% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 33% PQ 25% CAQ 24% QS 10% CPQ 8% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 34% PQ 23% CAQ 22% QS 9% CPQ 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 33% CAQ 25% PQ 22% QS 9% CPQ 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 33% CAQ 24% PQ 23% QS 10% CPQ 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 32% CAQ 25% PQ 20% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 31% CAQ 23% PQ 21% CPQ 13% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 32% PQ 24% CAQ 21% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 30% CAQ 23% PQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 34% CAQ 23% PQ 20% CPQ 13% QS 8% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 35% CAQ 23% PQ 20% CPQ 13% QS 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 35% CAQ 24% PQ 19% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 34% CAQ 24% PQ 19% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 37% CAQ 23% PQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 44% PQ 18% CAQ 17% CPQ 10% QS 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 44% PQ 20% CAQ 16% CPQ 10% QS 7% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Sainte-Rose

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 65% CAQ 15% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 62% CAQ 11% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 58% CAQ 4% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 93% CAQ 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 97% CAQ 1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 95% CAQ 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 94% CAQ 4% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 90% CAQ 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 95% CAQ 4% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 95% CAQ 2% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 95% CAQ 1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 91% CAQ 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 98% CAQ 2% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 99% CAQ 1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 98% CAQ 2% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader