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Quebec


Sainte-Rose


MNA: Christopher Skeete (CAQ)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Likely CAQ hold
Sainte-Rose 33% ± 7%▼ 26% ± 6%▲ 16% ± 5%▼ 13% ± 4% 10% ± 4%▲ CAQ 2022 38.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Sainte-Rose 92%▼ 8%▲ <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sainte-Rose

LIB 26% ± 6% PQ 16% ± 5% CAQ 33% ± 7% QS 13% ± 4% QCP 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Sainte-Rose 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Sainte-Rose

LIB 8% PQ <1% CAQ 92% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Sainte-Rose



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 24.0% 36.9% 38.5% 33% ± 7% LIB 42.2% 30.2% 24.0% 26% ± 6% QS 5.8% 13.8% 14.3% 13% ± 4% PQ 27.3% 14.4% 12.4% 16% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 1.2% 9.4% 10% ± 4% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%