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Recent electoral history | Chapleau


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection CAQ 28% ± 7% 14.8% 40.9% 52.3% LIB 28% ± 6% 57.7% 31.9% 13.4% PQ 22% ± 5% 18.7% 9.1% 9.5% CPQ 12% ± 4% 0.0% 1.5% 10.4% QS 10% ± 4% 5.9% 15.8% 13.3%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Chapleau projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Chapleau 21% 34% 28% ± 7% CAQ 21% 34% 28% ± 6% LIB 16% 27% 22% ± 5% PQ 8% 16% 12% ± 4% CPQ 6% 14% 10% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 52.275% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chapleau 51%▲ CAQ 47%▼ LIB 2% PQ Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Chapleau

Odds of winning | Chapleau


>99% <1% 34% ± 6% 66% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Chapleau YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026