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Quebec


Nicolet-Bécancour


MNA: Donald Martel (CAQ)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

Leaning CAQ hold
Nicolet-Bécancour 35% ± 8%▼ 31% ± 7%▲ 18% ± 6% 10% ± 4%▲ 5% ± 3% CAQ 2022 47.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Nicolet-Bécancour 75%▼ 25%▲ <1% Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nicolet-Bécancour

LIB 5% ± 3% PQ 31% ± 7% CAQ 35% ± 8% QS 10% ± 4% QCP 18% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Nicolet-Bécancour 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Nicolet-Bécancour

LIB <1% PQ 25% CAQ 75% QS <1% QCP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Nicolet-Bécancour



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 38.6% 55.3% 47.1% 35% ± 8% QCP 1.2% 2.0% 22.2% 18% ± 6% PQ 22.3% 15.7% 17.2% 31% ± 7% QS 7.9% 12.3% 8.8% 10% ± 4% LIB 27.8% 12.6% 4.7% 5% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%