Quebec Conservative Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Beauce-Sud		Toss up CAQ/QCP	34%
2.	Beauce-Nord		Toss up CAQ/QCP	33%
3.	Chauveau		Toss up CAQ/QCP	32%
4.	Lotbinière-Frontenac		Likely CAQ hold	9%
5.	Vanier-Les Rivières		Likely CAQ hold	7%
6.	Charlesbourg		Likely CAQ hold	7%
7.	La Peltrie		Likely CAQ hold	6%
8.	Bellechasse		Likely CAQ hold	4%
9.	Portneuf		Likely CAQ hold	3%
10.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière		Likely CAQ hold	2%
11.	Lévis		Likely CAQ hold	2%
12.	Montmorency		Likely CAQ hold	2%