Quebec Conservative Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party

	Dstricts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Beauce-Sud	PCQ safe	>99%
2.	Beauce-Nord	PCQ safe	>99%
3.	Bellechasse	PCQ likely	97%
4.	Chauveau	PCQ leaning	85%
5.	La Peltrie	PCQ leaning	83%
6.	Lotbinière-Frontenac	PCQ leaning	77%
7.	Portneuf	Toss up PQ/CPQ	48%
8.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière	Toss up PQ/CPQ	36%
9.	Montmorency	Leaning PQ	20%
10.	Mégantic	Likely PQ	5%
11.	Côte-du-Sud	Likely PQ	1%
12.	Arthabaska-L’Érable	Likely PQ	1%