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Quebec Conservative Party

Latest update: December 19, 2025
LeaderÉric Duhaime
National popular vote in 202212.9%
Current vote projection14.9% ± 2.4%
Current number of MNA's0
Current seat projection7 [4-11]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | December 19, 2025 15 10 5 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% Vote efficiency | CPQ 338Canada ©2023 1.2 seat/% [4-11] 15% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | December 19, 2025

9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 12.5% 2022 12.9% 14.9% ± 2.4% Max. 17.4% Probabilities % CPQ December 19, 2025

Seat projection | December 19, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 20% 15% 10% 5% 2022 0 seats Min. 4 7 Max. 11 Probabilities % CPQ December 19, 2025

List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Luc Provençal
C PCQ safe
2.
Samuel Poulin
C PCQ safe
3.
Stéphanie Lachance
C PCQ likely
4.
Isabelle Lecours
C PCQ likely
5.
Sylvain Lévesque
C PCQ leaning
6.
Éric Caire
C PCQ leaning
7.
Vincent Caron
C PCQ leaning
8.
Martine Biron
C Toss up PQ/CPQ
9.
Jean-François Simard
C Toss up PQ/CPQ
10.
François Jacques
C Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
11.
Mathieu Rivest
C Likely PQ
12.
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
13.
Mario Asselin
C Likely PQ
14.
Bernard Drainville
C Likely PQ
15.
Jonatan Julien
C Likely PQ
16.
Donald Martel
C Likely PQ
17.
Alice Abou-Khalil
C Likely LIB
18.
André Bachand
C Likely PQ
19.
Sonia LeBel
C Toss up PQ/CAQ