Quebec Conservative Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	La Peltrie	PCQ safe gain	>99%
2.	Bellechasse	PCQ likely gain	99%
3.	Chauveau	PCQ likely gain	99%
4.	Portneuf	PCQ likely gain	98%
5.	Beauce-Nord	PCQ likely gain	97%
6.	Montmorency	PCQ likely gain	96%
7.	Beauce-Sud	PCQ likely gain	95%
8.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière	PCQ leaning gain	90%
9.	Lotbinière-Frontenac	PCQ leaning gain	86%
10.	Vanier-Les Rivières	Toss up PQ/CPQ	35%
11.	Charlesbourg	Leaning PQ gain	20%
12.	Arthabaska	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ	17%
13.	Lévis	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ	16%
14.	Côte-du-Sud	Toss up PQ/CAQ	5%
15.	Mégantic	Toss up PQ/CAQ	1%