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Quebec Conservative Party

Latest update: March 5, 2026
LeaderÉric Duhaime
National popular vote in 202212.9%
Current vote projection15.2% ± 2.4%
Current number of MNA's0
Current seat projection11 [6-15]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | March 5, 2026 20 15 10 5 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% Vote efficiency | CPQ 338Canada ©2023 1.6 seat/% [6-15] 15% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | March 5, 2026

10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 12.8% 2022 12.9% 15.2% ± 2.4% Max. 17.6% Probabilities % CPQ March 5, 2026

Seat projection | March 5, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 2022 0 seats Min. 6 11 Max. 15 Probabilities % CPQ March 5, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ safe
2.
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ safe
3.
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
4.
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ likely
5.
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
6.
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
7.
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
8.
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
9.
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/CPQ
10.
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
11.
Mathieu Rivest
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
12.
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
13.
Mario Asselin
CA Leaning PQ
14.
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
15.
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
16.
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
17.
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
18.
André Bachand
CA Likely LIB
19.
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Safe PQ
20.
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
21.
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
22. CA Safe PQ
23.
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Safe PQ
24.
Simon Allaire
CA Safe PQ
25.
Audrey Bogemans
CA Likely PQ