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Quebec Conservative Party

Latest update: June 18, 2026
LeaderÉric Duhaime
National popular vote in 202212.9%
Current vote projection12.9% ± 2.1%
Current number of MNA's1
Current seat projection9 [5-13]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 18, 2026 15 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% Vote efficiency | CPQ 338Canada ©2023 1.5 seat/% [5-13] 13% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | June 18, 2026

8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 10.7% 2022 12.9% 12.9% ± 2.1% Max. 15.0% Probabilities % CPQ June 18, 2026

Seat projection | June 18, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 20% 15% 10% 5% 2022 0 seats Min. 5 9 Max. 13 Probabilities % CPQ June 18, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ safe
2.
Éric Caire
CA PCQ likely
3.
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ likely
4.
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ likely
5.
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
6.
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ leaning
7.
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ leaning
8.
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
9.
Jean-François Simard
CA PCQ leaning
10.
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
11.
François Jacques
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
12.
Mario Asselin
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
13.
Mathieu Rivest
CA Leaning PQ
14.
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
15.
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
16.
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Safe PQ
17.
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Leaning PQ
18.
André Bachand
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
19.
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ