Quebec Conservative Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Beauce-Nord	PCQ safe	>99%
2.	Beauce-Sud	PCQ safe	>99%
3.	Bellechasse	PCQ likely	>99%
4.	Chauveau	PCQ likely	99%
5.	Lotbinière-Frontenac	PCQ likely	98%
6.	La Peltrie	PCQ likely	96%
7.	Portneuf	PCQ leaning	86%
8.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière	PCQ leaning	73%
9.	Arthabaska	Toss up PQ/CPQ	49%
10.	Montmorency	Toss up PQ/CPQ	46%
11.	Mégantic	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ	26%
12.	Côte-du-Sud	Leaning PQ	11%
13.	Lévis	Likely PQ	2%
14.	Charlesbourg	Likely PQ	2%
15.	Nicolet-Bécancour	Likely PQ	1%
16.	Vanier-Les Rivières	Likely PQ	1%