Quebec Conservative Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Beauce-Nord	PCQ safe	>99%
2.	Beauce-Sud	PCQ safe	>99%
3.	Bellechasse	PCQ likely	>99%
4.	Lotbinière-Frontenac	PCQ likely	99%
5.	Chauveau	PCQ likely	99%
6.	La Peltrie	PCQ likely	98%
7.	Portneuf	PCQ leaning	88%
8.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière	PCQ leaning	76%
9.	Montmorency	Toss up PQ/CPQ	51%
10.	Arthabaska	Toss up PQ/CPQ	49%
11.	Mégantic	Toss up PQ/CPQ	39%
12.	Côte-du-Sud	Leaning PQ	22%
13.	Lévis	Likely PQ	3%
14.	Nicolet-Bécancour	Likely PQ	3%
15.	Charlesbourg	Likely PQ	2%
16.	Vanier-Les Rivières	Likely PQ	2%