Quebec Conservative Party
Latest update: February 3, 2026
| Leader | Éric Duhaime |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 12.9% |
| Current vote projection | 14.9% ± 2.5% |
| Current number of MNA's | 0 |
| Current seat projection | 8 [4-13] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | February 3, 2026
Seat projection | February 3, 2026
List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party
| Electoral districts | Current party | Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Samuel Poulin
|
PCQ safe | |
| 2. | Luc Provençal
|
PCQ safe | |
| 3. | Isabelle Lecours
|
PCQ likely | |
| 4. | Stéphanie Lachance
|
PCQ likely | |
| 5. | Sylvain Lévesque
|
PCQ leaning | |
| 6. | Éric Caire
|
PCQ leaning | |
| 7. | Vincent Caron
|
PCQ leaning | |
| 8. | François Jacques
|
PCQ leaning | |
| 9. | Martine Biron
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
| 10. | Jean-François Simard
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
| 11. | Mathieu Rivest
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 12. | Alex Boissonneault
|
Likely PQ | |
| 13. | Bernard Drainville
|
Likely PQ | |
| 14. | Donald Martel
|
Likely PQ | |
| 15. | Mario Asselin
|
Likely PQ | |
| 16. | Jonatan Julien
|
Likely PQ | |
| 17. | Sonia LeBel
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
| 18. | André Bachand
|
Leaning LIB | |
| 19. | Sébastien Schneeberger
|
Likely PQ | |
| 20. | Denis Lamothe
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 21. | Kariane Bourassa
|
Safe PQ | |
| 22. | André Lamontagne
|
Likely PQ |