Quebec Conservative Party

Last update: June 19, 2025
Leader | Éric Duhaime |
National popular vote in 2022 | 12.9% |
Current vote projection | 13.3% ± 2.0% |
Current number of MNA's | 0 |
Current seat projection | 8 [5-12] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | June 19, 2025
Seat projection | June 19, 2025
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party
Last update: June 19, 2025
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Beauce-Nord | ![]() |
PCQ safe | >99% |
2. | Beauce-Sud | ![]() |
PCQ safe | >99% |
3. | Bellechasse | ![]() |
PCQ likely | >99% |
4. | Chauveau | ![]() |
PCQ likely | 99% |
5. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | ![]() |
PCQ likely | 98% |
6. | La Peltrie | ![]() |
PCQ likely | 96% |
7. | Portneuf | ![]() |
PCQ leaning | 86% |
8. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | ![]() |
PCQ leaning | 73% |
9. | Arthabaska | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CPQ | 49% |
10. | Montmorency | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CPQ | 46% |
11. | Mégantic | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ | 26% |
12. | Côte-du-Sud | ![]() |
Leaning PQ | 11% |
13. | Lévis | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 2% |
14. | Charlesbourg | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 2% |
15. | Nicolet-Bécancour | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 1% |
16. | Vanier-Les Rivières | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 1% |