logo
logo
Quebec

Quebec Conservative Party





Last update: August 30, 2023

LeaderÉric Duhaime
National popular vote in 202212.9%
Current vote projection9.7% ± 2.1%
Current number of MNA's0
Current seat projection0 [0-5]

1. La Peltrie 2. Beauce-Nord 3. Beauce-Sud 4. Chauveau 5. Lotbinière-Frontenac 6. Portneuf 7. Montmorency 8. Bellechasse 9. Côte-du-Sud 10. Chomedey 11. Fabre 12. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 13. Vanier-Les Rivières 14. Charlesbourg 15. Mille-Îles 16. Vimont 17. Laval-des-Rapides 18. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 19. Vaudreuil 20. Lévis 21. Laporte 22. Louis-Hébert 23. Jean-Talon 24. Ungava 25. Jean-Lesage 26. Sainte-Rose 27. Acadie 28. Bourassa-Sauvé 29. Châteauguay 30. Mont-Royal -Outremont 31. Viau 32. D’Arcy-McGee 33. La Pinière 34. Hull 35. Verdun 36. Mégantic 37. Marie-Victorin 38. Anjou–Louis-Riel 39. Nicolet-Bécancour 40. Duplessis 41. Soulanges 42. Marguerite-Bourgeoys 43. Pontiac 44. Maurice-Richard 45. Taillon 46. Argenteuil 47. Saint-François 48. Rosemont 49. Arthabaska 50. Orford 51. Abitibi-Ouest 52. Prévost 53. Bertrand 54. Saint-Jean 55. Marquette 56. Richmond 57. Vachon 58. Nelligan 59. Rousseau 60. Deux-Montagnes 61. LaFontaine 62. Huntingdon 63. Abitibi-Est Majority: 63 seats 64. Taschereau 65. Saint-Laurent 66. Rimouski 67. Chambly 68. Brome-Missisquoi 69. Sanguinet 70. Joliette 71. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue 72. Groulx 73. Bonaventure 74. Westmount–Saint-Louis 75. Mirabel 76. Les Plaines 77. Drummond–Bois-Francs 78. Gatineau 79. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 80. Montarville 81. Blainville 82. Berthier 83. Lac-Saint-Jean 84. Sherbrooke 85. Saint-Jérôme 86. Robert-Baldwin 87. Terrebonne 88. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 89. Verchères 90. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce 91. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata 92. Trois-Rivières 93. Johnson 94. Labelle 95. Pointe-aux-Trembles 96. Jeanne-Mance–Viger 97. Masson 98. Maskinongé 99. Borduas 100. Champlain 101. Papineau 102. Beauharnois 103. Iberville 104. Repentigny 105. La Prairie 106. Saint-Hyacinthe 107. Chapleau 108. Richelieu 109. Roberval 110. Laurier-Dorion 111. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques 112. René-Lévesque 113. Dubuc 114. Gaspé 115. Camille-Laurin 116. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve 117. Jonquière 118. Granby 119. Jacques-Cartier 120. Chicoutimi 121. L’Assomption 122. Mercier 123. Îles-de-la-Madeleine 124. Gouin 125. Matane-Matapédia QCP The path to 63 seats 338Canada Quebec projection August 30, 2023

× × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × ✓ ✓ QCP 0 [0-5] August 30, 2023 ✓ Projected net gain       × Projected net loss       Pale square = Toss up 338Canada ©2023 Montréal Montérégie Laval Laurentides Lanaudière Mauricie Outaouais Estrie Abitibi-T. Centre-du-Québec Capitale-Nationale Chaudière-App. Sag.-Lac. Côte-Nord Bas-St-Laurent-Gaspésie Nord-du-Québec

Vote projection | August 30, 2023

5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 7.6% ▼ 9.7% ± 2.1% ▼ Max. 11.8% ▼ 2022 12.9% Probabilities % QCP

Seat projection | August 30, 2023

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2022 0 seats 0 ▼ Max. 5 ▼ Probabilities % QCP

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Beauce-Nord Toss up CAQ/QCP 32%
2. La Peltrie Toss up CAQ/QCP 28%
3. Beauce-Sud Leaning CAQ hold 27%
4. Lotbinière-Frontenac Leaning CAQ hold 11%
5. Chauveau Likely CAQ hold 9%
6. Bellechasse Likely CAQ hold 9%
7. Portneuf Leaning CAQ hold 8%
8. Montmorency Leaning CAQ hold 3%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Beauce-Nord Toss up CAQ/QCP
2. La Peltrie Toss up CAQ/QCP
3. Beauce-Sud Leaning CAQ hold
4. Lotbinière-Frontenac Leaning CAQ hold
5. Chauveau Likely CAQ hold
6. Bellechasse Likely CAQ hold
7. Portneuf Leaning CAQ hold
8. Montmorency Leaning CAQ hold