Quebec Conservative Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Beauce-Nord	PCQ likely	99%
2.	Beauce-Sud	PCQ likely	98%
3.	Chauveau	PCQ likely	97%
4.	Bellechasse	PCQ likely	96%
5.	La Peltrie	PCQ likely	94%
6.	Portneuf	PCQ leaning	85%
7.	Lotbinière-Frontenac	PCQ leaning	84%
8.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière	Toss up PQ/CPQ	61%
9.	Montmorency	Toss up PQ/CPQ	40%
10.	Arthabaska	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ	27%
11.	Vanier-Les Rivières	Likely PQ	3%
12.	Lévis	Likely PQ	1%
13.	Côte-du-Sud	Likely PQ	1%
14.	Charlesbourg	Likely PQ	1%
15.	Mégantic	Toss up PQ/CAQ	1%