Quebec Conservative Party
Last update: October 4, 2024
Leader | Éric Duhaime |
National popular vote in 2022 | 12.9% |
Current vote projection | 12.7% ± 2.5% |
Current number of MNA's | 0 |
Current seat projection | 6 [1-10] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | October 4, 2024
Seat projection | October 4, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party
Last update: October 4, 2024
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Beauce-Nord | PCQ likely gain | 95% | |
2. | Beauce-Sud | PCQ likely gain | 92% | |
3. | La Peltrie | PCQ leaning gain | 86% | |
4. | Bellechasse | Toss up CAQ/CPQ | 68% | |
5. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | Toss up CAQ/CPQ | 66% | |
6. | Chauveau | Toss up CAQ/CPQ | 45% | |
7. | Montmorency | Toss up PQ/CPQ | 45% | |
8. | Portneuf | Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ | 43% | |
9. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ | 12% | |
10. | Arthabaska | Toss up PQ/CAQ | 4% | |
11. | Côte-du-Sud | Toss up PQ/CAQ | 4% | |
12. | Mégantic | Leaning CAQ hold | 1% |