logo
Quebec


Richmond


MNA: André Bachand (CAQ)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe CAQ hold
Richmond 41% ± 7%▼ 20% ± 5% 19% ± 5%▼ 14% ± 5%▲ 5% ± 2%▲ CAQ 2022 46.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Richmond >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond

LIB 5% ± 2% PQ 19% ± 5% CAQ 41% ± 7% QS 20% ± 5% QCP 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Richmond 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Richmond

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Richmond



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 22.0% 39.7% 46.8% 41% ± 7% QS 6.8% 18.9% 19.9% 20% ± 5% QCP 0.5% 1.4% 14.7% 14% ± 5% PQ 27.6% 17.8% 12.8% 19% ± 5% LIB 41.2% 19.8% 5.4% 5% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%