logo
Quebec

Richmond


MNA: André Bachand (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 7, 2024
Leaning CAQ hold
Richmond 31% ± 6%▲ CAQ 28% ± 6%▼ PQ 17% ± 5% QS 12% ± 4%▼ QCP 10% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 46.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond 75%▲ CAQ 25%▼ PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | June 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond

LIB 10% ± 3% PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 31% ± 6% QS 17% ± 5% QCP 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Richmond 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 7, 2024

Odds of winning | Richmond

LIB <1% PQ 25% CAQ 75% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 7, 2024

Recent electoral history | Richmond



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 22.0% 39.7% 46.8% 31% ± 6% QS 6.8% 18.9% 19.9% 17% ± 5% QCP 0.5% 1.4% 14.7% 12% ± 4% PQ 27.6% 17.8% 12.8% 28% ± 6% LIB 41.2% 19.8% 5.4% 10% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.