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Recent electoral history | Richmond


2014* 2018* 2022* 2026* Projection PQ 32% ± 6% 30.5% 17.8% 12.6% 29.2% LIB 26% ± 6% 36.6% 19.3% 5.4% 22.8% CPQ 24% ± 6% 0.5% 1.2% 13.4% 22.9% QS 11% ± 4% 7.3% 20.2% 21.7% 10.6% CAQ 6% ± 3% 23.1% 39.1% 46.4% 13.3%
Latest update: November 11, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Richmond projection

Latest update: November 11, 2026

Richmond 25% 38% 32% ± 6% ▲ PQ 20% 32% 26% ± 6% ▲ LIB 18% 30% 24% ± 6% CPQ 7% 14% 11% ± 4% QS 3% 9% 6% ± 3% ▼ CAQ PQ 2022 29.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 11, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond 89%▼ PQ 8%▲ LIB 3%▼ CPQ Odds of winning | November 11, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Richmond

Odds of winning | Richmond


>99% <1% 40% ± 6% 60% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Richmond YES NO 338Canada November 11, 2026