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Quebec


Mont-Royal -Outremont


MNA: Michelle Setlakwe (LIB)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe LIB hold
Mont-Royal -Outremont 38% ± 8%▲ 20% ± 6%▼ 15% ± 5%▼ 13% ± 5%▼ 8% ± 4%▲ 5% ± 4% OTH LIB 2022 39.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Mont-Royal -Outremont >99%▲ <1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mont-Royal -Outremont

LIB 38% ± 8% PQ 13% ± 5% CAQ 15% ± 5% QS 20% ± 6% QCP 8% ± 4% OTH 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mont-Royal -Outremont 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP OTH

Odds of winning | Mont-Royal -Outremont

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Mont-Royal -Outremont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 65.3% 51.3% 39.3% 38% ± 8% QS 10.7% 15.5% 20.3% 20% ± 6% CAQ 9.2% 13.5% 15.8% 15% ± 5% PQ 11.7% 11.8% 11.4% 13% ± 5% QCP 0.4% 1.6% 8.5% 8% ± 4% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5% ± 4% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%