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Quebec


Rousseau


MNA: Louis-Charles Thouin (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Toss up PQ/CAQ
Rousseau 36% ± 8%▲ 33% ± 8%▼ 14% ± 5%▲ 13% ± 5%▼ 3% ± 2% CAQ 2022 50.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rousseau 70%▲ 30%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rousseau

PQ 36% ± 8% CAQ 33% ± 8% QS 14% ± 5% QCP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Rousseau 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Rousseau

LIB <1% PQ 70% CAQ 30% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Rousseau



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 38.5% 53.2% 50.6% 33% ± 8% PQ 39.9% 26.4% 17.9% 36% ± 8% QCP 0.1% 1.0% 15.0% 13% ± 5% QS 5.5% 13.0% 13.1% 14% ± 5% LIB 15.0% 5.2% 3.5% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%