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Quebec

Saint-Hyacinthe


MNA: Chantal Soucy (CAQ)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
Leaning PQ gain
Saint-Hyacinthe 38% ± 7%▼ PQ 32% ± 6% CAQ 11% ± 4%▼ QS 9% ± 3% CPQ 9% ± 3%▲ LIB CAQ 2022 54.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Hyacinthe 88%▼ PQ 12%▲ CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Saint-Hyacinthe

LIB 9% ± 3% PQ 38% ± 7% CAQ 32% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 9% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Hyacinthe 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 54% PQ 17% QS 14% CPQ 10% LIB 4% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 54% PQ 19% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 4% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 54% PQ 19% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 4% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 52% PQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 52% PQ 21% QS 16% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 47% PQ 28% QS 14% CPQ 6% LIB 4% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 47% PQ 29% QS 14% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 47% PQ 29% QS 14% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 50% PQ 25% QS 14% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 46% PQ 25% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 3% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 46% PQ 25% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 3% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 39% PQ 33% QS 15% CPQ 8% LIB 4% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 4% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 38% CAQ 32% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 4% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 38% CAQ 31% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 38% CAQ 33% QS 15% CPQ 8% LIB 4% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 36% CAQ 34% QS 15% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 37% CAQ 33% QS 16% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 36% CAQ 35% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 35% CAQ 34% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 35% CAQ 35% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 36% CAQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 35% CAQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 37% CAQ 33% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 40% CAQ 31% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 41% CAQ 30% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 39% CAQ 32% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 38% CAQ 32% QS 11% CPQ 9% LIB 9% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Hyacinthe

LIB <1% PQ 88% CAQ 12% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 85% PQ 15% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 60% PQ 40% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 86% CAQ 14% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 91% CAQ 9% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 86% CAQ 14% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 67% CAQ 33% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 76% CAQ 24% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 58% CAQ 42% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 57% CAQ 43% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 52% CAQ 48% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 66% CAQ 34% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 57% CAQ 43% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 74% CAQ 26% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 96% CAQ 4% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 91% CAQ 9% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 88% CAQ 12% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Hyacinthe



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 32.7% 52.0% 54.4% 32% ± 6% PQ 29.7% 16.0% 16.7% 38% ± 7% QS 6.9% 16.7% 13.6% 11% ± 4% CPQ 0.8% 0.0% 9.8% 9% ± 3% LIB 28.9% 14.1% 4.1% 9% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%