Regions of Quebec, 51 districts
| Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
 |
42 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 37 |
 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
338Canada Projection | the Regions of Quebec
Latest update: October 5, 2022
List of electoral districts
Latest update: October 5, 2022
| Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
|---|---|---|
| 001 Abitibi-Est |  |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 002 Abitibi-Ouest | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 005 Argenteuil | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 006 Arthabaska | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 007 Beauce-Nord | |
Toss up CAQ/QCP |
| 008 Beauce-Sud | |
Toss up CAQ/QCP |
| 011 Berthier | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 012 Bertrand | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 014 Bonaventure | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 018 Brome-Missisquoi | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 020 Champlain | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 021 Chapleau | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 026 Chicoutimi | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 029 Côte-du-Sud | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 032 Drummond–Bois-Francs | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 033 Dubuc | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 034 Duplessis | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 036 Gaspé | |
Leaning CAQ hold |
| 037 Gatineau | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 039 Granby | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 042 Hull | |
Likely CAQ hold |
| 043 Huntingdon | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 044 Iberville | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 045 Îles-de-la-Madeleine |  |
Leaning PQ hold |
| 050 Johnson | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 051 Joliette | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 052 Jonquière | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 057 Labelle | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 058 Lac-Saint-Jean | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 063 Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 066 Lotbinière-Frontenac | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 071 Maskinongé | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 073 Matane-Matapédia | |
Safe PQ hold |
| 075 Mégantic | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 083 Nicolet-Bécancour | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 085 Orford | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 086 Papineau | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 088 Pontiac |  |
Safe LIB hold |
| 090 Prévost | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 091 René-Lévesque | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 094 Richmond | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 095 Rimouski | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 096 Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 098 Roberval | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 101 Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 102 Saint-François | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 104 Saint-Hyacinthe | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 106 Saint-Jérôme | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 111 Sherbrooke |  |
QS likely hold |
| 116 Trois-Rivières | |
Safe CAQ hold |
| 117 Ungava | |
Likely CAQ hold |