Regions of Quebec
51 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026
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Regions of Quebec
51 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Methodology note.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions.
Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.
List of districts | Regions of Quebec
Latest update: March 5, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
|
Leaning PQ | |
Suzanne Blais
|
Safe PQ | |
Agnès Grondin
|
Safe PQ | |
Alex Boissonneault
|
Likely PQ | |
Luc Provençal
|
PCQ safe | |
Samuel Poulin
|
PCQ safe | |
Caroline Proulx
|
Safe PQ | |
France-Élaine Duranceau
|
Safe PQ | |
Catherine Blouin
|
Safe PQ | |
Isabelle Charest
|
Likely LIB | |
Sonia LeBel
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
Mathieu Lévesque
|
Likely LIB | |
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
|
Safe PQ | |
Mathieu Rivest
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
Sébastien Schneeberger
|
Safe PQ | |
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
|
Safe PQ | |
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
|
Safe PQ | |
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
|
Safe PQ | |
Robert Bussière
|
Likely LIB | |
François Bonnardel
|
Leaning PQ | |
Suzanne Tremblay
|
Safe LIB | |
Carole Mallette
|
Likely LIB | |
Audrey Bogemans
|
Likely PQ | |
Joël Arseneau
|
Safe PQ | |
André Lamontagne
|
Safe PQ | |
François St-Louis
|
Safe PQ | |
Yannick Gagnon
|
Safe PQ | |
Chantal Jeannotte
|
Safe PQ | |
Éric Girard
|
Safe PQ | |
Marie-Louise Tardif
|
Safe PQ | |
Isabelle Lecours
|
PCQ likely | |
Simon Allaire
|
Safe PQ | |
Pascal Bérubé
|
Safe PQ | |
François Jacques
|
Toss up LIB/CPQ | |
Donald Martel
|
Likely PQ | |
Gilles Bélanger
|
Likely LIB | |
Mathieu Lacombe
|
Likely LIB | |
André Fortin
|
Safe LIB | |
Sonia Bélanger
|
Safe PQ | |
Yves Montigny
|
Safe PQ | |
André Bachand
|
Likely LIB | |
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
|
Safe PQ | |
Amélie Dionne
|
Safe PQ | |
Nancy Guillemette
|
Safe PQ | |
Daniel Bernard
|
Safe PQ | |
Geneviève Hébert
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
Chantal Soucy
|
Safe PQ | |
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
|
Safe PQ | |
Christine Labrie
|
Leaning LIB | |
Jean Boulet
|
Safe PQ | |
Denis Lamothe
|
Leaning LIB |