Regions of Quebec
53 provincial districts
Latest update: September 5, 2026
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Regions of Quebec
53 provincial districts
Latest update: September 5, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Quebec Projection | Regions of Quebec
Quebec Seat Projection | Regions of Quebec
List of districts | Regions of Quebec
Latest update: September 5, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
Suzanne Blais
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
Agnès Grondin
|
Likely PQ | |
Alex Boissonneault
|
Leaning PQ | |
Luc Provençal
|
PCQ safe | |
Samuel Poulin
|
PCQ likely | |
Caroline Proulx
|
Likely PQ | |
France-Élaine Duranceau
|
Likely PQ | |
Catherine Blouin
|
Safe PQ | |
Isabelle Charest
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | |
Sonia LeBel
|
Leaning PQ | |
Mathieu Lévesque
|
Likely CAQ | |
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
|
Safe PQ | |
Mathieu Rivest
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ | |
Sébastien Schneeberger
|
Leaning PQ | |
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
|
Likely PQ | |
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
|
Safe PQ | |
Robert Bussière
|
Leaning LIB | |
François Bonnardel
|
Likely CAQ | |
Suzanne Tremblay
|
Safe LIB | |
Carole Mallette
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | |
Audrey Bogemans
|
Leaning CAQ | |
Joël Arseneau
|
Safe PQ | |
André Lamontagne
|
Leaning CAQ | |
François St-Louis
|
Safe PQ | |
Yannick Gagnon
|
Likely PQ | |
Chantal Jeannotte
|
Likely PQ | |
Eric Girard
|
Safe PQ | |
Marie-Louise Tardif
|
Leaning PQ | |
Isabelle Lecours
|
PCQ leaning | |
Simon Allaire
|
Leaning PQ | |
Pascal Bérubé
|
Safe PQ | |
François Jacques
|
Leaning CAQ | |
Donald Martel
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ | |
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | |
Mathieu Lacombe
|
Likely CAQ | |
André Fortin
|
Safe LIB | |
Sonia Bélanger
|
Likely PQ | |
Yves Montigny
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
André Bachand
|
Leaning CAQ | |
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
|
Safe PQ | |
Amélie Dionne
|
Leaning PQ | |
Nancy Guillemette
|
Likely PQ | |
Daniel Bernard
|
Likely CAQ | |
Geneviève Hébert
|
Likely PQ | |
Chantal Soucy
|
Likely PQ | |
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
|
Likely PQ | |
Christine Labrie
|
Likely PQ | |
Jean Boulet
|
Leaning CAQ | |
Denis Lamothe
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
Vacant
|
Leaning PQ | |
Vacant
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ |