Regions of Quebec

52 provincial districts

Latest update: October 6, 2026

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Regions of Quebec

52 provincial districts

Latest update: October 6, 2026

Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.

Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Quebec Projection | Regions of Quebec

Quebec Seat Projection | Regions of Quebec

List of districts | Regions of Quebec
Latest update: October 6, 2026

Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
Abitibi-Est Stéphane Tremblay	PQ	Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Sébastien D’Astous	PQ	Safe PQ
Argenteuil Pierre Nantel	PQ	Likely PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Tarek Henoud	C	PCQ likely
Beauce-Nord Patricia Drouin	C	PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud Jonathan Poulin	C	PCQ safe
Berthier Elsie Lefebvre	PQ	Safe PQ
Bertrand Alexandre Girard-Duchaine	PQ	Safe PQ
Bonaventure Pier-Luc Bujold	PQ	Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Frédéric Beauchemin	L	Likely LIB
Champlain Adriana Szalontai	C	Toss up PQ/CPQ
Chapleau Michel Langevin	L	Safe LIB
Chicoutimi Marie-Karlynn Laflamme	PQ	Safe PQ
Côte-du-Sud Frédéric Poulin	C	PCQ safe
Drummond–Bois-Francs Charles Page	PQ	Toss up PQ/CPQ
Dubuc Émile Simard	PQ	Likely PQ
Duplessis Meggie Richard	PQ	Safe PQ
Gaspé Méganne Perry Mélançon	PQ	Safe PQ
Gatineau David Logue	L	Safe LIB
Granby Jean-François Arsenault	PQ	Safe PQ
Hull Sacha Cannon	L	Safe LIB
Iberville Camille Pellerin-Forget	PQ	Safe PQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Joël Arseneau	PQ	Safe PQ
Daniel-Johnson Nathalie Boisclair	PQ	Likely PQ
Joliette Véronique Venne	PQ	Safe PQ
Jonquière Jimmy Bouchard	PQ	Leaning PQ
Labelle Catherine Drouin	PQ	Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean William Fradette	PQ	Safe PQ
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Élodie Murphy-Gauthier	PQ	Leaning PQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac Renaud Labrecque	C	PCQ safe
Maskinongé Isabelle Blais	PQ	Likely PQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Pascal Bérubé	PQ	Safe PQ
Mégantic Jimmy Gagnon	C	PCQ likely
Nicolet-Bécancour Guillaume Langlois	C	PCQ safe
Orford Charles Milliard	L	Safe LIB
Papineau Isabelle Millette	PQ	Toss up LIB/PQ
Pontiac André Fortin	L	Safe LIB
Prévost Anne Nguyen	PQ	Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Odette Lavigne	PQ	Safe PQ
Richmond Bernard Sévigny	PQ	Likely PQ
Rimouski Yohann St-Pierre	PQ	Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Ariane Boyer	PQ	Safe PQ
Roberval Isabelle Thibeault	PQ	Likely PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Diane Dallaire	PQ	Safe PQ
Saint-François Sylvie Tanguay	PQ	Leaning PQ
Saint-Hyacinthe Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay	PQ	Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme Sandrine Michon	PQ	Safe PQ
Sherbrooke Stéphanie Vachon	QS	Toss up LIB/QS
Trois-Rivières Jean Pellerin	PQ	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Ungava Sonia Caron	PQ	Likely PQ
Bellefeuille Audrey Bujold	PQ	Safe PQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Natalie Bisaillon	PQ	Likely PQ

Regions of Quebec

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