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Regions of Quebec

51 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026

Regions of Quebec 30% 43% 37% ± 6% PQ 16% 25% 20% ± 4% LIB 13% 21% 17% ± 4% CPQ 11% 20% 16% ± 4% CAQ 6% 11% 8% ± 3% QS 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Regions of Quebec, 51 electoral districts 34 [33-37] PQ 12 [10-13] LIB 5 [3-5] CPQ 0  [0-1] CAQ 338Canada seat projection | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Quebec Projection | Regions of Quebec

Quebec Seat Projection | Regions of Quebec



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List of districts | Regions of Quebec
Latest update: March 5, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ safe
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ safe
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
Isabelle Charest
CA Likely LIB
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Likely LIB
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
Mathieu Rivest
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Safe PQ
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
François Bonnardel
CA Leaning PQ
Suzanne Tremblay
CA Safe LIB
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
Audrey Bogemans
CA Likely PQ
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
André Lamontagne
CA Safe PQ
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
Éric Girard
CA Safe PQ
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Safe PQ
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ likely
Simon Allaire
CA Safe PQ
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/CPQ
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
Gilles Bélanger
CA Likely LIB
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Likely LIB
André Fortin
L Safe LIB
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
André Bachand
CA Likely LIB
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
CA Safe PQ
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
CA Safe PQ
Geneviève Hébert
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Chantal Soucy
CA Safe PQ
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Christine Labrie
QS Leaning LIB
Jean Boulet
CA Safe PQ
Denis Lamothe
CA Leaning LIB