Regions of Quebec, 51 districts
Latest update: June 27, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Seat projection | Regions of Quebec
Latest update: June 27, 2025
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
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20 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 2 |
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6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
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2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
List of electoral districts | Regions of Quebec
Latest update: June 27, 2025
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
Abitibi-Est | ![]() |
Leaning PQ |
Abitibi-Ouest | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Argenteuil | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Arthabaska | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CPQ |
Beauce-Nord | ![]() |
PCQ safe |
Beauce-Sud | ![]() |
PCQ safe |
Berthier | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Bertrand | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Bonaventure | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Brome-Missisquoi | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Champlain | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CAQ |
Chapleau | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Chicoutimi | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Côte-du-Sud | ![]() |
Leaning PQ |
Drummond–Bois-Francs | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Dubuc | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Duplessis | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Gaspé | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Gatineau | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Granby | ![]() |
Leaning PQ |
Hull | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Huntingdon | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Iberville | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CAQ |
Îles-de-la-Madeleine | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Johnson | ![]() |
Leaning PQ |
Joliette | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Jonquière | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Labelle | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Lotbinière-Frontenac | ![]() |
PCQ likely |
Maskinongé | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Matane-Matapédia | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Mégantic | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CPQ |
Nicolet-Bécancour | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Orford | ![]() |
Likely LIB |
Papineau | ![]() |
Likely LIB |
Pontiac | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Prévost | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
René-Lévesque | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Richmond | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/PQ |
Rimouski | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Roberval | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Saint-François | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/PQ |
Saint-Hyacinthe | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Saint-Jérôme | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Sherbrooke | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/QS |
Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
Likely PQ |
Ungava | ![]() |
Likely LIB |