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Quebec

Pontiac


MNA: André Fortin (LIB)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Pontiac


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 65% ± 7% 75.8% 53.8% 43.7% PQ 13% ± 5% 8.6% 5.5% 6.6% CPQ 10% ± 4% 0.0% 3.2% 10.9% CAQ 6% ± 3% 8.9% 20.4% 24.7% QS 5% ± 3% 6.4% 10.7% 10.3%




338Canada projection for Pontiac


Pontiac 65% ± 7%▲ LIB 13% ± 5%▼ PQ 10% ± 4% CPQ 6% ± 3%▼ CAQ 5% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 43.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pontiac >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pontiac

LIB 65% ± 7% PQ 13% ± 5% CAQ 6% ± 3% QS 5% ± 3% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Pontiac 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 48% PQ 21% QS 10% CAQ 10% CPQ 9% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 49% PQ 20% QS 10% CAQ 10% CPQ 9% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 49% PQ 21% QS 11% CAQ 9% CPQ 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 52% PQ 21% CAQ 9% QS 9% CPQ 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 51% PQ 20% CPQ 10% CAQ 8% QS 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 52% PQ 18% CAQ 10% CPQ 9% QS 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 52% PQ 16% CAQ 10% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 51% PQ 16% CPQ 11% CAQ 10% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 48% PQ 16% CPQ 13% CAQ 12% QS 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 48% PQ 18% CPQ 12% CAQ 11% QS 8% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 49% PQ 19% CPQ 12% CAQ 9% QS 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 49% PQ 18% CPQ 12% CAQ 10% QS 8% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 50% PQ 18% CPQ 12% CAQ 10% QS 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 52% PQ 17% CPQ 12% CAQ 9% QS 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 51% PQ 17% CPQ 12% CAQ 10% QS 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 51% PQ 17% CPQ 12% CAQ 10% QS 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 53% PQ 18% CPQ 11% CAQ 9% QS 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 60% PQ 15% CPQ 10% CAQ 7% QS 6% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 65% PQ 13% CPQ 10% CAQ 6% QS 5% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Pontiac

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader