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Quebec


Pontiac


MNA: André Fortin (LIB)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

Safe LIB hold
Pontiac 49% ± 8% 21% ± 6%▲ 11% ± 4%▲ 9% ± 4%▼ 9% ± 4% LIB 2022 43.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Pontiac >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Pontiac

LIB 49% ± 8% PQ 21% ± 6% CAQ 9% ± 4% QS 11% ± 4% QCP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Pontiac 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Pontiac

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Pontiac



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 75.8% 53.8% 43.7% 49% ± 8% CAQ 8.9% 20.4% 24.7% 9% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 3.2% 10.9% 9% ± 4% QS 6.4% 10.7% 10.3% 11% ± 4% PQ 8.6% 5.5% 6.6% 21% ± 6% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.