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Quebec

Soulanges


MNA: Marilyne Picard (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Soulanges


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 40% ± 7% 57.5% 33.7% 21.8% CAQ 19% ± 5% 0.4% 39.2% 42.6% PQ 19% ± 5% 29.1% 10.3% 10.3% CPQ 13% ± 4% 0.0% 0.8% 12.5% QS 6% ± 3% 9.1% 11.6% 10.8%




338Canada projection for Soulanges


Soulanges 40% ± 7%▲ LIB 19% ± 5%▼ CAQ 19% ± 5%▼ PQ 13% ± 4% CPQ 6% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 42.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Soulanges >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Soulanges

LIB 40% ± 7% PQ 19% ± 5% CAQ 19% ± 5% QS 6% ± 3% CPQ 13% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Soulanges 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 28% LIB 25% PQ 24% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 26% LIB 26% CAQ 25% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 28% LIB 26% CAQ 23% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 28% CAQ 26% PQ 26% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 28% PQ 25% CAQ 25% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 28% LIB 27% PQ 24% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 27% LIB 26% PQ 25% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 29% LIB 26% PQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CAQ 27% LIB 26% PQ 23% CPQ 13% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 26% CAQ 26% PQ 25% CPQ 11% QS 9% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 27% PQ 25% CAQ 25% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 26% CAQ 26% PQ 24% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 29% CAQ 27% PQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 30% CAQ 26% PQ 22% CPQ 13% QS 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 29% CAQ 28% PQ 21% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 28% CAQ 28% PQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 30% CAQ 27% PQ 21% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 36% PQ 21% CAQ 20% CPQ 13% QS 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 40% CAQ 19% PQ 19% CPQ 13% QS 6% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Soulanges

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 63% LIB 25% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 38% CAQ 24% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 33% CAQ 8% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 49% CAQ 26% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 59% CAQ 20% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 53% LIB 38% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 49% LIB 36% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 71% LIB 27% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CAQ 51% LIB 41% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 45% CAQ 30% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 56% CAQ 19% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 45% CAQ 38% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 65% CAQ 34% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 78% CAQ 20% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 63% CAQ 37% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 50% CAQ 49% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 73% CAQ 27% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader