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Quebec


Soulanges


MNA: Marilyne Picard (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Leaning CAQ hold
Soulanges 29% ± 6% 24% ± 6% 23% ± 6%▲ 12% ± 4% 11% ± 4%▲ CAQ 2022 42.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Soulanges 86%▲ 10%▼ 4%▲ Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Soulanges

LIB 24% ± 6% PQ 23% ± 6% CAQ 29% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% QCP 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Soulanges 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Soulanges

LIB 10% PQ 4% CAQ 86% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Soulanges



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 0.4% 39.2% 42.6% 29% ± 6% LIB 57.5% 33.7% 21.8% 24% ± 6% QCP 0.0% 0.8% 12.5% 12% ± 4% QS 9.1% 11.6% 10.8% 11% ± 4% PQ 29.1% 10.3% 10.3% 23% ± 6% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%