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Quebec

Soulanges


MNA: Marilyne Picard

Latest projection: December 8, 2024
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Soulanges 26% ± 6%▼ LIB 26% ± 6%▲ CAQ 24% ± 6%▼ PQ 12% ± 4% CPQ 9% ± 3%▲ QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 42.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Soulanges 45%▼ LIB 38%▲ CAQ 17%▼ PQ Odds of winning | December 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Soulanges

LIB 26% ± 6% PQ 24% ± 6% CAQ 26% ± 6% QS 9% ± 3% CPQ 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Soulanges 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ December 8, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 46% LIB 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% PQ 6% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 47% LIB 25% CPQ 10% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 45% LIB 25% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 45% LIB 25% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 45% LIB 25% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 45% LIB 25% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 45% LIB 26% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 44% LIB 26% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 45% LIB 26% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 44% LIB 26% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 44% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 44% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 44% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 9% PQ 6% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 44% LIB 26% CPQ 14% QS 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 15% QS 8% PQ 5% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 15% QS 8% PQ 5% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 43% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 43% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 43% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 44% LIB 25% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 42% LIB 24% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 8% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 43% LIB 21% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 43% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 43% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 43% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 45% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 8% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 45% LIB 23% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 8% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 43% LIB 23% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 43% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 44% LIB 22% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 44% LIB 23% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 44% LIB 23% CPQ 14% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 43% LIB 23% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 10% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 43% LIB 22% CPQ 12% QS 11% PQ 10% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 42% LIB 22% PQ 12% CPQ 11% QS 11% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 42% LIB 22% PQ 12% CPQ 11% QS 11% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 43% LIB 22% PQ 13% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 43% LIB 21% PQ 13% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 42% LIB 23% PQ 12% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 44% LIB 22% PQ 13% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 44% LIB 22% PQ 13% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 41% LIB 21% PQ 15% QS 11% CPQ 10% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 36% LIB 24% PQ 14% CPQ 13% QS 10% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 36% LIB 24% PQ 14% CPQ 13% QS 10% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 35% LIB 23% PQ 16% CPQ 13% QS 10% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 29% LIB 24% PQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CAQ 29% LIB 24% PQ 23% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 25% CAQ 25% PQ 25% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 28% LIB 25% PQ 24% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 26% LIB 26% CAQ 25% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 28% LIB 26% CAQ 23% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 28% CAQ 26% PQ 26% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 28% PQ 25% CAQ 25% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 28% LIB 27% PQ 24% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 27% LIB 26% PQ 25% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 29% LIB 26% PQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CAQ 27% LIB 26% PQ 23% CPQ 13% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 26% CAQ 26% PQ 25% CPQ 11% QS 9% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 27% PQ 25% CAQ 25% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 26% CAQ 26% PQ 24% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-12-08

Odds of winning | Soulanges

LIB 45% PQ 17% CAQ 38% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS December 8, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 79% LIB 17% PQ 3% QS <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CAQ 86% LIB 10% PQ 4% QS <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 38% CAQ 32% PQ 30% QS <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 63% LIB 25% PQ 12% QS <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 38% LIB 38% CAQ 24% QS <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 59% LIB 33% CAQ 8% QS <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 49% CAQ 26% PQ 25% QS <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 59% PQ 21% CAQ 20% QS <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 53% LIB 38% PQ 8% QS <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 49% LIB 36% PQ 15% QS <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 71% LIB 27% PQ 1% QS <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CAQ 51% LIB 41% PQ 8% QS <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 45% CAQ 30% PQ 25% QS <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 56% PQ 25% CAQ 19% QS <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 45% CAQ 38% PQ 17% QS <1% 2024-12-08

Recent electoral history | Soulanges



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 0.4% 39.2% 42.6% 26% ± 6% LIB 57.5% 33.7% 21.8% 26% ± 6% CPQ 0.0% 0.8% 12.5% 12% ± 4% QS 9.1% 11.6% 10.8% 9% ± 3% PQ 29.1% 10.3% 10.3% 24% ± 6% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.