logo
Quebec


Drummond–Bois-Francs


MNA: Sébastien Schneeberger (CAQ)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

Toss up PQ/CAQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs 34% ± 7%▼ 34% ± 7%▲ 14% ± 5% 12% ± 4%▲ 4% ± 2% CAQ 2022 51.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Drummond–Bois-Francs 50%▼ 50%▲ <1% Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Drummond–Bois-Francs

LIB 4% ± 2% PQ 34% ± 7% CAQ 34% ± 7% QS 12% ± 4% QCP 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Drummond–Bois-Francs 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Drummond–Bois-Francs

LIB <1% PQ 50% CAQ 50% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Drummond–Bois-Francs



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 39.9% 56.3% 51.6% 34% ± 7% QCP 0.8% 2.2% 17.4% 14% ± 5% PQ 26.3% 12.5% 15.0% 34% ± 7% QS 6.2% 15.0% 10.6% 12% ± 4% LIB 25.2% 13.0% 4.0% 4% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%