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Recent electoral history | Mirabel


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 35% ± 7% 34.3% 18.0% 16.7% CAQ 34% ± 7% 39.1% 54.8% 50.6% LIB 13% ± 4% 19.6% 9.2% 7.0% CPQ 12% ± 4% 0.5% 0.8% 11.2% QS 5% ± 3% 6.1% 14.6% 14.0%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Mirabel projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Mirabel 28% 42% 35% ± 7% PQ 27% 41% 34% ± 7% CAQ 9% 17% 13% ± 4% LIB 8% 16% 12% ± 4% CPQ 3% 8% 5% ± 3% QS CAQ 2022 50.638% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mirabel 57%▼ PQ 43%▲ CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Mirabel

Odds of winning | Mirabel


>99% <1% 42% ± 6% 58% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Mirabel YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026