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Quebec

Sherbrooke


MNA: Christine Labrie (QS)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
QS likely hold
Sherbrooke 36% ± 7%▼ QS 27% ± 6%▼ PQ 14% ± 5%▲ LIB 14% ± 4% CAQ 7% ± 3% CPQ QS 2022 41.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sherbrooke 95%▼ QS 5%▲ PQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sherbrooke

LIB 14% ± 5% PQ 27% ± 6% CAQ 14% ± 4% QS 36% ± 7% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Sherbrooke 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 QS 42% CAQ 35% PQ 9% CPQ 7% LIB 6% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 41% CAQ 35% PQ 11% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 41% CAQ 35% PQ 11% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 44% CAQ 34% PQ 11% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 45% CAQ 34% PQ 11% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 44% CAQ 31% PQ 15% LIB 5% CPQ 4% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 44% CAQ 31% PQ 16% LIB 5% CPQ 4% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 44% CAQ 31% PQ 16% LIB 5% CPQ 4% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 43% CAQ 33% PQ 14% LIB 4% CPQ 4% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 42% CAQ 32% PQ 13% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 42% CAQ 32% PQ 13% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS 42% CAQ 24% PQ 20% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS 44% CAQ 22% PQ 21% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 45% PQ 24% CAQ 19% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 47% PQ 24% CAQ 14% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 45% PQ 24% CAQ 16% LIB 7% CPQ 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 42% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 38% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 40% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 41% PQ 25% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS 42% PQ 24% CAQ 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 39% PQ 26% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 39% PQ 29% CAQ 14% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 39% PQ 30% CAQ 12% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 39% PQ 28% CAQ 14% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 QS 36% PQ 27% LIB 14% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Sherbrooke

LIB <1% PQ 5% CAQ <1% QS 95% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 78% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 78% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 92% CAQ 8% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 94% CAQ 6% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 94% CAQ 6% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 97% PQ 3% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 95% PQ 5% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 QS 95% PQ 5% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Sherbrooke



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 12.9% 34.3% 41.9% 36% ± 7% CAQ 16.7% 23.4% 35.2% 14% ± 4% PQ 31.0% 14.6% 9.1% 27% ± 6% CPQ 0.5% 0.0% 6.7% 7% ± 3% LIB 36.4% 24.7% 5.8% 14% ± 5% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%