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Quebec

Sherbrooke


MNA: Christine Labrie (QS)

Latest projection: October 5, 2025
Toss up LIB/PQ

Recent electoral history | Sherbrooke


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 31% ± 7% 31.0% 14.6% 9.1% LIB 31% ± 7% 36.4% 24.7% 5.8% QS 21% ± 6% 12.9% 34.3% 41.9% CAQ 8% ± 3% 16.7% 23.4% 35.2% CPQ 7% ± 3% 0.5% 0.0% 6.7%




338Canada projection for Sherbrooke


Sherbrooke 31% ± 7% PQ 31% ± 7%▲ LIB 21% ± 6%▼ QS 8% ± 3% CAQ 7% ± 3%▲ CPQ QS 2022 41.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 5, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sherbrooke 52%▼ PQ 48%▲ LIB <1%▼ QS Odds of winning | October 5, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sherbrooke

LIB 31% ± 7% PQ 31% ± 7% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 21% ± 6% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Sherbrooke 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ October 5, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 45% PQ 24% CAQ 16% LIB 7% CPQ 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 42% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 38% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 40% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 41% PQ 25% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS 42% PQ 24% CAQ 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 39% PQ 26% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 39% PQ 29% CAQ 14% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 39% PQ 30% CAQ 12% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 39% PQ 28% CAQ 14% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 QS 36% PQ 27% LIB 14% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 QS 33% PQ 28% LIB 16% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 QS 35% PQ 27% LIB 16% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 QS 35% PQ 27% CAQ 15% LIB 14% CPQ 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 QS 35% PQ 29% LIB 15% CAQ 13% CPQ 6% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 QS 30% PQ 25% LIB 24% CAQ 11% CPQ 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 28% QS 28% PQ 24% CAQ 11% CPQ 7% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 LIB 28% QS 28% PQ 25% CAQ 11% CPQ 7% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 PQ 28% LIB 28% QS 25% CAQ 11% CPQ 6% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 PQ 31% LIB 29% QS 23% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 PQ 31% LIB 30% QS 23% CAQ 8% CPQ 6% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 PQ 31% LIB 31% QS 21% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2025-10-05 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Sherbrooke

LIB 48% PQ 52% CAQ <1% QS <1% CPQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ October 5, 2025 2024-02-18 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 99% PQ 1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 99% PQ 1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 97% PQ 3% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 95% PQ 5% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 98% PQ 2% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 QS 95% PQ 5% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 QS 86% PQ 14% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 QS 94% PQ 6% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 QS 94% PQ 6% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 QS 85% PQ 15% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 QS 80% PQ 13% LIB 8% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 51% QS 41% PQ 8% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 LIB 46% QS 42% PQ 12% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 PQ 45% LIB 44% QS 11% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 PQ 64% LIB 35% QS 1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 PQ 57% LIB 42% QS 1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 PQ 52% LIB 48% QS <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-10-05 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader
>99% <1% 43% ± 6% 57% ± 6% Projection of support for souvereignty | Sherbrooke YES NO 338Canada October 5, 2025