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Quebec

Sherbrooke


MNA: Christine Labrie (QS)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
QS safe hold
Sherbrooke 41% ± 8%▲ QS 25% ± 6%▼ PQ 15% ± 4%▼ CAQ 11% ± 4% LIB 6% ± 3% CPQ QS 2022 41.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sherbrooke >99% QS <1% PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sherbrooke

LIB 11% ± 4% PQ 25% ± 6% CAQ 15% ± 4% QS 41% ± 8% CPQ 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Sherbrooke 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 QS 34% CAQ 34% LIB 14% PQ 9% CPQ 7% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 QS 34% CAQ 34% LIB 13% PQ 8% CPQ 7% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 QS 34% CAQ 33% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 QS 34% CAQ 34% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 QS 34% CAQ 34% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 QS 34% CAQ 34% LIB 14% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 QS 34% CAQ 33% LIB 14% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 QS 34% CAQ 33% LIB 14% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 34% QS 34% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 34% QS 33% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 34% QS 33% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 34% QS 33% LIB 13% CPQ 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 35% QS 33% LIB 11% CPQ 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 35% QS 32% LIB 11% CPQ 11% PQ 9% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 35% QS 32% LIB 11% CPQ 11% PQ 9% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 35% QS 31% CPQ 11% LIB 11% PQ 9% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 35% QS 31% CPQ 11% LIB 11% PQ 9% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 38% QS 30% LIB 10% PQ 10% CPQ 9% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 38% QS 30% LIB 10% PQ 10% CPQ 9% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 35% CAQ 34% PQ 10% LIB 10% CPQ 8% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 35% CAQ 35% PQ 10% LIB 10% CPQ 8% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 35% QS 35% PQ 10% LIB 10% CPQ 8% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 36% QS 35% PQ 10% LIB 9% CPQ 8% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 36% QS 35% PQ 10% LIB 9% CPQ 8% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 34% CAQ 34% PQ 13% LIB 9% CPQ 9% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 34% CAQ 34% PQ 13% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 35% CAQ 34% PQ 13% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 34% QS 34% PQ 13% CPQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 35% QS 34% PQ 12% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 36% QS 34% PQ 11% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 37% QS 33% PQ 11% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 35% QS 34% PQ 13% CPQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 38% QS 33% PQ 13% LIB 8% CPQ 7% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 37% QS 34% PQ 13% LIB 8% CPQ 7% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 37% QS 36% PQ 12% LIB 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 38% QS 37% PQ 13% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 QS 37% CAQ 37% PQ 14% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 QS 42% CAQ 35% PQ 9% CPQ 7% LIB 6% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 41% CAQ 35% PQ 11% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 41% CAQ 35% PQ 11% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 44% CAQ 34% PQ 11% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 45% CAQ 34% PQ 11% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 44% CAQ 31% PQ 15% LIB 5% CPQ 4% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 44% CAQ 31% PQ 16% LIB 5% CPQ 4% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 44% CAQ 31% PQ 16% LIB 5% CPQ 4% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 43% CAQ 33% PQ 14% LIB 4% CPQ 4% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 42% CAQ 32% PQ 13% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 42% CAQ 32% PQ 13% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS 42% CAQ 24% PQ 20% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS 44% CAQ 22% PQ 21% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 45% PQ 24% CAQ 19% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 47% PQ 24% CAQ 14% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 45% PQ 24% CAQ 16% LIB 7% CPQ 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 42% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 38% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 40% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 41% PQ 25% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-17

Odds of winning | Sherbrooke

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 QS 50% CAQ 50% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 QS 50% CAQ 50% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 QS 52% CAQ 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 QS 52% CAQ 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 QS 51% CAQ 49% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 QS 50% CAQ 50% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 QS 54% CAQ 46% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 QS 52% CAQ 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 52% QS 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 54% QS 46% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 54% QS 46% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 53% QS 47% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 62% QS 38% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 70% QS 30% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 70% QS 30% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 71% QS 29% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 71% QS 29% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 86% QS 14% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 88% QS 12% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 56% CAQ 44% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 52% CAQ 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 50% QS 50% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 52% QS 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 54% QS 46% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 51% CAQ 49% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 52% CAQ 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 53% CAQ 47% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 50% QS 50% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 52% QS 48% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 61% QS 39% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 70% QS 30% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 53% QS 47% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 77% QS 23% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 64% QS 36% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 54% QS 46% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 51% QS 49% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 QS 51% CAQ 49% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 78% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 78% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 92% CAQ 8% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 94% CAQ 6% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 94% CAQ 6% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17

Recent electoral history | Sherbrooke



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 12.9% 34.3% 41.9% 41% ± 8% CAQ 16.7% 23.4% 35.2% 15% ± 4% PQ 31.0% 14.6% 9.1% 25% ± 6% CPQ 0.5% 0.0% 6.7% 6% ± 3% LIB 36.4% 24.7% 5.8% 11% ± 4% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.