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Quebec

Sherbrooke


MNA: Christine Labrie (QS)
Latest projection: May 16, 2025
QS leaning

Sherbrooke 35% ± 7% QS 29% ± 6%▲ PQ 15% ± 5%▲ LIB 13% ± 4%▼ CAQ 6% ± 3%▼ CPQ QS 2022 41.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 16, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sherbrooke 85%▼ QS 15%▲ PQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | May 16, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

Popular vote projection | Sherbrooke

LIB 15% ± 5% PQ 29% ± 6% CAQ 13% ± 4% QS 35% ± 7% CPQ 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Sherbrooke 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ May 16, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 45% PQ 24% CAQ 16% LIB 7% CPQ 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 45% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 6% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 42% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 38% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 40% PQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 41% PQ 25% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS 42% PQ 24% CAQ 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 39% PQ 26% CAQ 15% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 39% PQ 29% CAQ 14% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 39% PQ 30% CAQ 12% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 39% PQ 28% CAQ 14% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 QS 36% PQ 27% LIB 14% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 QS 33% PQ 28% LIB 16% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 QS 35% PQ 27% LIB 16% CAQ 14% CPQ 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 QS 35% PQ 27% CAQ 15% LIB 14% CPQ 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 QS 35% PQ 29% LIB 15% CAQ 13% CPQ 6% 2025-05-16 ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Sherbrooke

LIB <1% PQ 15% CAQ <1% QS 85% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS May 16, 2025 2024-02-18 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 97% PQ 3% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 95% PQ 5% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 QS 95% PQ 5% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 QS 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 QS 94% PQ 6% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 QS 94% PQ 6% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 QS 85% PQ 15% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Sherbrooke



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 12.9% 34.3% 41.9% 35% ± 7% CAQ 16.7% 23.4% 35.2% 13% ± 4% PQ 31.0% 14.6% 9.1% 29% ± 6% CPQ 0.5% 0.0% 6.7% 6% ± 3% LIB 36.4% 24.7% 5.8% 15% ± 5% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%