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Quebec


Vimont


MNA: Valérie Schmaltz (CAQ)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

Likely LIB gain
Vimont 32% ± 7%▲ 24% ± 6%▼ 19% ± 6%▲ 12% ± 5%▼ 11% ± 4%▲ CAQ 2022 34.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Vimont 95%▲ 4%▼ <1% Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Vimont

LIB 32% ± 7% PQ 19% ± 6% CAQ 24% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% QCP 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vimont 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Vimont

LIB 95% PQ <1% CAQ 4% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Vimont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 19.0% 34.8% 34.3% 24% ± 6% LIB 50.5% 36.7% 29.8% 32% ± 7% QCP 0.3% 0.9% 12.9% 12% ± 5% QS 4.8% 11.5% 11.5% 11% ± 4% PQ 23.4% 12.4% 10.6% 19% ± 6% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%