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Quebec

Vimont


MNA: Valérie Schmaltz (CAQ)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
Safe LIB gain
Vimont 39% ± 8%▲ LIB 22% ± 6%▼ PQ 17% ± 5% CAQ 13% ± 5% CPQ 7% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 34.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vimont >99%▲ LIB <1%▼ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Vimont

LIB 39% ± 8% PQ 22% ± 6% CAQ 17% ± 5% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vimont 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 34% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 11% PQ 11% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ 12% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ 12% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ 13% QS 12% CPQ 10% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 34% LIB 29% PQ 14% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 34% LIB 31% PQ 13% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 35% LIB 30% PQ 14% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 35% LIB 30% PQ 14% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 32% LIB 29% PQ 15% QS 11% CPQ 11% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 30% LIB 30% PQ 13% CPQ 13% QS 11% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 30% LIB 30% PQ 13% CPQ 13% QS 11% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 31% CAQ 30% PQ 14% CPQ 13% QS 10% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 32% CAQ 24% PQ 19% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 31% CAQ 24% PQ 21% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 33% PQ 25% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 33% PQ 27% CAQ 18% CPQ 10% QS 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 36% PQ 25% CAQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 36% PQ 24% CAQ 18% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 36% PQ 24% CAQ 20% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 35% PQ 21% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 34% PQ 22% CAQ 19% CPQ 14% QS 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 18% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 35% PQ 25% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 8% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 39% PQ 22% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 7% 2025-02-06 Anglade resigns Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Vimont

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 89% LIB 11% PQ <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 75% LIB 25% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 75% LIB 25% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 78% LIB 22% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 81% LIB 19% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 67% LIB 33% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 79% LIB 21% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 79% LIB 21% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 74% LIB 26% PQ <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 51% LIB 49% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 51% LIB 49% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 58% CAQ 42% PQ <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 95% CAQ 4% PQ <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 90% CAQ 8% PQ 2% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 96% PQ 3% CAQ <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 96% PQ 2% CAQ 2% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 87% PQ 13% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 97% PQ 3% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 96% PQ 4% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 Anglade resigns Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Vimont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 19.0% 34.8% 34.3% 17% ± 5% LIB 50.5% 36.7% 29.8% 39% ± 8% CPQ 0.3% 0.9% 12.9% 13% ± 5% QS 4.8% 11.5% 11.5% 7% ± 3% PQ 23.4% 12.4% 10.6% 22% ± 6% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%