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Quebec

Vimont


MNA: Valérie Schmaltz

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Likely LIB gain
Vimont 35% ± 8%▲ LIB 24% ± 6%▲ PQ 18% ± 5%▼ CAQ 12% ± 5%▼ CPQ 8% ± 3% QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 34.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vimont 98%▼ LIB 2%▲ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Vimont

LIB 35% ± 8% PQ 24% ± 6% CAQ 18% ± 5% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vimont 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 38% LIB 32% QS 11% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 39% LIB 31% QS 11% CPQ 11% PQ 6% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 38% LIB 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 38% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 38% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 38% LIB 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 14% QS 9% PQ 7% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 14% QS 9% PQ 7% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 15% QS 9% PQ 6% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 37% LIB 31% CPQ 15% QS 9% PQ 6% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 39% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 9% PQ 7% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 40% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 9% PQ 7% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 38% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 39% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 39% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 39% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 39% LIB 30% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 38% LIB 29% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 39% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 11% PQ 10% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 39% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 11% PQ 10% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 39% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 11% PQ 10% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 39% LIB 26% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 40% LIB 27% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 40% LIB 27% CPQ 12% QS 10% PQ 9% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 38% LIB 27% CPQ 12% PQ 10% QS 10% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 38% LIB 27% CPQ 12% PQ 10% QS 10% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 39% LIB 27% CPQ 12% PQ 10% QS 10% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 39% LIB 27% CPQ 11% PQ 10% QS 10% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 38% LIB 27% CPQ 11% PQ 11% QS 10% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 38% LIB 27% CPQ 11% PQ 11% QS 10% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 34% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 11% PQ 11% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ 12% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ 12% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ 13% QS 12% CPQ 10% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 34% LIB 29% PQ 14% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 34% LIB 31% PQ 13% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 35% LIB 30% PQ 14% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 35% LIB 30% PQ 14% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 32% LIB 29% PQ 15% QS 11% CPQ 11% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 30% LIB 30% PQ 13% CPQ 13% QS 11% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 30% LIB 30% PQ 13% CPQ 13% QS 11% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 31% CAQ 30% PQ 14% CPQ 13% QS 10% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 32% CAQ 24% PQ 19% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 31% CAQ 24% PQ 21% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 33% PQ 25% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 33% PQ 27% CAQ 18% CPQ 10% QS 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 36% PQ 25% CAQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 36% PQ 24% CAQ 18% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 36% PQ 24% CAQ 20% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 35% PQ 21% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 34% PQ 22% CAQ 19% CPQ 14% QS 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 18% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Vimont

LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 82% LIB 18% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 89% LIB 11% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 86% LIB 14% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 86% LIB 14% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 86% LIB 14% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 84% LIB 16% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 80% LIB 20% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 80% LIB 20% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 80% LIB 20% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 82% LIB 18% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 92% LIB 8% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 93% LIB 7% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 89% LIB 11% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 91% LIB 9% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 91% LIB 9% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 97% LIB 3% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 97% LIB 3% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 94% LIB 6% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 96% LIB 4% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 97% LIB 3% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 96% LIB 4% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 96% LIB 4% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 95% LIB 5% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 89% LIB 11% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 75% LIB 25% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 75% LIB 25% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 78% LIB 22% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 81% LIB 19% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 67% LIB 33% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 79% LIB 21% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 79% LIB 21% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 74% LIB 26% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 51% LIB 49% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 51% LIB 49% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 58% CAQ 42% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 95% CAQ 4% PQ <1% QS <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 90% CAQ 8% PQ 2% QS <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 96% PQ 3% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 96% PQ 2% CAQ 2% QS <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 87% PQ 13% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 97% PQ 3% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 98% PQ 2% QS <1% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Vimont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 19.0% 34.8% 34.3% 18% ± 5% LIB 50.5% 36.7% 29.8% 35% ± 8% CPQ 0.3% 0.9% 12.9% 12% ± 5% QS 4.8% 11.5% 11.5% 8% ± 3% PQ 23.4% 12.4% 10.6% 24% ± 6% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.