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Quebec

Vimont


MNA: Valérie Schmaltz (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Vimont


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 50% ± 8% 50.5% 36.7% 29.8% PQ 18% ± 5% 23.4% 12.4% 10.6% CPQ 12% ± 4% 0.3% 0.9% 12.9% CAQ 11% ± 4% 19.0% 34.8% 34.3% QS 5% ± 3% 4.8% 11.5% 11.5%




338Canada projection for Vimont


Vimont 50% ± 8%▲ LIB 18% ± 5%▼ PQ 12% ± 4%▼ CPQ 11% ± 4%▼ CAQ 5% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 34.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vimont >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vimont

LIB 50% ± 8% PQ 18% ± 5% CAQ 11% ± 4% QS 5% ± 3% CPQ 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Vimont 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 32% PQ 23% CAQ 22% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 33% PQ 25% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 10% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 33% PQ 27% CAQ 18% CPQ 10% QS 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 36% PQ 25% CAQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 36% PQ 24% CAQ 18% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 36% PQ 24% CAQ 20% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 19% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 35% PQ 21% CAQ 20% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 34% PQ 22% CAQ 19% CPQ 14% QS 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 18% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 35% PQ 25% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 35% PQ 24% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 8% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 39% PQ 22% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 40% PQ 22% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 40% PQ 21% CAQ 18% CPQ 13% QS 6% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 39% PQ 21% CAQ 18% CPQ 13% QS 6% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 41% PQ 21% CAQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 6% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 47% PQ 19% CPQ 13% CAQ 12% QS 6% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 50% PQ 18% CPQ 12% CAQ 11% QS 5% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Vimont

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 96% CAQ 2% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 93% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 87% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 97% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 99% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 96% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader