logo
Quebec


Charlesbourg


MNA: Jonatan Julien (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Safe PQ gain
Charlesbourg 38% ± 7%▲ 21% ± 5%▼ 20% ± 6% 13% ± 4%▲ 6% ± 3% CAQ 2022 45.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Charlesbourg >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Charlesbourg

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 38% ± 7% CAQ 21% ± 5% QS 13% ± 4% QCP 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Charlesbourg 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Charlesbourg

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% QCP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Charlesbourg



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 33.7% 48.1% 45.0% 21% ± 5% QCP 1.1% 3.7% 20.4% 20% ± 6% PQ 17.5% 11.7% 14.2% 38% ± 7% QS 4.8% 13.5% 13.0% 13% ± 4% LIB 41.3% 22.4% 6.0% 6% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%