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Quebec


Lotbinière-Frontenac


MNA: Isabelle Lecours (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Toss up CAQ/QCP
Lotbinière-Frontenac 31% ± 7%▼ 30% ± 8%▼ 21% ± 6%▲ 10% ± 4% 7% ± 3%▼ CAQ 2022 43.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Lotbinière-Frontenac 58%▲ 42%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Lotbinière-Frontenac

LIB 7% ± 3% PQ 21% ± 6% CAQ 31% ± 7% QS 10% ± 4% QCP 30% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Lotbinière-Frontenac 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Lotbinière-Frontenac

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ 58% QS <1% QCP 42% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Lotbinière-Frontenac



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 29.8% 53.7% 43.7% 31% ± 7% QCP 1.1% 3.7% 32.2% 30% ± 8% QS 3.6% 9.5% 9.4% 10% ± 4% PQ 15.6% 9.5% 8.8% 21% ± 6% LIB 49.0% 20.5% 5.9% 7% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%