The 450
34 provincial districts
Latest update: October 26, 2026
Seat and vote projections — The 450
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The 450
34 provincial districts
Latest update: October 26, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Quebec Projection | The 450
Quebec Seat Projection | The 450
List of districts | The 450
Latest update: October 26, 2026
Projected ahead:
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Alexandre Daneau
|
Safe PQ | |
Nadine Le Gal
|
Likely PQ | |
Cedric Gagnon-Ducharme
|
Safe PQ | |
Julie Guyot
|
Safe PQ | |
Félix Rhéaume
|
Likely LIB | |
Madeleine Féquière
|
Safe LIB | |
Linda Vaillant
|
Safe PQ | |
Marie Claude Fournier
|
Safe LIB | |
Marie-Claude Sarrazin
|
Likely PQ | |
Frédéric Laplante
|
Leaning PQ | |
Maxime Laporte
|
Safe PQ | |
Linda Caron
|
Safe LIB | |
Sonia Ziadé
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
David Bowles
|
Safe LIB | |
Caroline De Guire
|
Safe LIB | |
Dieudonné Ella Oyono
|
Safe PQ | |
Nicolas Marceau
|
Likely PQ | |
Stéphane Hanfield
|
Safe PQ | |
Virginie Dufour
|
Safe LIB | |
Geneviève Couture
|
Safe PQ | |
Mathieu Lavoie
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
Nicolas Girard
|
Safe PQ | |
Jocelyn Desjardins
|
Safe PQ | |
Mathieu Lebrun
|
Likely PQ | |
Gaétan Bédard
|
Safe PQ | |
Cécile Tremblay
|
Likely LIB | |
Alain Therrien
|
Safe PQ | |
Olivier Bertin-Mahieux
|
Likely LIB | |
Sandra Hernandez
|
Leaning PQ | |
Catherine Gentilcore
|
Safe PQ | |
Stephan Fogaing
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
James Hughes
|
Safe LIB | |
Guy Lapointe Jr
|
Safe PQ | |
Louis Ialenti
|
Safe LIB |