Coalition avenir Québec
Latest update: March 31, 2026
| Leader | François Legault |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 41.0% |
| Current vote projection | 10.3% ± 2.0% |
| Current number of MNA's | 79 |
| Current seat projection | 0 [0-0] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | March 31, 2026
Seat projection | March 31, 2026
List of favourable electoral districts | Coalition avenir Québec
| Electoral districts | Current party | Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Christine Fréchette
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 2. | Sonia LeBel
|
Likely PQ | |
| 3. | François Legault
|
Likely PQ | |
| 4. | François Bonnardel
|
Likely PQ | |
| 5. | Simon Jolin-Barrette
|
Safe PQ | |
| 6. | Audrey Bogemans
|
Likely PQ | |
| 7. | Bernard Drainville
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ |