Coalition avenir Québec

Last update: December 22, 2022
Leader | François Legault |
National popular vote in 2022 | 41.0% |
Current vote projection | 40.6% ± 5.5% |
Current number of MNA's | 90 |
Current seat projection | 89 [79-97] |
Vote projection | December 22, 2022
Seat projection | December 22, 2022
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Coalition avenir Québec
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Chicoutimi | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
2. | Jonquière | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
3. | L’Assomption | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
4. | Granby | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
5. | René-Lévesque | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
6. | Dubuc | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
7. | Champlain | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
8. | Roberval | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
9. | Richelieu | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
10. | Saint-Hyacinthe | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
11. | Maskinongé | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
12. | Beauharnois | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
13. | Papineau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
14. | Iberville | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
15. | Arthabaska | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
16. | La Prairie | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
17. | Johnson | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
18. | Chapleau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
19. | Labelle | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
20. | Drummond–Bois-Francs | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
21. | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
22. | Repentigny | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
23. | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
24. | Masson | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
25. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
26. | Borduas | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
27. | Les Plaines | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
28. | Saint-Jean | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
29. | Mirabel | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
30. | Saint-Jérôme | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
31. | Lévis | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
32. | Blainville | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
33. | Terrebonne | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
34. | Sanguinet | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
35. | Côte-du-Sud | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
36. | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
37. | Chambly | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
38. | Vanier-Les Rivières | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
39. | Groulx | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
40. | Abitibi-Est | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
41. | Nicolet-Bécancour | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
42. | Louis-Hébert | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
43. | Richmond | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
44. | Gatineau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
45. | Huntingdon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
46. | Deux-Montagnes | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
47. | Brome-Missisquoi | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
48. | Charlesbourg | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
49. | Argenteuil | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
50. | Vachon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
51. | Orford | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
52. | Verchères | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
53. | Rousseau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
54. | Berthier | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
55. | Mégantic | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
56. | Montarville | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
57. | Pointe-aux-Trembles | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
58. | Prévost | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
59. | Soulanges | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
60. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
61. | Bertrand | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
62. | Abitibi-Ouest | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
63. | Montmorency | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
64. | Taillon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
65. | Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
66. | Portneuf | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
67. | La Peltrie | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
68. | Chauveau | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
69. | Sainte-Rose | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
70. | Saint-François | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
71. | Châteauguay | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
72. | Duplessis | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 98% |
73. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 98% |
74. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 98% |
75. | Bellechasse | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 96% |
76. | Jean-Talon | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 93% |
77. | Ungava | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 93% |
78. | Hull | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 92% |
79. | Joliette | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 89% |
80. | Bonaventure | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 88% |
81. | Rimouski | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 88% |
82. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 77% |
83. | Vimont | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 75% |
84. | Marie-Victorin | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 75% |
85. | Beauce-Sud | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 73% |
86. | Beauce-Nord | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 71% |
87. | Laval-des-Rapides | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 70% |
88. | Laporte | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 62% |
89. | Fabre | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 56% |
90. | Mille-Îles | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 42% |
91. | Vaudreuil | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 41% |
92. | Gaspé | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CAQ | 41% |
93. | Sherbrooke | ![]() |
QS leaning hold | 22% |
94. | Jean-Lesage | ![]() |
QS leaning hold | 20% |
95. | La Pinière | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 15% |
96. | Maurice-Richard | ![]() |
QS leaning hold | 13% |
97. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | ![]() |
Leaning PQ hold | 12% |
98. | Camille-Laurin (Bourget) | ![]() |
Likely PQ hold | 6% |
99. | Chomedey | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 6% |
100. | Verdun | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/QS | 3% |
101. | Bourassa-Sauvé | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 1% |
102. | Rosemont | ![]() |
QS likely hold | 1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Chicoutimi | Safe CAQ hold |
2. | Jonquière | Safe CAQ hold |
3. | L’Assomption | Safe CAQ hold |
4. | Granby | Safe CAQ hold |
5. | René-Lévesque | Safe CAQ hold |
6. | Dubuc | Safe CAQ hold |
7. | Champlain | Safe CAQ hold |
8. | Roberval | Safe CAQ hold |
9. | Richelieu | Safe CAQ hold |
10. | Saint-Hyacinthe | Safe CAQ hold |
11. | Maskinongé | Safe CAQ hold |
12. | Beauharnois | Safe CAQ hold |
13. | Papineau | Safe CAQ hold |
14. | Iberville | Safe CAQ hold |
15. | Arthabaska | Safe CAQ hold |
16. | La Prairie | Safe CAQ hold |
17. | Johnson | Safe CAQ hold |
18. | Chapleau | Safe CAQ hold |
19. | Labelle | Safe CAQ hold |
20. | Drummond–Bois-Francs | Safe CAQ hold |
21. | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | Safe CAQ hold |
22. | Repentigny | Safe CAQ hold |
23. | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | Safe CAQ hold |
24. | Masson | Safe CAQ hold |
25. | Trois-Rivières | Safe CAQ hold |
26. | Borduas | Safe CAQ hold |
27. | Les Plaines | Safe CAQ hold |
28. | Saint-Jean | Safe CAQ hold |
29. | Mirabel | Safe CAQ hold |
30. | Saint-Jérôme | Safe CAQ hold |
31. | Lévis | Safe CAQ hold |
32. | Blainville | Safe CAQ hold |
33. | Terrebonne | Safe CAQ hold |
34. | Sanguinet | Safe CAQ hold |
35. | Côte-du-Sud | Safe CAQ hold |
36. | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | Safe CAQ hold |
37. | Chambly | Safe CAQ hold |
38. | Vanier-Les Rivières | Safe CAQ hold |
39. | Groulx | Safe CAQ hold |
40. | Abitibi-Est | Safe CAQ hold |
41. | Nicolet-Bécancour | Safe CAQ hold |
42. | Louis-Hébert | Safe CAQ hold |
43. | Richmond | Safe CAQ hold |
44. | Gatineau | Safe CAQ hold |
45. | Huntingdon | Safe CAQ hold |
46. | Deux-Montagnes | Safe CAQ hold |
47. | Brome-Missisquoi | Safe CAQ hold |
48. | Charlesbourg | Safe CAQ hold |
49. | Argenteuil | Safe CAQ hold |
50. | Vachon | Safe CAQ hold |
51. | Orford | Safe CAQ hold |
52. | Verchères | Safe CAQ hold |
53. | Rousseau | Safe CAQ hold |
54. | Berthier | Safe CAQ hold |
55. | Mégantic | Safe CAQ hold |
56. | Montarville | Safe CAQ hold |
57. | Pointe-aux-Trembles | Safe CAQ hold |
58. | Prévost | Safe CAQ hold |
59. | Soulanges | Safe CAQ hold |
60. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | Safe CAQ hold |
61. | Bertrand | Safe CAQ hold |
62. | Abitibi-Ouest | Safe CAQ hold |
63. | Montmorency | Safe CAQ hold |
64. | Taillon | Safe CAQ hold |
65. | Lac-Saint-Jean | Safe CAQ hold |
66. | Portneuf | Safe CAQ hold |
67. | La Peltrie | Likely CAQ hold |
68. | Chauveau | Likely CAQ hold |
69. | Sainte-Rose | Likely CAQ hold |
70. | Saint-François | Likely CAQ hold |
71. | Châteauguay | Likely CAQ hold |
72. | Duplessis | Likely CAQ hold |
73. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | Likely CAQ hold |
74. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Likely CAQ hold |
75. | Bellechasse | Likely CAQ hold |
76. | Jean-Talon | Likely CAQ hold |
77. | Ungava | Likely CAQ hold |
78. | Hull | Likely CAQ hold |
79. | Joliette | Leaning CAQ hold |
80. | Bonaventure | Leaning CAQ hold |
81. | Rimouski | Leaning CAQ hold |
82. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | Leaning CAQ hold |
83. | Vimont | Leaning CAQ hold |
84. | Marie-Victorin | Leaning CAQ hold |
85. | Beauce-Sud | Leaning CAQ hold |
86. | Beauce-Nord | Leaning CAQ hold |
87. | Laval-des-Rapides | Leaning CAQ hold |
88. | Laporte | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
89. | Fabre | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
90. | Mille-Îles | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
91. | Vaudreuil | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
92. | Gaspé | Toss up PQ/CAQ |
93. | Sherbrooke | QS leaning hold |
94. | Jean-Lesage | QS leaning hold |
95. | La Pinière | Leaning LIB hold |
96. | Maurice-Richard | QS leaning hold |
97. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | Leaning PQ hold |
98. | Camille-Laurin (Bourget) | Likely PQ hold |
99. | Chomedey | Likely LIB hold |
100. | Verdun | Toss up LIB/QS |
101. | Bourassa-Sauvé | Likely LIB hold |
102. | Rosemont | QS likely hold |