Coalition avenir Québec

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Coalition avenir Québec

	Dstricts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Champlain	Toss up PQ/CAQ	36%
2.	Iberville	Toss up PQ/CAQ	33%
3.	La Prairie	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	26%
4.	Granby	Leaning PQ	25%
5.	Johnson	Leaning PQ	19%
6.	L’Assomption	Leaning PQ	13%
7.	Mégantic	Toss up PQ/CPQ	6%
8.	Trois-Rivières	Likely PQ	4%
9.	Nicolet-Bécancour	Likely PQ	3%
10.	Richmond	Toss up LIB/PQ	3%
11.	Montarville	Leaning PQ	2%
12.	Côte-du-Sud	Leaning PQ	2%
13.	Maskinongé	Likely PQ	1%
14.	Drummond–Bois-Francs	Likely PQ	1%
15.	Groulx	Likely PQ	1%
16.	Saint-Hyacinthe	Likely PQ	1%
17.	Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata	Likely PQ	1%
18.	Abitibi-Est	Leaning PQ	1%
19.	Lévis	Likely PQ	1%