Coalition avenir Québec

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Coalition avenir Québec

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Arthabaska		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
2.	Masson		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
3.	Repentigny		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
4.	Rousseau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
5.	L’Assomption		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
6.	Nicolet-Bécancour		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
7.	Richelieu		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
8.	Mirabel		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
9.	Drummond–Bois-Francs		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
10.	Chicoutimi		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
11.	Granby		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
12.	Johnson		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
13.	Champlain		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
14.	Blainville		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
15.	La Prairie		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
16.	Laviolette-Saint-Maurice		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
17.	Saint-Hyacinthe		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
18.	Les Plaines		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
19.	Jonquière		Safe CAQ gain	>99%
20.	Berthier		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
21.	Prévost		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
22.	Dubuc		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
23.	Abitibi-Est		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
24.	Beauharnois		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
25.	Sanguinet		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
26.	Chambly		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
27.	Groulx		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
28.	Mégantic		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
29.	Montarville		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
30.	Deux-Montagnes		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
31.	Papineau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
32.	Trois-Rivières		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
33.	Saint-Jean		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
34.	Iberville		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
35.	Saint-Jérôme		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
36.	Richmond		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
37.	Vachon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
38.	Pointe-aux-Trembles		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
39.	Borduas		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
40.	Argenteuil		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
41.	Bertrand		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
42.	Maskinongé		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
43.	Roberval		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
44.	Lac-Saint-Jean		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
45.	Brome-Missisquoi		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
46.	Terrebonne		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
47.	Orford		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
48.	Taillon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
49.	Jean-Talon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
50.	Labelle		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
51.	Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
52.	Gatineau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
53.	Verchères		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
54.	Abitibi-Ouest		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
55.	Soulanges		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
56.	Sainte-Rose		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
57.	Louis-Hébert		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
58.	Châteauguay		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
59.	Chapleau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
60.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
61.	Ungava		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
62.	Huntingdon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
63.	Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré		Likely CAQ hold	99%
64.	Portneuf		Likely CAQ hold	99%
65.	La Peltrie		Likely CAQ hold	99%
66.	Bellechasse		Likely CAQ hold	99%
67.	Montmorency		Likely CAQ hold	99%
68.	Fabre		Likely CAQ gain	99%
69.	Lévis		Likely CAQ hold	99%
70.	Côte-du-Sud		Likely CAQ hold	99%
71.	Laval-des-Rapides		Likely CAQ gain	98%
72.	Lotbinière-Frontenac		Likely CAQ hold	97%
73.	Vimont		Likely CAQ gain	97%
74.	Duplessis		Likely CAQ gain	97%
75.	Rimouski		Likely CAQ gain	94%
76.	Vanier-Les Rivières		Likely CAQ hold	93%
77.	Mille-Îles		Likely CAQ gain	93%
78.	Charlesbourg		Likely CAQ hold	92%
79.	René-Lévesque		Likely CAQ gain	90%
80.	Marie-Victorin		Leaning CAQ hold	88%
81.	Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue		Leaning CAQ gain	88%
82.	Vaudreuil		Leaning CAQ gain	86%
83.	Anjou–Louis-Riel		Leaning CAQ gain	86%
84.	Saint-François		Leaning CAQ hold	83%
85.	Gaspé		Leaning CAQ gain	82%
86.	Chauveau		Leaning CAQ hold	79%
87.	Camille-Laurin (Bourget)		Leaning CAQ hold	77%
88.	Joliette		Leaning CAQ gain	75%
89.	Bonaventure		Leaning CAQ gain	75%
90.	Laporte		Leaning CAQ gain	74%
91.	Sherbrooke		Toss up CAQ/QS	70%
92.	Beauce-Nord		Toss up CAQ/QCP	69%
93.	Îles-de-la-Madeleine		Toss up PQ/CAQ	68%
94.	Maurice-Richard		Toss up CAQ/QS	60%
95.	Beauce-Sud		Toss up CAQ/QCP	58%
96.	Jean-Lesage		Toss up CAQ/QS	55%
97.	Verdun		Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS	48%
98.	Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne		Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS	38%
99.	La Pinière		Leaning LIB hold	27%
100.	Hull		Leaning LIB hold	25%
101.	Marquette		Leaning LIB hold	18%
102.	Bourassa-Sauvé		Leaning LIB hold	11%
103.	Marguerite-Bourgeoys		Likely LIB hold	7%
104.	Taschereau		QS likely hold	4%
105.	Rosemont		QS likely hold	2%
106.	Chomedey		Likely LIB hold	2%
107.	LaFontaine		Likely LIB hold	<1%