Coalition avenir Québec

Last update: May 28, 2022
Leader | François Legault |
National popular vote in 2018 | 37.4% |
Current vote projection | 43.3% ± 5.1% |
Current number of MNA's | 76 |
Current seat projection | 100 [87-109] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Coalition avenir Québec
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Arthabaska | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
2. | Mirabel | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
3. | Rousseau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
4. | Drummond–Bois-Francs | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
5. | Nicolet-Bécancour | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
6. | Richelieu | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
7. | Granby | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
8. | Repentigny | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
9. | L’Assomption | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
10. | Saint-Hyacinthe | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
11. | Masson | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
12. | Johnson | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
13. | Champlain | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
14. | Les Plaines | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
15. | Blainville | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
16. | Beauharnois | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
17. | Sanguinet | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
18. | Deux-Montagnes | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
19. | Iberville | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
20. | Berthier | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
21. | La Prairie | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
22. | Groulx | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
23. | Mégantic | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
24. | Saint-Jérôme | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
25. | Prévost | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
26. | Saint-Jean | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
27. | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
28. | Borduas | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
29. | Bertrand | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
30. | Papineau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
31. | Pointe-aux-Trembles | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
32. | Chambly | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
33. | Richmond | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
34. | Argenteuil | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
35. | Montarville | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
36. | Dubuc | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
37. | Abitibi-Est | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
38. | Terrebonne | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
39. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
40. | Roberval | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
41. | Maskinongé | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
42. | Vachon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
43. | Labelle | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
44. | Brome-Missisquoi | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
45. | Orford | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
46. | Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
47. | Gatineau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
48. | Abitibi-Ouest | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
49. | Chicoutimi | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
50. | Taillon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
51. | Saint-François | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
52. | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
53. | Verchères | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
54. | Soulanges | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
55. | Louis-Hébert | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
56. | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
57. | Jean-Talon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
58. | Côte-du-Sud | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
59. | Duplessis | ![]() |
Safe CAQ gain | >99% |
60. | Sainte-Rose | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
61. | Chapleau | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
62. | Huntingdon | ![]() |
Safe CAQ hold | >99% |
63. | Jonquière | ![]() |
Safe CAQ gain | >99% |
64. | Montmorency | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
65. | Lévis | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
66. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
67. | Ungava | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 99% |
68. | Laval-des-Rapides | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 99% |
69. | Portneuf | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 98% |
70. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 98% |
71. | Bellechasse | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 98% |
72. | Châteauguay | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 98% |
73. | Hull | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 98% |
74. | Marie-Victorin | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 97% |
75. | Rimouski | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 97% |
76. | La Peltrie | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 97% |
77. | Charlesbourg | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 96% |
78. | Vanier-Les Rivières | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 96% |
79. | Bonaventure | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 95% |
80. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 95% |
81. | Bourget | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 94% |
82. | Vimont | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 89% |
83. | Mille-Îles | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 88% |
84. | Joliette | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 87% |
85. | René-Lévesque | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 87% |
86. | Fabre | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 87% |
87. | La Pinière | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 86% |
88. | Maurice-Richard | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 85% |
89. | Laporte | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 85% |
90. | Vaudreuil | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 83% |
91. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 82% |
92. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 81% |
93. | Verdun | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 79% |
94. | Beauce-Nord | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 77% |
95. | Beauce-Sud | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 77% |
96. | Marquette | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 76% |
97. | Gaspé | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 76% |
98. | Jean-Lesage | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 75% |
99. | Chauveau | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 73% |
100. | Sherbrooke | ![]() |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 58% |
101. | Rosemont | ![]() |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 43% |
102. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 39% |
103. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS | 34% |
104. | Bourassa-Sauvé | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 30% |
105. | Viau | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 10% |
106. | LaFontaine | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 8% |
107. | Pontiac | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 5% |
108. | Taschereau | ![]() |
QS likely hold | 5% |
109. | Chomedey | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Arthabaska | Safe CAQ hold |
2. | Mirabel | Safe CAQ hold |
3. | Rousseau | Safe CAQ hold |
4. | Drummond–Bois-Francs | Safe CAQ hold |
5. | Nicolet-Bécancour | Safe CAQ hold |
6. | Richelieu | Safe CAQ hold |
7. | Granby | Safe CAQ hold |
8. | Repentigny | Safe CAQ hold |
9. | L’Assomption | Safe CAQ hold |
10. | Saint-Hyacinthe | Safe CAQ hold |
11. | Masson | Safe CAQ hold |
12. | Johnson | Safe CAQ hold |
13. | Champlain | Safe CAQ hold |
14. | Les Plaines | Safe CAQ hold |
15. | Blainville | Safe CAQ hold |
16. | Beauharnois | Safe CAQ hold |
17. | Sanguinet | Safe CAQ hold |
18. | Deux-Montagnes | Safe CAQ hold |
19. | Iberville | Safe CAQ hold |
20. | Berthier | Safe CAQ hold |
21. | La Prairie | Safe CAQ hold |
22. | Groulx | Safe CAQ hold |
23. | Mégantic | Safe CAQ hold |
24. | Saint-Jérôme | Safe CAQ hold |
25. | Prévost | Safe CAQ hold |
26. | Saint-Jean | Safe CAQ hold |
27. | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | Safe CAQ hold |
28. | Borduas | Safe CAQ hold |
29. | Bertrand | Safe CAQ hold |
30. | Papineau | Safe CAQ hold |
31. | Pointe-aux-Trembles | Safe CAQ hold |
32. | Chambly | Safe CAQ hold |
33. | Richmond | Safe CAQ hold |
34. | Argenteuil | Safe CAQ hold |
35. | Montarville | Safe CAQ hold |
36. | Dubuc | Safe CAQ hold |
37. | Abitibi-Est | Safe CAQ hold |
38. | Terrebonne | Safe CAQ hold |
39. | Trois-Rivières | Safe CAQ hold |
40. | Roberval | Safe CAQ hold |
41. | Maskinongé | Safe CAQ hold |
42. | Vachon | Safe CAQ hold |
43. | Labelle | Safe CAQ hold |
44. | Brome-Missisquoi | Safe CAQ hold |
45. | Orford | Safe CAQ hold |
46. | Lac-Saint-Jean | Safe CAQ hold |
47. | Gatineau | Safe CAQ hold |
48. | Abitibi-Ouest | Safe CAQ hold |
49. | Chicoutimi | Safe CAQ hold |
50. | Taillon | Safe CAQ hold |
51. | Saint-François | Safe CAQ hold |
52. | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | Safe CAQ hold |
53. | Verchères | Safe CAQ hold |
54. | Soulanges | Safe CAQ hold |
55. | Louis-Hébert | Safe CAQ hold |
56. | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | Safe CAQ hold |
57. | Jean-Talon | Safe CAQ hold |
58. | Côte-du-Sud | Safe CAQ hold |
59. | Duplessis | Safe CAQ gain |
60. | Sainte-Rose | Safe CAQ hold |
61. | Chapleau | Safe CAQ hold |
62. | Huntingdon | Safe CAQ hold |
63. | Jonquière | Safe CAQ gain |
64. | Montmorency | Likely CAQ hold |
65. | Lévis | Likely CAQ hold |
66. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | Likely CAQ hold |
67. | Ungava | Likely CAQ hold |
68. | Laval-des-Rapides | Likely CAQ gain |
69. | Portneuf | Likely CAQ hold |
70. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Likely CAQ gain |
71. | Bellechasse | Likely CAQ hold |
72. | Châteauguay | Likely CAQ hold |
73. | Hull | Likely CAQ gain |
74. | Marie-Victorin | Likely CAQ hold |
75. | Rimouski | Likely CAQ gain |
76. | La Peltrie | Likely CAQ hold |
77. | Charlesbourg | Likely CAQ hold |
78. | Vanier-Les Rivières | Likely CAQ hold |
79. | Bonaventure | Likely CAQ gain |
80. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | Likely CAQ hold |
81. | Bourget | Likely CAQ hold |
82. | Vimont | Leaning CAQ gain |
83. | Mille-Îles | Leaning CAQ gain |
84. | Joliette | Leaning CAQ gain |
85. | René-Lévesque | Leaning CAQ gain |
86. | Fabre | Leaning CAQ gain |
87. | La Pinière | Leaning CAQ gain |
88. | Maurice-Richard | Leaning CAQ gain |
89. | Laporte | Leaning CAQ gain |
90. | Vaudreuil | Leaning CAQ gain |
91. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | Leaning CAQ gain |
92. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | Leaning CAQ gain |
93. | Verdun | Leaning CAQ gain |
94. | Beauce-Nord | Leaning CAQ hold |
95. | Beauce-Sud | Leaning CAQ hold |
96. | Marquette | Leaning CAQ gain |
97. | Gaspé | Leaning CAQ gain |
98. | Jean-Lesage | Leaning CAQ gain |
99. | Chauveau | Leaning CAQ hold |
100. | Sherbrooke | Toss up CAQ/QS |
101. | Rosemont | Toss up CAQ/QS |
102. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
103. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS |
104. | Bourassa-Sauvé | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
105. | Viau | Leaning LIB hold |
106. | LaFontaine | Likely LIB hold |
107. | Pontiac | Likely LIB hold |
108. | Taschereau | QS likely hold |
109. | Chomedey | Likely LIB hold |