logo
Quebec

Coalition avenir Québec





Last update: May 28, 2022

LeaderFrançois Legault
National popular vote in 201837.4%
Current vote projection43.3% ± 5.1%
Current number of MNA's76
Current seat projection100 [87-109]



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Coalition avenir Québec



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Arthabaska Safe CAQ hold >99%
2. Mirabel Safe CAQ hold >99%
3. Rousseau Safe CAQ hold >99%
4. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe CAQ hold >99%
5. Nicolet-Bécancour Safe CAQ hold >99%
6. Richelieu Safe CAQ hold >99%
7. Granby Safe CAQ hold >99%
8. Repentigny Safe CAQ hold >99%
9. L’Assomption Safe CAQ hold >99%
10. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe CAQ hold >99%
11. Masson Safe CAQ hold >99%
12. Johnson Safe CAQ hold >99%
13. Champlain Safe CAQ hold >99%
14. Les Plaines Safe CAQ hold >99%
15. Blainville Safe CAQ hold >99%
16. Beauharnois Safe CAQ hold >99%
17. Sanguinet Safe CAQ hold >99%
18. Deux-Montagnes Safe CAQ hold >99%
19. Iberville Safe CAQ hold >99%
20. Berthier Safe CAQ hold >99%
21. La Prairie Safe CAQ hold >99%
22. Groulx Safe CAQ hold >99%
23. Mégantic Safe CAQ hold >99%
24. Saint-Jérôme Safe CAQ hold >99%
25. Prévost Safe CAQ hold >99%
26. Saint-Jean Safe CAQ hold >99%
27. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe CAQ hold >99%
28. Borduas Safe CAQ hold >99%
29. Bertrand Safe CAQ hold >99%
30. Papineau Safe CAQ hold >99%
31. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe CAQ hold >99%
32. Chambly Safe CAQ hold >99%
33. Richmond Safe CAQ hold >99%
34. Argenteuil Safe CAQ hold >99%
35. Montarville Safe CAQ hold >99%
36. Dubuc Safe CAQ hold >99%
37. Abitibi-Est Safe CAQ hold >99%
38. Terrebonne Safe CAQ hold >99%
39. Trois-Rivières Safe CAQ hold >99%
40. Roberval Safe CAQ hold >99%
41. Maskinongé Safe CAQ hold >99%
42. Vachon Safe CAQ hold >99%
43. Labelle Safe CAQ hold >99%
44. Brome-Missisquoi Safe CAQ hold >99%
45. Orford Safe CAQ hold >99%
46. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe CAQ hold >99%
47. Gatineau Safe CAQ hold >99%
48. Abitibi-Ouest Safe CAQ hold >99%
49. Chicoutimi Safe CAQ hold >99%
50. Taillon Safe CAQ hold >99%
51. Saint-François Safe CAQ hold >99%
52. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe CAQ hold >99%
53. Verchères Safe CAQ hold >99%
54. Soulanges Safe CAQ hold >99%
55. Louis-Hébert Safe CAQ hold >99%
56. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe CAQ hold >99%
57. Jean-Talon Safe CAQ hold >99%
58. Côte-du-Sud Safe CAQ hold >99%
59. Duplessis Safe CAQ gain >99%
60. Sainte-Rose Safe CAQ hold >99%
61. Chapleau Safe CAQ hold >99%
62. Huntingdon Safe CAQ hold >99%
63. Jonquière Safe CAQ gain >99%
64. Montmorency Likely CAQ hold 99%
65. Lévis Likely CAQ hold 99%
66. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Likely CAQ hold 99%
67. Ungava Likely CAQ hold 99%
68. Laval-des-Rapides Likely CAQ gain 99%
69. Portneuf Likely CAQ hold 98%
70. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ gain 98%
71. Bellechasse Likely CAQ hold 98%
72. Châteauguay Likely CAQ hold 98%
73. Hull Likely CAQ gain 98%
74. Marie-Victorin Likely CAQ hold 97%
75. Rimouski Likely CAQ gain 97%
76. La Peltrie Likely CAQ hold 97%
77. Charlesbourg Likely CAQ hold 96%
78. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely CAQ hold 96%
79. Bonaventure Likely CAQ gain 95%
80. Lotbinière-Frontenac Likely CAQ hold 95%
81. Bourget Likely CAQ hold 94%
82. Vimont Leaning CAQ gain 89%
83. Mille-Îles Leaning CAQ gain 88%
84. Joliette Leaning CAQ gain 87%
85. René-Lévesque Leaning CAQ gain 87%
86. Fabre Leaning CAQ gain 87%
87. La Pinière Leaning CAQ gain 86%
88. Maurice-Richard Leaning CAQ gain 85%
89. Laporte Leaning CAQ gain 85%
90. Vaudreuil Leaning CAQ gain 83%
91. Anjou–Louis-Riel Leaning CAQ gain 82%
92. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Leaning CAQ gain 81%
93. Verdun Leaning CAQ gain 79%
94. Beauce-Nord Leaning CAQ hold 77%
95. Beauce-Sud Leaning CAQ hold 77%
96. Marquette Leaning CAQ gain 76%
97. Gaspé Leaning CAQ gain 76%
98. Jean-Lesage Leaning CAQ gain 75%
99. Chauveau Leaning CAQ hold 73%
100. Sherbrooke Toss up CAQ/QS 58%
101. Rosemont Toss up CAQ/QS 43%
102. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Toss up LIB/CAQ 39%
103. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS 34%
104. Bourassa-Sauvé Toss up LIB/CAQ 30%
105. Viau Leaning LIB hold 10%
106. LaFontaine Likely LIB hold 8%
107. Pontiac Likely LIB hold 5%
108. Taschereau QS likely hold 5%
109. Chomedey Likely LIB hold 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Arthabaska Safe CAQ hold
2. Mirabel Safe CAQ hold
3. Rousseau Safe CAQ hold
4. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe CAQ hold
5. Nicolet-Bécancour Safe CAQ hold
6. Richelieu Safe CAQ hold
7. Granby Safe CAQ hold
8. Repentigny Safe CAQ hold
9. L’Assomption Safe CAQ hold
10. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe CAQ hold
11. Masson Safe CAQ hold
12. Johnson Safe CAQ hold
13. Champlain Safe CAQ hold
14. Les Plaines Safe CAQ hold
15. Blainville Safe CAQ hold
16. Beauharnois Safe CAQ hold
17. Sanguinet Safe CAQ hold
18. Deux-Montagnes Safe CAQ hold
19. Iberville Safe CAQ hold
20. Berthier Safe CAQ hold
21. La Prairie Safe CAQ hold
22. Groulx Safe CAQ hold
23. Mégantic Safe CAQ hold
24. Saint-Jérôme Safe CAQ hold
25. Prévost Safe CAQ hold
26. Saint-Jean Safe CAQ hold
27. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe CAQ hold
28. Borduas Safe CAQ hold
29. Bertrand Safe CAQ hold
30. Papineau Safe CAQ hold
31. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe CAQ hold
32. Chambly Safe CAQ hold
33. Richmond Safe CAQ hold
34. Argenteuil Safe CAQ hold
35. Montarville Safe CAQ hold
36. Dubuc Safe CAQ hold
37. Abitibi-Est Safe CAQ hold
38. Terrebonne Safe CAQ hold
39. Trois-Rivières Safe CAQ hold
40. Roberval Safe CAQ hold
41. Maskinongé Safe CAQ hold
42. Vachon Safe CAQ hold
43. Labelle Safe CAQ hold
44. Brome-Missisquoi Safe CAQ hold
45. Orford Safe CAQ hold
46. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe CAQ hold
47. Gatineau Safe CAQ hold
48. Abitibi-Ouest Safe CAQ hold
49. Chicoutimi Safe CAQ hold
50. Taillon Safe CAQ hold
51. Saint-François Safe CAQ hold
52. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe CAQ hold
53. Verchères Safe CAQ hold
54. Soulanges Safe CAQ hold
55. Louis-Hébert Safe CAQ hold
56. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe CAQ hold
57. Jean-Talon Safe CAQ hold
58. Côte-du-Sud Safe CAQ hold
59. Duplessis Safe CAQ gain
60. Sainte-Rose Safe CAQ hold
61. Chapleau Safe CAQ hold
62. Huntingdon Safe CAQ hold
63. Jonquière Safe CAQ gain
64. Montmorency Likely CAQ hold
65. Lévis Likely CAQ hold
66. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Likely CAQ hold
67. Ungava Likely CAQ hold
68. Laval-des-Rapides Likely CAQ gain
69. Portneuf Likely CAQ hold
70. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ gain
71. Bellechasse Likely CAQ hold
72. Châteauguay Likely CAQ hold
73. Hull Likely CAQ gain
74. Marie-Victorin Likely CAQ hold
75. Rimouski Likely CAQ gain
76. La Peltrie Likely CAQ hold
77. Charlesbourg Likely CAQ hold
78. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely CAQ hold
79. Bonaventure Likely CAQ gain
80. Lotbinière-Frontenac Likely CAQ hold
81. Bourget Likely CAQ hold
82. Vimont Leaning CAQ gain
83. Mille-Îles Leaning CAQ gain
84. Joliette Leaning CAQ gain
85. René-Lévesque Leaning CAQ gain
86. Fabre Leaning CAQ gain
87. La Pinière Leaning CAQ gain
88. Maurice-Richard Leaning CAQ gain
89. Laporte Leaning CAQ gain
90. Vaudreuil Leaning CAQ gain
91. Anjou–Louis-Riel Leaning CAQ gain
92. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Leaning CAQ gain
93. Verdun Leaning CAQ gain
94. Beauce-Nord Leaning CAQ hold
95. Beauce-Sud Leaning CAQ hold
96. Marquette Leaning CAQ gain
97. Gaspé Leaning CAQ gain
98. Jean-Lesage Leaning CAQ gain
99. Chauveau Leaning CAQ hold
100. Sherbrooke Toss up CAQ/QS
101. Rosemont Toss up CAQ/QS
102. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Toss up LIB/CAQ
103. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS
104. Bourassa-Sauvé Toss up LIB/CAQ
105. Viau Leaning LIB hold
106. LaFontaine Likely LIB hold
107. Pontiac Likely LIB hold
108. Taschereau QS likely hold
109. Chomedey Likely LIB hold