Coalition avenir Québec

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Coalition avenir Québec

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Arthabaska		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
2.	Mirabel		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
3.	Rousseau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
4.	Drummond–Bois-Francs		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
5.	Nicolet-Bécancour		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
6.	Richelieu		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
7.	Granby		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
8.	Repentigny		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
9.	L’Assomption		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
10.	Saint-Hyacinthe		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
11.	Masson		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
12.	Johnson		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
13.	Champlain		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
14.	Les Plaines		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
15.	Blainville		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
16.	Beauharnois		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
17.	Sanguinet		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
18.	Deux-Montagnes		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
19.	Iberville		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
20.	Berthier		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
21.	La Prairie		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
22.	Groulx		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
23.	Mégantic		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
24.	Saint-Jérôme		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
25.	Prévost		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
26.	Saint-Jean		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
27.	Laviolette-Saint-Maurice		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
28.	Borduas		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
29.	Bertrand		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
30.	Papineau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
31.	Pointe-aux-Trembles		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
32.	Chambly		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
33.	Richmond		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
34.	Argenteuil		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
35.	Montarville		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
36.	Dubuc		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
37.	Abitibi-Est		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
38.	Terrebonne		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
39.	Trois-Rivières		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
40.	Roberval		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
41.	Maskinongé		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
42.	Vachon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
43.	Labelle		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
44.	Brome-Missisquoi		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
45.	Orford		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
46.	Lac-Saint-Jean		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
47.	Gatineau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
48.	Abitibi-Ouest		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
49.	Chicoutimi		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
50.	Taillon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
51.	Saint-François		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
52.	Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
53.	Verchères		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
54.	Soulanges		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
55.	Louis-Hébert		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
56.	Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
57.	Jean-Talon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
58.	Côte-du-Sud		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
59.	Duplessis		Safe CAQ gain	>99%
60.	Sainte-Rose		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
61.	Chapleau		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
62.	Huntingdon		Safe CAQ hold	>99%
63.	Jonquière		Safe CAQ gain	>99%
64.	Montmorency		Likely CAQ hold	99%
65.	Lévis		Likely CAQ hold	99%
66.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière		Likely CAQ hold	99%
67.	Ungava		Likely CAQ hold	99%
68.	Laval-des-Rapides		Likely CAQ gain	99%
69.	Portneuf		Likely CAQ hold	98%
70.	Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue		Likely CAQ gain	98%
71.	Bellechasse		Likely CAQ hold	98%
72.	Châteauguay		Likely CAQ hold	98%
73.	Hull		Likely CAQ gain	98%
74.	Marie-Victorin		Likely CAQ hold	97%
75.	Rimouski		Likely CAQ gain	97%
76.	La Peltrie		Likely CAQ hold	97%
77.	Charlesbourg		Likely CAQ hold	96%
78.	Vanier-Les Rivières		Likely CAQ hold	96%
79.	Bonaventure		Likely CAQ gain	95%
80.	Lotbinière-Frontenac		Likely CAQ hold	95%
81.	Bourget		Likely CAQ hold	94%
82.	Vimont		Leaning CAQ gain	89%
83.	Mille-Îles		Leaning CAQ gain	88%
84.	Joliette		Leaning CAQ gain	87%
85.	René-Lévesque		Leaning CAQ gain	87%
86.	Fabre		Leaning CAQ gain	87%
87.	La Pinière		Leaning CAQ gain	86%
88.	Maurice-Richard		Leaning CAQ gain	85%
89.	Laporte		Leaning CAQ gain	85%
90.	Vaudreuil		Leaning CAQ gain	83%
91.	Anjou–Louis-Riel		Leaning CAQ gain	82%
92.	Îles-de-la-Madeleine		Leaning CAQ gain	81%
93.	Verdun		Leaning CAQ gain	79%
94.	Beauce-Nord		Leaning CAQ hold	77%
95.	Beauce-Sud		Leaning CAQ hold	77%
96.	Marquette		Leaning CAQ gain	76%
97.	Gaspé		Leaning CAQ gain	76%
98.	Jean-Lesage		Leaning CAQ gain	75%
99.	Chauveau		Leaning CAQ hold	73%
100.	Sherbrooke		Toss up CAQ/QS	58%
101.	Rosemont		Toss up CAQ/QS	43%
102.	Marguerite-Bourgeoys		Toss up LIB/CAQ	39%
103.	Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne		Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS	34%
104.	Bourassa-Sauvé		Toss up LIB/CAQ	30%
105.	Viau		Leaning LIB hold	10%
106.	LaFontaine		Likely LIB hold	8%
107.	Pontiac		Likely LIB hold	5%
108.	Taschereau		QS likely hold	5%
109.	Chomedey		Likely LIB hold	1%