Coalition avenir Québec

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Coalition avenir Québec

	Dstricts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Champlain	Toss up PQ/CAQ	59%
2.	Granby	Toss up PQ/CAQ	51%
3.	La Prairie	Toss up PQ/CAQ	45%
4.	L’Assomption	Leaning PQ	28%
5.	Iberville	Leaning PQ	25%
6.	Chapleau	Leaning LIB	14%
7.	Mégantic	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ	11%
8.	Papineau	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	11%
9.	Borduas	Likely PQ	6%
10.	Soulanges	Leaning LIB	6%
11.	Orford	Toss up LIB/PQ	6%
12.	Richmond	Likely PQ	5%
13.	Johnson	Likely PQ	5%
14.	Montarville	Likely PQ	4%
15.	Groulx	Likely PQ	1%
16.	Brome-Missisquoi	Toss up LIB/PQ	1%
17.	Sainte-Rose	Leaning LIB	1%