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Coalition avenir Québec

Latest update: October 26, 2026
LeaderMathieu Lévesque (interim)
National popular vote in 202613.3%
Current vote projection9.2% ± 2.2%
Current number of MNA's0
Current seat projection0 [0-0]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | October 26, 2026 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% Vote efficiency | CAQ 338Canada ©2026 0.0 seat/% [0-0] 9% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | October 26, 2026

4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 6.9% ▼ 9.2% ± 2.2% ▼ Max. 11.4% ▼ Probabilities % CAQ October 26, 2026

Seat projection | October 26, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 0 ▼ Max. 0 ▼ 0 ▼ Probabilities % CAQ October 26, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Coalition avenir Québec


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ 1 TRIV 2. Jonquière Likely PQ 2 JONQ 3. Borduas Safe PQ 3 BORD 4. Duplessis Safe PQ 4 DUPL 5. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 5 BEAS 6. Repentigny Safe PQ 6 REPE 7. Bonaventure Safe PQ 7 BONA 8. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ 8 VACH 9. Richelieu Safe PQ 9 RCHL 10. Granby Safe PQ 10 GRBY 11. Mégantic PCQ likely 11 MEGA 12. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ 12 MTRV 13. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 13 RDLT 14. Maskinongé Leaning PQ 14 MASK 15. Drummond–Bois-Francs Toss up PQ/CPQ 15 DRUM 16. Labelle Safe PQ 16 LABL 17. Beauharnois Safe PQ 17 BEAU 18. Chambly Safe PQ 18 CHBY 19. Iberville Safe PQ 19 IBER 20. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ 20 ROUY 21. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 21 PATR 22. Bertrand Safe PQ 22 BERT 23. Roberval Likely PQ 23 ROBV 24. Portneuf PCQ safe 24 PORT 25. Verchères Safe PQ 25 VERC 26. Rimouski Safe PQ 26 RIMO 27. Groulx Likely PQ 27 GROU 28. Joliette Safe PQ 28 JOLI 29. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré PCQ likely 29 CXCB 30. Prévost Safe PQ 30 PREV 31. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ 31 STHY 32. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 32 RENE 33. Lévis PCQ safe 33 LEVI 34. Champlain Toss up PQ/CPQ 34 CHPN 35. Côte-du-Sud PCQ safe 35 CÔDS 36. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 36 STJN 37. L’Assomption Safe PQ 37 LASS 38. Saint-François Toss up LIB/PQ 38 STFR 39. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ 39 LAPR 40. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 40 STJR 41. Chapleau Safe LIB 41 CHAP 42. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 42 CHIC 43. Nicolet-Bécancour PCQ likely 43 NICO 44. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 44 LVSM 45. Taillon Leaning PQ 45 TAIL 46. Masson Safe PQ 46 MASS 47. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 47 ABIO 48. Berthier Safe PQ 48 BRTH 49. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 49 LASJ 50. Terrebonne Safe PQ 50 TERR 51. Daniel-Johnson Likely PQ 51 DAJO 52. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ 52 DMON 53. Blainville Likely PQ 53 BLAI 54. Mirabel Safe PQ 54 MIRA 55. Dubuc Likely PQ 55 DUBU 56. Sanguinet Safe PQ 56 SANG 57. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 57 ANLR 58. Soulanges Likely LIB 58 SOUL 59. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Likely PQ 59 MLGL 60. Marie-Victorin Likely PQ 60 MVIC 61. Châteauguay Likely LIB 61 CHAT 62. Gaspé Safe PQ 62 GASP 63. Arthabaska-L’Érable PCQ likely 63 ARTH 64. Richmond Leaning PQ 64 RCHM 65. Brome-Missisquoi Leaning LIB 65 BROM 66. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CPQ 66 LHEB 67. Sainte-Rose Likely LIB 67 STRO 68. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ likely 68 VALR 69. Montmorency PCQ safe 69 MOMO 70. Rousseau Likely PQ 70 ROUS 71. Les Plaines Safe PQ 71 LPLA 72. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 72 VIMO 73. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 73 ABIE 74. Bellefeuille Safe PQ 74 BELF 75. Huntingdon Leaning PQ 75 HUNT 76. Orford Likely LIB 76 ORFO 77. Hull Safe LIB 77 HULL 78. Charlesbourg PCQ likely 78 CHAR 79. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 79 LVDR 80. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ safe 80 CHCH 81. Argenteuil Likely PQ 81 ARGE 82. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ 82 PAPI 83. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ/QS 83 SHER 84. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 84 VAUD 85. Gatineau Safe LIB 85 GATI 86. Ungava Likely PQ 86 UNGA 87. Chauveau PCQ safe 87 CHAU 88. La Pinière Safe LIB 88 LAPI 89. Jean-Lesage QS likely 89 JLES 90. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 90 MILI 91. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 91 BOUS 92. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ safe 92 LOTF 93. Bellechasse PCQ safe 93 BELL 94. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 94 LAPO 95. La Peltrie PCQ safe 95 LAPE 96. Chomedey Safe LIB 96 CHOM 97. Fabre Safe LIB 97 FABR 98. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 98 CAML 99. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/QS 99 MAUR 100. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ 100 JTAL 101. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 101 MARG 102. Rosemont QS likely 102 ROSE 103. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 103 BEAN 104. Taschereau QS likely 104 TASH 105. Marquette Safe LIB 105 MARQ 106. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 106 MAMA 107. LaFontaine Safe LIB 107 LAFO 108. Acadie Safe LIB 108 ACAD 109. Pontiac Safe LIB 109 PONT 110. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 110 MROU 111. Verdun Leaning LIB 111 VERD 112. Viau Likely LIB 112 VIAU 113. Nelligan Safe LIB 113 NELL 114. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 114 STLR 115. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe 115 HOMA 116. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 116 JMVI 117. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 117 SHSA 118. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 118 IDLM 119. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 119 SMSJ 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 120 WSTL 121. Mercier QS safe 121 MERC 122. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 122 BALD 123. Gouin QS safe 123 GOUI 124. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 124 JACA 125. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 125 NODG 126. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 126 DAMC 127. Laurier-Dorion QS safe 127 LAUD 338Canada Quebec projection Updated October 26, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Trois-Rivières
Jean Pellerin
 PQ Likely PQ
2.
Jonquière
Jimmy Bouchard
 PQ Likely PQ