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Last update: February 11, 2021
| Leader | Paul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon |
| National popular vote in 2018 | 17.1% |
| Current vote projection | 13.4% ± 3.0% |
| Current number of MP's | 8 |
| Current seat projection | 4 ± 5 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Parti Québécois
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Matane-Matapédia | |
PQ safe | >99% |
| 2. | Joliette | |
Toss up | 53% |
| 3. | Bonaventure | |
Toss up | 46% |
| 4. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | |
Toss up | 43% |
| 5. | Gaspé | |
Toss up | 42% |
| 6. | Jonquière | |
Toss up | 40% |
| 7. | Rimouski |  |
Toss up | 36% |
| 8. | René-Lévesque | |
CAQ leaning | 20% |
| 9. | Duplessis | |
CAQ likely | 2% |
| 10. | Ungava |  |
CAQ likely | 2% |
| 11. | Abitibi-Ouest | |
CAQ likely | 2% |
| 12. | Rosemont |  |
QS leaning | 2% |
| 13. | Marie-Victorin | |
CAQ likely | <1% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Matane-Matapédia | PQ safe |
| 2. | Joliette | Toss up |
| 3. | Bonaventure | Toss up |
| 4. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | Toss up |
| 5. | Gaspé | Toss up |
| 6. | Jonquière | Toss up |
| 7. | Rimouski | Toss up |
| 8. | René-Lévesque | CAQ leaning |
| 9. | Duplessis | CAQ likely |
| 10. | Ungava | CAQ likely |
| 11. | Abitibi-Ouest | CAQ likely |
| 12. | Rosemont | QS leaning |
| 13. | Marie-Victorin | CAQ likely |