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Parti Québécois

Latest update: March 5, 2026
LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection31.0% ± 3.8%
Current number of MNA's7
Current seat projection63 [53-72]

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | March 5, 2026 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% Majority: 63 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 2.9 seat/% [53-72] 31% ± 4% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | March 5, 2026

22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 27.2% 31.0% ± 3.8% Max. 34.9% Probabilities % PQ March 5, 2026

Seat projection | March 5, 2026

41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 53 Majority 63 seats 63 Max. 72 Probabilities % PQ March 5, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
2.
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
3.
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
4.
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
5.
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
6.
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
7.
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
8.
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
9.
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
10.
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Safe PQ
11.
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
12.
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
13.
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
14.
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
15.
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
16.
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
17.
Jean-Bernard Émond
CA Safe PQ
18.
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
19.
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
20.
Mathieu Lemay
CA Safe PQ
21.
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
22. CA Safe PQ
23.
Lucie Lecours
CA Safe PQ
24.
Éric Girard
CA Safe PQ
25.
Chantal Soucy
CA Safe PQ
26.
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
27.
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
28.
Suzanne Roy
CA Safe PQ
29.
Simon Allaire
CA Safe PQ
30.
Pascale Déry
CA Safe PQ
31.
Louis-Charles Thouin
CA Safe PQ
32.
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Safe PQ
33.
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
34. CA Safe PQ
35.
Sylvie D’Amours
CA Safe PQ
36.
André Lamontagne
CA Safe PQ
37. CA Safe PQ
38.
Shirley Dorismond
CA Safe PQ
39.
Jean Boulet
CA Safe PQ
40.
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Safe PQ
41.
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
42.
Claude Reid
CA Likely PQ
43.
Jean-François Roberge
CA Likely PQ
44.
Benoit Charette
CA Likely PQ
45.
Audrey Bogemans
CA Likely PQ
46.
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
47.
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
48.
Simon Jolin-Barrette
CA Likely PQ
49.
François Bonnardel
CA Leaning PQ
50.
François Legault
CA Leaning PQ
51.
Lionel Carmant [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
52.
Louis Lemieux
CA Leaning PQ
53.
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
54.
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
55.
Mario Asselin
CA Leaning PQ
56.
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
57.
Éric Girard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
58.
Ian Lafrenière
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
59.
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
60.
Mario Laframboise
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
61.
Nathalie Roy
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
62.
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
63.
Mathieu Rivest
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
64.
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
65.
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
I Toss up LIB/PQ
66.
Christine Fréchette
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
67.
Geneviève Hébert
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
68.
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
69.
Christine Labrie
QS Leaning LIB
70.
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS leaning
71.
Pascal Paradis
PQ Leaning LIB
72.
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
73.
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
74.
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Leaning LIB
75.
Denis Lamothe
CA Leaning LIB
76.
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/CPQ
77.
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
78.
André Bachand
CA Likely LIB
79. QS QS likely
80.
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
81.
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
82.
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Likely LIB
83.
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
84.
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
85.
Gilles Bélanger
CA Likely LIB
86.
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ likely
87.
Céline Haytayan
CA Likely LIB
88.
Isabelle Charest
CA Likely LIB
89.
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Likely LIB
90.
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
91.
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
QS QS safe
92.
Marilyne Picard
CA Safe LIB
93.
Christopher Skeete
CA Safe LIB
94.
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS likely
95.
Karine Boivin Roy
CA Safe LIB