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Parti Québécois

Latest update: September 5, 2026
LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection29.2% ± 3.5%
Current number of MNA's7
Current seat projection50 [32-71]

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | September 5, 2026 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% Majority: 64 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 5.7 seat/% [32-71] 29% ± 3% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | September 5, 2026

21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 25.7% ▼ 29.2% ± 3.5% ▼ Max. 32.6% ▼ Probabilities % PQ September 5, 2026

Seat projection | September 5, 2026

7 12 17 22 27 32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72 77 82 87 92 3% 2% 1% Min. 32 ▼ 50 ▼ Majority 64 seats Max. 71 ▼ Probabilities % PQ September 5, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Parti Québécois


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 1 MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 2 IDLM 3. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 3 CAML 4. Gaspé Safe PQ 4 GASP 5. Bonaventure Safe PQ 5 BONA 6. Rimouski Safe PQ 6 RIMO 7. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 7 PATR 8. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 8 LASJ 9. Joliette Safe PQ 9 JOLI 10. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 10 MVIC 11. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 11 CHIC 12. Roberval Likely PQ 12 ROBV 13. Saint-Jean Likely PQ 13 STJN 14. Prévost Likely PQ 14 PREV 15. Labelle Likely PQ 15 LABL 16. Dubuc Likely PQ 16 DUBU 17. Jonquière Likely PQ 17 JONQ 18. Argenteuil Likely PQ 18 ARGE 19. Taillon Likely PQ 19 TAIL 20. Bertrand Likely PQ 20 BERT 21. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Likely PQ 21 CXCB 22. Saint-François Likely PQ 22 STFR 23. Berthier Likely PQ 23 BRTH 24. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 24 JTAL 25. Maurice-Richard Likely PQ 25 MAUR 26. Saint-Jérôme Likely PQ 26 STJR 27. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ 27 STHY 28. Vachon Likely PQ 28 VACH 29. Richelieu Likely PQ 29 RCHL 30. Sherbrooke Likely PQ 30 SHER 31. Sanguinet Leaning PQ 31 SANG 32. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 32 LVSM 33. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Leaning PQ 33 RDLT 34. Arthabaska-L’Érable Leaning PQ 34 ARTH 35. Bellefeuille Leaning PQ 35 BELF 36. Deux-Montagnes Leaning PQ 36 DMON 37. Maskinongé Leaning PQ 37 MASK 38. Verchères Leaning PQ 38 VERC 39. Champlain Leaning PQ 39 CHPN 40. Drummond–Bois-Francs Leaning PQ 40 DRUM 41. Duplessis Toss up PQ/CAQ 41 DUPL 42. Les Plaines Toss up PQ/CAQ 42 LPLA 43. Terrebonne Toss up PQ/CAQ 43 TERR 44. Masson Toss up PQ/CAQ 44 MASS 45. René-Lévesque Toss up PQ/CAQ 45 RENE 46. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 46 CÔDS 47. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 47 ROSE 48. Blainville Toss up PQ/CAQ 48 BLAI 49. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 49 BROM 50. Rousseau Toss up PQ/CAQ 50 ROUS 51. Abitibi-Est Toss up PQ/CAQ 51 ABIE 52. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CAQ 52 MLGL 53. Ungava Toss up PQ/CAQ 53 UNGA 54. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 54 NICO 55. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS 55 JLES 56. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 56 HOMA 57. Repentigny Toss up PQ/CAQ 57 REPE 58. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 58 MIRA 59. Abitibi-Ouest Toss up PQ/CAQ 59 ABIO 60. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS 60 TASH 61. Groulx Leaning CAQ 61 GROU 62. Chambly Leaning CAQ 62 CHBY 63. Charlesbourg Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 63 CHAR 64. Beauharnois Leaning CAQ 64 BEAU 65. Louis-Hébert Leaning CAQ 65 LHEB 66. L’Assomption Leaning CAQ 66 LASS 67. Montarville Leaning CAQ 67 MTRV 68. Trois-Rivières Leaning CAQ 68 TRIV 69. Iberville Leaning CAQ 69 IBER 70. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 70 HUNT 71. Laval-des-Rapides Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 71 LVDR 72. Orford Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 72 ORFO 73. Richmond Leaning CAQ 73 RCHM 74. Mégantic Leaning CAQ 74 MEGA 75. La Prairie Leaning CAQ 75 LAPR 76. Daniel-Johnson Leaning CAQ 76 DAJO 77. Borduas Likely CAQ 77 BORD 78. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ 78 ROUY 79. Granby Likely CAQ 79 GRBY 80. Vanier-Les Rivières Toss up CAQ/CPQ 80 VALR 81. Lévis Toss up CAQ/CPQ 81 LEVI 82. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning 82 LOTF 83. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB 83 ANLR 84. Châteauguay Likely LIB 84 CHAT 85. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 85 SMSJ 86. Sainte-Rose Leaning CAQ 86 STRO 87. Gatineau Leaning LIB 87 GATI 88. Fabre Likely LIB 88 FABR 89. Soulanges Toss up LIB/CAQ 89 SOUL 90. Mille-Îles Likely LIB 90 MILI 91. Vimont-Auteuil Leaning LIB 91 VIMO 92. Papineau Likely CAQ 92 PAPI 93. Chauveau PCQ likely 93 CHAU 94. Portneuf PCQ likely 94 PORT 95. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up CAQ/CPQ 95 CHCH 96. Montmorency PCQ likely 96 MOMO 97. Chapleau Likely CAQ 97 CHAP 98. La Peltrie PCQ likely 98 LAPE 99. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 99 LAPO 100. Gouin QS safe 100 GOUI 101. Mercier QS safe 101 MERC 102. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 102 BEAN 103. La Pinière Safe LIB 103 LAPI 104. Bellechasse PCQ safe 104 BELL 105. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 105 VAUD 106. Viau Likely LIB 106 VIAU 107. Verdun Likely LIB 107 VERD 108. Hull Safe LIB 108 HULL 109. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 109 MROU 110. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 110 BOUS 111. Laurier-Dorion QS leaning 111 LAUD 112. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely 112 BEAS 113. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 113 SHSA 114. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 114 JMVI 115. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 115 STLR 116. Marquette Safe LIB 116 MARQ 117. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 117 MARG 118. LaFontaine Safe LIB 118 LAFO 119. Acadie Safe LIB 119 ACAD 120. Chomedey Safe LIB 120 CHOM 121. Pontiac Safe LIB 121 PONT 122. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 122 WSTL 123. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 123 NODG 124. Nelligan Safe LIB 124 NELL 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 125 DAMC 126. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 126 JACA 127. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 127 BALD 338Canada Quebec projection Updated September 5, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis
Pascal Bérubé
 PQ Safe PQ
2.
Îles-de-la-Madeleine
Joël Arseneau
 PQ Safe PQ
3.
Camille-Laurin
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
 PQ Safe PQ
4.
Gaspé
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
 CA Safe PQ
5.
Bonaventure
Catherine Blouin
 CA Safe PQ
6.
Rimouski
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
 C Safe PQ
7.
Pointe-aux-Trembles
Chantal Rouleau
 CA Safe PQ
8.
Lac-Saint-Jean
Eric Girard
 CA Safe PQ
9.
Joliette
François St-Louis
 CA Safe PQ
10.
Marie-Victorin
Shirley Dorismond
 CA Safe PQ
11.
Chicoutimi
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
 PQ Safe PQ
12.
Roberval
Nancy Guillemette
 CA Likely PQ
13.
Saint-Jean
Louis Lemieux
 CA Likely PQ
14.
Prévost
Sonia Bélanger
 CA Likely PQ
15.
Labelle
Chantal Jeannotte
 CA Likely PQ
16.
Dubuc
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
 I Likely PQ
17.
Jonquière
Yannick Gagnon
 CA Likely PQ
18.
Argenteuil
Agnès Grondin
 CA Likely PQ
19.
Taillon
Lionel Carmant
 CA Likely PQ
20.
Bertrand
France-Élaine Duranceau
 CA Likely PQ
21.
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
Kariane Bourassa
 CA Likely PQ
22.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Likely PQ
23.
Berthier
Caroline Proulx
 CA Likely PQ
24.
Jean-Talon
Pascal Paradis
 PQ Likely PQ
25.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Likely PQ
26.
Saint-Jérôme
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
 I Likely PQ
27.
Saint-Hyacinthe
Chantal Soucy
 CA Likely PQ
28.
Vachon
Ian Lafrenière
 CA Likely PQ
29.
Richelieu
Jean-Bernard Émond
 CA Likely PQ
30.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Likely PQ
31.
Sanguinet
Christine Fréchette
 CA Leaning PQ
32.
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice
Marie-Louise Tardif
 CA Leaning PQ
33.
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques
Amélie Dionne
 CA Leaning PQ
34.
Arthabaska-L’Érable
Alex Boissonneault
 PQ Leaning PQ
35.
Bellefeuille
Vacant
 Leaning PQ
36.
Deux-Montagnes
Benoit Charette
 CA Leaning PQ
37.
Maskinongé
Simon Allaire
 CA Leaning PQ
38.
Verchères
Suzanne Roy
 CA Leaning PQ
39.
Champlain
Sonia LeBel
 CA Leaning PQ
40.
Drummond–Bois-Francs
Sébastien Schneeberger
 CA Leaning PQ
41.
Duplessis
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
42.
Les Plaines
Lucie Lecours
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
43.
Terrebonne
Catherine Gentilcore
 PQ Toss up PQ/CAQ
44.
Masson
Mathieu Lemay
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
45.
René-Lévesque
Yves Montigny
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
46.
Côte-du-Sud
Mathieu Rivest
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
47.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
48.
Blainville
Mario Laframboise
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
49.
Brome-Missisquoi
Isabelle Charest
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
50.
Rousseau
Louis-Charles Thouin
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
51.
Abitibi-Est
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
 I Toss up PQ/CAQ
52.
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie
Vacant
 Toss up PQ/CAQ
53.
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
54.
Nicolet-Bécancour
Donald Martel
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
55.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
56.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
57.
Repentigny
Pascale Déry
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
58.
Mirabel
Sylvie D’Amours
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
59.
Abitibi-Ouest
Suzanne Blais
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
60.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
61.
Groulx
Eric Girard
 CA Leaning CAQ
62.
Chambly
Jean-François Roberge
 CA Leaning CAQ
63.
Charlesbourg
Jonatan Julien
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
64.
Beauharnois
Claude Reid
 CA Leaning CAQ
65.
Louis-Hébert
Geneviève Guilbault
 CA Leaning CAQ
66.
L’Assomption
François Legault
 CA Leaning CAQ
67.
Montarville
Nathalie Roy
 CA Leaning CAQ
68.
Trois-Rivières
Jean Boulet
 CA Leaning CAQ
69.
Iberville
Audrey Bogemans
 CA Leaning CAQ
70.
Huntingdon
Carole Mallette
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
71.
Laval-des-Rapides
Céline Haytayan
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
72.
Orford
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
 I Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
73.
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Leaning CAQ
74.
Mégantic
François Jacques
 CA Leaning CAQ
75.
La Prairie
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
 I Leaning CAQ
76.
Daniel-Johnson
André Lamontagne
 CA Leaning CAQ
77.
Borduas
Simon Jolin-Barrette
 CA Likely CAQ
78.
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Likely CAQ
79.
Granby
François Bonnardel
 CA Likely CAQ
80.
Vanier-Les Rivières
Mario Asselin
 CA Toss up CAQ/CPQ
81.
Lévis
Bernard Drainville
 CA Toss up CAQ/CPQ
82.
Lotbinière-Frontenac
Isabelle Lecours
 CA PCQ leaning
83.
Anjou–Louis-Riel
Karine Boivin Roy
 CA Likely LIB
84.
Châteauguay
Marie-Belle Gendron
 CA Likely LIB
85.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
86.
Sainte-Rose
Christopher Skeete
 CA Leaning CAQ
87.
Gatineau
Robert Bussière
 CA Leaning LIB
88.
Fabre
Alice Abou-Khalil
 CA Likely LIB
89.
Soulanges
Marilyne Picard
 CA Toss up LIB/CAQ
90.
Mille-Îles
Virginie Dufour
 L Likely LIB
91.
Vimont-Auteuil
Valérie Schmaltz
 CA Leaning LIB
92.
Papineau
Mathieu Lacombe
 CA Likely CAQ
93.
Chauveau
Sylvain Lévesque
 CA PCQ likely
94.
Portneuf
Vincent Caron
 CA PCQ likely
95.
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
Martine Biron
 CA Toss up CAQ/CPQ
96.
Montmorency
Jean-François Simard
 CA PCQ likely
97.
Chapleau
Mathieu Lévesque
 CA Likely CAQ
98.
La Peltrie
Éric Caire
 CA PCQ likely
99.
Pierre-Laporte
Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
 I Safe LIB