Parti Québécois
Last update: December 22, 2022
| Leader | Paul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 14.6% |
| Current vote projection | 16.5% ± 3.4% |
| Current number of MNA's | 3 |
| Current seat projection | 4 [1-7] |
Vote projection | December 22, 2022
Seat projection | December 22, 2022
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Matane-Matapédia |  |
Safe PQ hold | >99% |
| 2. | Camille-Laurin (Bourget) | |
Likely PQ hold | 94% |
| 3. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | |
Leaning PQ hold | 88% |
| 4. | Gaspé |  |
Toss up PQ/CAQ | 59% |
| 5. | Marie-Victorin | |
Leaning CAQ hold | 24% |
| 6. | Rimouski | |
Leaning CAQ hold | 12% |
| 7. | Bonaventure | |
Leaning CAQ hold | 12% |
| 8. | Joliette | |
Leaning CAQ hold | 11% |
| 9. | Taschereau |  |
QS likely hold | 3% |
| 10. | Duplessis | |
Likely CAQ hold | 2% |
| 11. | Jean-Talon | |
Likely CAQ hold | 2% |
| 12. | Rosemont | |
QS likely hold | 1% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Matane-Matapédia | Safe PQ hold |
| 2. | Camille-Laurin (Bourget) | Likely PQ hold |
| 3. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | Leaning PQ hold |
| 4. | Gaspé | Toss up PQ/CAQ |
| 5. | Marie-Victorin | Leaning CAQ hold |
| 6. | Rimouski | Leaning CAQ hold |
| 7. | Bonaventure | Leaning CAQ hold |
| 8. | Joliette | Leaning CAQ hold |
| 9. | Taschereau | QS likely hold |
| 10. | Duplessis | Likely CAQ hold |
| 11. | Jean-Talon | Likely CAQ hold |
| 12. | Rosemont | QS likely hold |