logo
logo
Quebec

Parti Québécois





Last update: June 27, 2025

LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection30.8% ± 3.5%
Current number of MNA's5
Current seat projection69 [59-74]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% Majority: 63 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 2.5 seat/% 69 [59-74] 31% ± 3% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | June 27, 2025

23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 27.3% ▼ 30.8% ± 3.5% ▼ Max. 34.3% ▼ Probabilities % PQ

Seat projection | June 27, 2025

49 54 59 64 69 74 79 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 59 ▼ Majority 63 seats 69 ▼ Max. 74 ▼ Probabilities % PQ

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois


Last update: June 27, 2025
Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ >99%
2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ >99%
3. Joliette Safe PQ >99%
4. Terrebonne Safe PQ >99%
5. Gaspé Safe PQ >99%
6. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ >99%
7. Berthier Safe PQ >99%
8. Labelle Safe PQ >99%
9. Bertrand Safe PQ >99%
10. René-Lévesque Safe PQ >99%
11. Bonaventure Safe PQ >99%
12. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ >99%
13. Rimouski Safe PQ >99%
14. Jonquière Safe PQ >99%
15. Prévost Safe PQ >99%
16. Richelieu Safe PQ >99%
17. Verchères Safe PQ >99%
18. Roberval Safe PQ >99%
19. Duplessis Safe PQ >99%
20. Masson Safe PQ >99%
21. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ >99%
22. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ >99%
23. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ >99%
24. Argenteuil Safe PQ >99%
25. Chicoutimi Safe PQ >99%
26. Repentigny Safe PQ >99%
27. Les Plaines Safe PQ >99%
28. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ >99%
29. Saint-Jean Safe PQ >99%
30. Chambly Safe PQ >99%
31. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ >99%
32. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ >99%
33. Dubuc Safe PQ >99%
34. Rousseau Safe PQ >99%
35. Borduas Safe PQ >99%
36. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ >99%
37. Mirabel Likely PQ >99%
38. Taillon Likely PQ >99%
39. Beauharnois Likely PQ >99%
40. Sanguinet Likely PQ >99%
41. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Likely PQ 99%
42. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 99%
43. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ 99%
44. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ 99%
45. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ 98%
46. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ 98%
47. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ 98%
48. Maskinongé Likely PQ 98%
49. Charlesbourg Likely PQ 98%
50. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 97%
51. Blainville Likely PQ 97%
52. Taschereau Likely PQ 96%
53. Lévis Likely PQ 96%
54. Groulx Likely PQ 96%
55. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ 95%
56. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ 93%
57. L’Assomption Leaning PQ 84%
58. Vachon Leaning PQ 79%
59. Abitibi-Est Leaning PQ 78%
60. Johnson Leaning PQ 77%
61. Côte-du-Sud Leaning PQ 76%
62. Granby Leaning PQ 71%
63. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ 64%
64. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 62%
65. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 59%
66. Arthabaska Toss up PQ/CPQ 51%
67. Richmond Toss up LIB/PQ 50%
68. Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ 49%
69. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CPQ 45%
70. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/PQ 42%
71. Saint-François Toss up LIB/PQ 42%
72. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 39%
73. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 34%
74. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning 24%
75. Portneuf PCQ leaning 12%
76. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning 11%
77. Ungava Likely LIB 9%
78. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/QS 8%
79. La Peltrie PCQ likely 2%
80. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 1%
81. Chauveau PCQ likely 1%