Parti Québécois

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Matane-Matapédia	Safe PQ hold	>99%
2.	Camille-Laurin	Safe PQ hold	>99%
3.	Gaspé	Likely PQ gain	96%
4.	Îles-de-la-Madeleine	Likely PQ hold	94%
5.	Marie-Victorin	Leaning PQ gain	76%
6.	Charlesbourg	Toss up PQ/CAQ	61%
7.	Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré	Toss up PQ/CAQ	53%
8.	Jean-Talon	Toss up PQ/CAQ	51%
9.	Louis-Hébert	Toss up PQ/CAQ	47%
10.	Taschereau	Toss up PQ/QS	47%
11.	Bonaventure	Toss up PQ/CAQ	39%
12.	Duplessis	Leaning CAQ hold	28%
13.	Montmorency	Leaning CAQ hold	27%
14.	Vanier-Les Rivières	Leaning CAQ hold	24%
15.	Rimouski	Leaning CAQ hold	23%
16.	Jean-Lesage	QS leaning hold	22%
17.	Joliette	Leaning CAQ hold	17%
18.	Abitibi-Ouest	Leaning CAQ hold	13%
19.	Taillon	Likely CAQ hold	10%
20.	La Peltrie	Toss up CAQ/QCP	8%
21.	Lévis	Likely CAQ hold	7%
22.	Bertrand	Likely CAQ hold	6%
23.	Portneuf	Leaning CAQ hold	4%
24.	Rosemont	QS likely hold	4%
25.	Saint-Jean	Likely CAQ hold	4%
26.	Prévost	Likely CAQ hold	3%
27.	Lac-Saint-Jean	Likely CAQ hold	3%
28.	Ungava	Leaning CAQ hold	1%
29.	Verchères	Likely CAQ hold	1%
30.	Berthier	Likely CAQ hold	1%
31.	Labelle	Likely CAQ hold	1%