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Quebec

Parti Québécois





Last update: December 3, 2025

LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection37.7% ± 4.0%
Current number of MNA's6
Current seat projection82 [73-87]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | December 3, 2025 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% Majority: 63 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 2.1 seat/% [73-87] 38% ± 4% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | December 3, 2025

29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 33.7% ▼ 37.7% ± 4.0% ▼ Max. 41.7% ▼ Probabilities % PQ December 3, 2025

Seat projection | December 3, 2025

64 69 74 79 84 89 94 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 73 ▼ 82 ▼ Max. 87 ▼ Probabilities % PQ December 3, 2025

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois


Last update: December 3, 2025
Dstricts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ >99%
2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ >99%
3. Joliette Safe PQ >99%
4. Berthier Safe PQ >99%
5. Labelle Safe PQ >99%
6. Gaspé Safe PQ >99%
7. Bertrand Safe PQ >99%
8. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ >99%
9. Terrebonne Safe PQ >99%
10. Bonaventure Safe PQ >99%
11. René-Lévesque Safe PQ >99%
12. Rimouski Safe PQ >99%
13. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ >99%
14. Jonquière Safe PQ >99%
15. Prévost Safe PQ >99%
16. Chicoutimi Safe PQ >99%
17. Roberval Safe PQ >99%
18. Dubuc Safe PQ >99%
19. Duplessis Safe PQ >99%
20. Richelieu Safe PQ >99%
21. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ >99%
22. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ >99%
23. Argenteuil Safe PQ >99%
24. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ >99%
25. Verchères Safe PQ >99%
26. Masson Safe PQ >99%
27. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ >99%
28. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ >99%
29. Rousseau Safe PQ >99%
30. Les Plaines Safe PQ >99%
31. Repentigny Safe PQ >99%
32. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ >99%
33. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ >99%
34. Taillon Safe PQ >99%
35. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ >99%
36. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ >99%
37. Saint-Jean Safe PQ >99%
38. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ >99%
39. Chambly Safe PQ >99%
40. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ >99%
41. Maskinongé Safe PQ >99%
42. Sanguinet Safe PQ >99%
43. Jean-Talon Safe PQ >99%
44. Mirabel Safe PQ >99%
45. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ >99%
46. Trois-Rivières Safe PQ >99%
47. Beauharnois Safe PQ >99%
48. Nicolet-Bécancour Safe PQ >99%
49. Blainville Safe PQ >99%
50. Abitibi-Est Safe PQ >99%
51. Saint-François Safe PQ >99%
52. Charlesbourg Likely PQ >99%
53. Groulx Likely PQ >99%
54. Johnson Likely PQ >99%
55. Sherbrooke Likely PQ >99%
56. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ >99%
57. Lévis Likely PQ >99%
58. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ >99%
59. Richmond Likely PQ 99%
60. Montarville Likely PQ 99%
61. Borduas Likely PQ 99%
62. Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ 99%
63. Vachon Likely PQ 98%
64. Taschereau Likely PQ 98%
65. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ 96%
66. Maurice-Richard Likely PQ 96%
67. Iberville Likely PQ 94%
68. Rosemont Leaning PQ 89%
69. L’Assomption Leaning PQ 87%
70. Orford Leaning PQ 84%
71. Champlain Leaning PQ 83%
72. Mégantic Leaning PQ 79%
73. Granby Leaning PQ 79%
74. Ungava Leaning PQ 76%
75. Montmorency Leaning PQ 76%
76. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Leaning PQ 76%
77. La Prairie Leaning PQ 72%
78. Gatineau Toss up LIB/PQ 66%
79. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 64%
80. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ 61%
81. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ 59%
82. Portneuf Toss up PQ/CPQ 52%
83. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ 49%
84. La Peltrie PCQ leaning 27%
85. Chauveau PCQ leaning 21%
86. Chapleau Leaning LIB 21%
87. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning 19%
88. Laval-des-Rapides Leaning LIB 17%
89. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning 14%
90. Sainte-Rose Likely LIB 8%
91. Soulanges Likely LIB 7%
92. Bellechasse PCQ likely 5%
93. Mercier QS likely 2%
94. Châteauguay Likely LIB 1%
95. Gouin QS likely 1%
96. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB 1%
97. Hull Likely LIB 1%