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Parti Québécois

Latest update: October 20, 2026
LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202628%
Current vote projection29.8% ± 2.7%
Current number of MNA's59
Current seat projection59 [54-66]

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | October 20, 2026 75 70 65 60 55 50 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% Majority: 64 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2026 2.1 seat/% [54-66] 30% ± 3% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | October 20, 2026

24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 27.1% ▼ 29.8% ± 2.7% ▼ Max. 32.5% ▼ Probabilities % PQ October 20, 2026

Seat projection | October 20, 2026

46 51 56 61 66 71 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 54 ▼ 59 ▼ Majority 64 seats Max. 66 ▼ Probabilities % PQ October 20, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Parti Québécois


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 1 MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 2 IDLM 3. Gaspé Safe PQ 3 GASP 4. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 4 RENE 5. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 5 ABIO 6. Duplessis Safe PQ 6 DUPL 7. Bonaventure Safe PQ 7 BONA 8. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 8 LASJ 9. Joliette Safe PQ 9 JOLI 10. Beauharnois Safe PQ 10 BEAU 11. Rimouski Safe PQ 11 RIMO 12. Berthier Safe PQ 12 BRTH 13. Richelieu Safe PQ 13 RCHL 14. Sanguinet Safe PQ 14 SANG 15. L’Assomption Safe PQ 15 LASS 16. Bertrand Safe PQ 16 BERT 17. Labelle Safe PQ 17 LABL 18. Verchères Safe PQ 18 VERC 19. Masson Safe PQ 19 MASS 20. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 20 STJR 21. Mirabel Safe PQ 21 MIRA 22. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 22 CHIC 23. Terrebonne Safe PQ 23 TERR 24. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ 24 STHY 25. Prévost Safe PQ 25 PREV 26. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 26 PATR 27. Les Plaines Safe PQ 27 LPLA 28. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ 28 ROUY 29. Repentigny Safe PQ 29 REPE 30. Borduas Safe PQ 30 BORD 31. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 31 STJN 32. Chambly Safe PQ 32 CHBY 33. Bellefeuille Safe PQ 33 BELF 34. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 34 CAML 35. Granby Safe PQ 35 GRBY 36. Rousseau Safe PQ 36 ROUS 37. Iberville Safe PQ 37 IBER 38. Jonquière Safe PQ 38 JONQ 39. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ 39 DMON 40. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Safe PQ 40 RDLT 41. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 41 MVIC 42. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ 42 TRIV 43. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 43 ABIE 44. Daniel-Johnson Likely PQ 44 DAJO 45. Roberval Likely PQ 45 ROBV 46. Groulx Likely PQ 46 GROU 47. Dubuc Likely PQ 47 DUBU 48. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Likely PQ 48 MLGL 49. Blainville Likely PQ 49 BLAI 50. Argenteuil Likely PQ 50 ARGE 51. Ungava Likely PQ 51 UNGA 52. Richmond Likely PQ 52 RCHM 53. Taillon Likely PQ 53 TAIL 54. Maskinongé Leaning PQ 54 MASK 55. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 55 LVSM 56. Huntingdon Leaning PQ 56 HUNT 57. Saint-François Leaning PQ 57 STFR 58. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ 58 PAPI 59. Drummond–Bois-Francs Toss up PQ/CPQ 59 DRUM 60. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ 60 VACH 61. Champlain Toss up PQ/CPQ 61 CHPN 62. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ 62 MTRV 63. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ 63 LAPR 64. Jean-Talon Leaning LIB 64 JTAL 65. Louis-Hébert PCQ leaning 65 LHEB 66. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ/QS 66 SHER 67. Brome-Missisquoi Leaning LIB 67 BROM 68. Arthabaska-L’Érable PCQ likely 68 ARTH 69. Châteauguay Likely LIB 69 CHAT 70. Maurice-Richard Leaning LIB 70 MAUR 71. Rosemont QS likely 71 ROSE 72. Mégantic PCQ likely 72 MEGA 73. Nicolet-Bécancour PCQ likely 73 NICO 74. Soulanges Likely LIB 74 SOUL 75. Jean-Lesage QS likely 75 JLES 76. Orford Likely LIB 76 ORFO 77. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 77 LVDR 78. Taschereau QS safe 78 TASH 79. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré PCQ safe 79 CXCB 80. Charlesbourg PCQ safe 80 CHAR 81. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB 81 STRO 82. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ safe 82 VALR 83. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe 83 HOMA 84. Côte-du-Sud PCQ safe 84 CÔDS 85. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ safe 85 CHCH 86. Lévis PCQ safe 86 LEVI 87. Montmorency PCQ safe 87 MOMO 88. Gatineau Safe LIB 88 GATI 89. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 89 LAPO 90. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 90 MILI 91. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 91 VIMO 92. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 92 ANLR 93. Chauveau PCQ safe 93 CHAU 94. Chapleau Safe LIB 94 CHAP 95. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 95 VAUD 96. Fabre Safe LIB 96 FABR 97. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 97 SMSJ 98. La Peltrie PCQ safe 98 LAPE 99. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ safe 99 LOTF 100. Hull Safe LIB 100 HULL 101. Gouin QS safe 101 GOUI 102. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 102 BOUS 103. Portneuf PCQ safe 103 PORT 104. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 104 MARG 105. Bellechasse PCQ safe 105 BELL 106. Marquette Safe LIB 106 MARQ 107. La Pinière Safe LIB 107 LAPI 108. Viau Likely LIB 108 VIAU 109. Verdun Leaning LIB 109 VERD 110. Chomedey Safe LIB 110 CHOM 111. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Leaning LIB 111 SHSA 112. Acadie Safe LIB 112 ACAD 113. Mercier QS safe 113 MERC 114. Laurier-Dorion QS safe 114 LAUD 115. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 115 BEAN 116. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 116 MROU 117. Pontiac Safe LIB 117 PONT 118. LaFontaine Safe LIB 118 LAFO 119. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 119 BEAS 120. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 120 JMVI 121. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 121 STLR 122. Nelligan Safe LIB 122 NELL 123. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 123 WSTL 124. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 124 NODG 125. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 125 BALD 126. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 126 JACA 127. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 127 DAMC 338Canada Quebec projection Updated October 20, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
2.
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
3.
Méganne Perry Mélançon
PQ Safe PQ
4.
Odette Lavigne
PQ Safe PQ
5.
Sébastien D’Astous
PQ Safe PQ
6.
Meggie Richard
PQ Safe PQ
7.
Pier-Luc Bujold
PQ Safe PQ
8.
William Fradette
PQ Safe PQ
9.
Véronique Venne
PQ Safe PQ
10.
Alexandre Daneau
PQ Safe PQ
11.
Yohann St-Pierre
PQ Safe PQ
12.
Elsie Lefebvre
PQ Safe PQ
13.
Jocelyn Desjardins
PQ Safe PQ
14.
Alain Therrien
PQ Safe PQ
15.
Maxime Laporte
PQ Safe PQ
16.
Alexandre Girard-Duchaine
PQ Safe PQ
17.
Catherine Drouin
PQ Safe PQ
18.
Guy Lapointe Jr
PQ Safe PQ
19.
Stéphane Hanfield
PQ Safe PQ
20.
Sandrine Michon
PQ Safe PQ
21.
Geneviève Couture
PQ Safe PQ
22.
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
23.
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Safe PQ
24.
Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay
PQ Safe PQ
25.
Anne Nguyen
PQ Safe PQ
26.
Stéphane Paquet
PQ Safe PQ
27.
Dieudonné Ella Oyono
PQ Safe PQ
28. PQ Safe PQ
29.
Nicolas Girard
PQ Safe PQ
30.
Cedric Gagnon-Ducharme
PQ Safe PQ
31.
Gaétan Bédard
PQ Safe PQ
32.
Julie Guyot
PQ Safe PQ
33.
Audrey Bujold
PQ Safe PQ
34.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
35.
Jean-François Arsenault
PQ Safe PQ
36.
Mathieu Lebrun
PQ Safe PQ
37.
Camille Pellerin-Forget
PQ Safe PQ
38.
Jimmy Bouchard
PQ Safe PQ
39.
Linda Vaillant
PQ Safe PQ
40. PQ Safe PQ
41.
Nicolas Marceau
PQ Safe PQ
42.
Jean Pellerin
PQ Likely PQ
43.
Stéphane Tremblay
PQ Likely PQ
44.
Nathalie Boisclair
PQ Likely PQ
45.
Isabelle Thibeault
PQ Likely PQ
46.
Marie-Claude Sarrazin
PQ Likely PQ
47.
Émile Simard
PQ Likely PQ
48.
Natalie Bisaillon
PQ Likely PQ
49.
Nadine Le Gal
PQ Likely PQ
50.
Pierre Nantel
PQ Likely PQ
51.
Sonia Caron
PQ Likely PQ
52.
Bernard Sévigny
PQ Likely PQ
53.
Sandra Hernandez
PQ Likely PQ
54.
Isabelle Blais
PQ Leaning PQ
55.
Élodie Murphy-Gauthier
PQ Leaning PQ
56.
Frédéric Laplante
PQ Leaning PQ
57.
Sylvie Tanguay
PQ Leaning PQ
58.
Isabelle Millette
PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
59.
Charles Page
PQ Toss up PQ/CPQ
60.
Affine Lwalalika
L Toss up LIB/PQ
61.
Adriana Szalontai
C Toss up PQ/CPQ
62.
Mathieu Lavoie
L Toss up LIB/PQ
63.
Sonia Ziadé
L Toss up LIB/PQ
64.
Julie White
L Leaning LIB
65.
Marcos Archambault
C PCQ leaning
66.
Stéphanie Vachon
QS Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
67.
Frédéric Beauchemin
L Leaning LIB
68.
Tarek Henoud
C PCQ likely
69.
Félix Rhéaume
L Likely LIB
70.
Nada Boumeftah
L Leaning LIB
71.
Gisèle Pouhe Njall
QS QS likely
72.
Jimmy Gagnon
C PCQ likely
73.
Guillaume Langlois
C PCQ likely
74.
Olivier Bertin-Mahieux
L Likely LIB
75.
Sol Zanetti
QS QS likely
76.
Charles Milliard
L Likely LIB
77.
Caroline De Guire
L Safe LIB
78.
Étienne Grandmont
QS QS safe
79. C PCQ safe
80.
Éloïse Coulombe
C PCQ safe
81.
Cécile Tremblay
L Safe LIB
82.
Patrick Paquet
C PCQ safe