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Quebec

Parti Québécois





Last update: November 13, 2025

LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection33.2% ± 3.7%
Current number of MNA's6
Current seat projection72 [61-78]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | November 13, 2025 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% Majority: 63 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 2.8 seat/% [61-78] 33% ± 4% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | November 13, 2025

25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 29.5% ▼ 33.2% ± 3.7% ▼ Max. 37.0% ▼ Probabilities % PQ

Seat projection | November 13, 2025

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 61 ▼ Majority 63 seats 72 ▼ Max. 78 ▼ Probabilities % PQ

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois


Last update: November 13, 2025
Dstricts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ >99%
2. Joliette Safe PQ >99%
3. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ >99%
4. Berthier Safe PQ >99%
5. Labelle Safe PQ >99%
6. Terrebonne Safe PQ >99%
7. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ >99%
8. Bertrand Safe PQ >99%
9. René-Lévesque Safe PQ >99%
10. Gaspé Safe PQ >99%
11. Rimouski Safe PQ >99%
12. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ >99%
13. Bonaventure Safe PQ >99%
14. Jonquière Safe PQ >99%
15. Prévost Safe PQ >99%
16. Chicoutimi Safe PQ >99%
17. Roberval Safe PQ >99%
18. Richelieu Safe PQ >99%
19. Duplessis Safe PQ >99%
20. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ >99%
21. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ >99%
22. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ >99%
23. Verchères Safe PQ >99%
24. Argenteuil Safe PQ >99%
25. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ >99%
26. Repentigny Safe PQ >99%
27. Dubuc Safe PQ >99%
28. Masson Safe PQ >99%
29. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ >99%
30. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ >99%
31. Les Plaines Safe PQ >99%
32. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ >99%
33. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ >99%
34. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ >99%
35. Rousseau Safe PQ >99%
36. Chambly Likely PQ >99%
37. Saint-Jean Likely PQ >99%
38. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ >99%
39. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ >99%
40. Maskinongé Likely PQ >99%
41. Charlesbourg Likely PQ 99%
42. Mirabel Likely PQ 99%
43. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ 99%
44. Lévis Likely PQ 99%
45. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ 99%
46. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ 99%
47. Beauharnois Likely PQ 99%
48. Sanguinet Likely PQ 99%
49. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ 99%
50. Taillon Likely PQ 99%
51. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ 98%
52. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 97%
53. Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ 93%
54. Groulx Likely PQ 93%
55. Johnson Likely PQ 92%
56. Blainville Likely PQ 91%
57. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 91%
58. Taschereau Leaning PQ 89%
59. Borduas Leaning PQ 87%
60. Jean-Lesage Leaning PQ 87%
61. Saint-François Leaning PQ 80%
62. Montarville Leaning PQ 76%
63. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ 68%
64. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 67%
65. Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ 66%
66. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ 65%
67. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 63%
68. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ 60%
69. Richmond Toss up LIB/PQ 59%
70. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 56%
71. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/PQ 51%
72. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 50%
73. Portneuf Toss up PQ/CPQ 41%
74. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 39%
75. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 39%
76. Granby Toss up PQ/CAQ 34%
77. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 27%
78. Ungava Leaning LIB 23%
79. La Peltrie PCQ leaning 17%
80. Chauveau PCQ leaning 13%
81. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 7%
82. Orford Likely LIB 4%
83. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely 3%
84. Papineau Likely LIB 3%
85. Bellechasse PCQ likely 2%
86. Gatineau Likely LIB 2%
87. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB 2%
88. Huntingdon Likely LIB 1%