Parti Québécois

Latest update: February 3, 2026

Leader	Paul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 2022	14.6%
Current vote projection	33.2% ± 4.3%
Current number of MNA's	6
Current seat projection	73 [61-81]

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | February 3, 2026

Seat projection | February 3, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois

	Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
1.	Matane-Matapédia Pascal Bérubé	PQ	Safe PQ
2.	Îles-de-la-Madeleine Joël Arseneau	PQ	Safe PQ
3.	Joliette François St-Louis	CA	Safe PQ
4.	Camille-Laurin Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon	PQ	Safe PQ
5.	Berthier Caroline Proulx	CA	Safe PQ
6.	Labelle Chantal Jeannotte	CA	Safe PQ
7.	Terrebonne Catherine Gentilcore	PQ	Safe PQ
8.	René-Lévesque Yves Montigny	CA	Safe PQ
9.	Gaspé Stéphane Sainte-Croix	CA	Safe PQ
10.	Bertrand France-Élaine Duranceau	CA	Safe PQ
11.	Rimouski Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe PQ
12.	Bonaventure Catherine Blouin	CA	Safe PQ
13.	Jonquière Yannick Gagnon	CA	Safe PQ
14.	Prévost Sonia Bélanger	CA	Safe PQ
15.	Saint-Jérôme Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe PQ
16.	Richelieu Jean-Bernard Émond	CA	Safe PQ
17.	Dubuc François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe PQ
18.	Roberval Nancy Guillemette	CA	Safe PQ
19.	Duplessis Kateri Champagne Jourdain	CA	Safe PQ
20.	Chicoutimi Vacant		Safe PQ
21.	Pointe-aux-Trembles Chantal Rouleau	CA	Safe PQ
22.	Masson Mathieu Lemay	CA	Safe PQ
23.	Abitibi-Ouest Suzanne Blais	CA	Safe PQ
24.	Argenteuil Agnès Grondin	CA	Safe PQ
25.	Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Kariane Bourassa	CA	Safe PQ
26.	Repentigny Pascale Déry	CA	Safe PQ
27.	Lac-Saint-Jean Éric Girard	CA	Safe PQ
28.	Marie-Victorin Shirley Dorismond	CA	Safe PQ
29.	Verchères Suzanne Roy	CA	Safe PQ
30.	Les Plaines Lucie Lecours	CA	Safe PQ
31.	Deux-Montagnes Benoit Charette	CA	Safe PQ
32.	Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Marie-Louise Tardif	CA	Safe PQ
33.	Louis-Hébert Geneviève Guilbault	CA	Safe PQ
34.	Saint-Hyacinthe Chantal Soucy	CA	Safe PQ
35.	Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Amélie Dionne	CA	Safe PQ
36.	Chambly Jean-François Roberge	CA	Safe PQ
37.	Rousseau Louis-Charles Thouin	CA	Safe PQ
38.	Maskinongé Simon Allaire	CA	Safe PQ
39.	Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Daniel Bernard	CA	Safe PQ
40.	Saint-Jean Louis Lemieux	CA	Safe PQ
41.	Trois-Rivières Jean Boulet	CA	Safe PQ
42.	Drummond–Bois-Francs Sébastien Schneeberger	CA	Likely PQ
43.	Mirabel Sylvie D’Amours	CA	Likely PQ
44.	Taillon Lionel Carmant [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely PQ
45.	Johnson André Lamontagne	CA	Likely PQ
46.	Charlesbourg Jonatan Julien	CA	Likely PQ
47.	Vanier-Les Rivières Mario Asselin	CA	Likely PQ
48.	Jean-Talon Pascal Paradis	PQ	Likely PQ
49.	Groulx Éric Girard	CA	Likely PQ
50.	Beauharnois Claude Reid	CA	Likely PQ
51.	Blainville Mario Laframboise	CA	Likely PQ
52.	Nicolet-Bécancour Donald Martel	CA	Likely PQ
53.	Borduas Simon Jolin-Barrette	CA	Likely PQ
54.	Abitibi-Est Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely PQ
55.	Arthabaska-L’Érable Alex Boissonneault	PQ	Likely PQ
56.	Iberville Audrey Bogemans	CA	Likely PQ
57.	Lévis Bernard Drainville	CA	Likely PQ
58.	Montarville Nathalie Roy	CA	Likely PQ
59.	Saint-François Geneviève Hébert	CA	Leaning PQ
60.	Vachon Ian Lafrenière	CA	Leaning PQ
61.	L’Assomption François Legault	CA	Leaning PQ
62.	Taschereau Étienne Grandmont	QS	Leaning PQ
63.	Granby François Bonnardel	CA	Leaning PQ
64.	Jean-Lesage Sol Zanetti	QS	Leaning PQ
65.	Sanguinet Christine Fréchette	CA	Leaning PQ
66.	Maurice-Richard Haroun Bouazzi	QS	Leaning PQ
67.	Côte-du-Sud Mathieu Rivest	CA	Leaning PQ
68.	Rosemont Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]	I	Toss up PQ/QS
69.	Sherbrooke Christine Labrie	QS	Toss up LIB/PQ
70.	La Prairie Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]	I	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
71.	Montmorency Jean-François Simard	CA	Toss up PQ/CPQ
72.	Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Martine Biron	CA	Toss up PQ/CPQ
73.	Champlain Sonia LeBel	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
74.	Ungava Denis Lamothe	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ
75.	Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Alexandre Leduc	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
76.	Portneuf Vincent Caron	CA	PCQ leaning
77.	Richmond André Bachand	CA	Leaning LIB
78.	Mégantic François Jacques	CA	PCQ leaning
79.	Gatineau Robert Bussière	CA	Leaning LIB
80.	Laval-des-Rapides Céline Haytayan	CA	Leaning LIB
81.	Papineau Mathieu Lacombe	CA	Leaning LIB
82.	La Peltrie Éric Caire	CA	PCQ leaning
83.	Chauveau Sylvain Lévesque	CA	PCQ leaning
84.	Huntingdon Carole Mallette	CA	Leaning LIB
85.	Orford Gilles Bélanger	CA	Likely LIB
86.	Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques Manon Massé	QS	QS likely
87.	Sainte-Rose Christopher Skeete	CA	Likely LIB
88.	Brome-Missisquoi Isabelle Charest	CA	Likely LIB
89.	Chapleau Mathieu Lévesque	CA	Likely LIB
90.	Bellechasse Stéphanie Lachance	CA	PCQ likely
91.	Soulanges Marilyne Picard	CA	Likely LIB
92.	Lotbinière-Frontenac Isabelle Lecours	CA	PCQ likely
93.	Mercier Ruba Ghazal	QS	QS likely
94.	Gouin Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois	QS	QS likely
95.	Mille-Îles Virginie Dufour	L	Likely LIB
96.	Vimont Valérie Schmaltz	CA	Safe LIB
97.	Anjou–Louis-Riel Karine Boivin Roy	CA	Safe LIB
98.	Châteauguay Marie-Belle Gendron	CA	Safe LIB
99.	Beauce-Nord Luc Provençal	CA	PCQ safe
100.	Fabre Alice Abou-Khalil	CA	Safe LIB
101.	Laporte Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe LIB
102.	Hull Suzanne Tremblay	CA	Safe LIB
103.	La Pinière Linda Caron	L	Safe LIB
104.	Viau Frantz Benjamin	L	Safe LIB

Parti Québécois

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Vote projection | February 3, 2026

Seat projection | February 3, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois