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Parti Québécois

Latest update: June 28, 2026
LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection29.8% ± 3.5%
Current number of MNA's7
Current seat projection60 [44-75]

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% Majority: 64 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 4.7 seat/% [44-75] 30% ± 3% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | June 28, 2026

22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 26.3% ▼ 29.8% ± 3.5% ▼ Max. 33.3% ▼ Probabilities % PQ June 28, 2026

Seat projection | June 28, 2026

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 44 ▼ 60 ▼ Majority 64 seats Max. 75 ▼ Probabilities % PQ June 28, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Parti Québécois



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis
Pascal Bérubé
 PQ Safe PQ
2.
Îles-de-la-Madeleine
Joël Arseneau
 PQ Safe PQ
3.
Joliette
François St-Louis
 CA Safe PQ
4.
Berthier
Caroline Proulx
 CA Safe PQ
5.
Rimouski
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
 C Safe PQ
6.
René-Lévesque
Yves Montigny
 CA Safe PQ
7.
Labelle
Chantal Jeannotte
 CA Safe PQ
8.
Gaspé
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
 CA Safe PQ
9.
Bertrand
France-Élaine Duranceau
 CA Safe PQ
10.
Bonaventure
Catherine Blouin
 CA Safe PQ
11.
Camille-Laurin
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
 PQ Safe PQ
12.
Prévost
Sonia Bélanger
 CA Safe PQ
13.
Saint-Jérôme
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
 I Safe PQ
14.
Abitibi-Ouest
Suzanne Blais
 CA Safe PQ
15.
Duplessis
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
 CA Safe PQ
16.
Chicoutimi
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
 PQ Safe PQ
17.
Lac-Saint-Jean
Éric Girard
 CA Safe PQ
18.
Jonquière
Yannick Gagnon
 CA Safe PQ
19.
Argenteuil
Agnès Grondin
 CA Safe PQ
20.
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
Kariane Bourassa
 CA Safe PQ
21.
Roberval
Nancy Guillemette
 CA Safe PQ
22.
Pointe-aux-Trembles
Chantal Rouleau
 CA Safe PQ
23.
Arthabaska-L’Érable
Alex Boissonneault
 PQ Safe PQ
24.
Dubuc
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
 I Safe PQ
25.
Marie-Victorin
Shirley Dorismond
 CA Likely PQ
26.
Saint-Hyacinthe
Chantal Soucy
 CA Likely PQ
27.
Saint-Jean
Louis Lemieux
 CA Likely PQ
28.
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Likely PQ
29.
Daniel-Johnson
André Lamontagne
 CA Likely PQ
30.
Drummond–Bois-Francs
Sébastien Schneeberger
 CA Likely PQ
31.
Maskinongé
Simon Allaire
 CA Likely PQ
32.
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice
Marie-Louise Tardif
 CA Likely PQ
33.
Bellefeuille
Vacant
 Likely PQ
34.
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques
Amélie Dionne
 CA Likely PQ
35.
Richelieu
Jean-Bernard Émond
 CA Likely PQ
36.
Taillon
Lionel Carmant
 CA Likely PQ
37.
Terrebonne
Catherine Gentilcore
 PQ Likely PQ
38.
Masson
Mathieu Lemay
 CA Likely PQ
39.
Nicolet-Bécancour
Donald Martel
 CA Likely PQ
40.
Abitibi-Est
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
 I Likely PQ
41.
Deux-Montagnes
Benoit Charette
 CA Likely PQ
42.
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie
Vacant
 Likely PQ
43.
Charlesbourg
Jonatan Julien
 CA Likely PQ
44.
Les Plaines
Lucie Lecours
 CA Leaning PQ
45.
Côte-du-Sud
Mathieu Rivest
 CA Leaning PQ
46.
Verchères
Suzanne Roy
 CA Leaning PQ
47.
Trois-Rivières
Jean Boulet
 CA Leaning PQ
48.
Repentigny
Pascale Déry
 CA Leaning PQ
49.
Louis-Hébert
Geneviève Guilbault
 CA Leaning PQ
50.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Leaning PQ
51.
Rousseau
Louis-Charles Thouin
 CA Leaning PQ
52.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Leaning PQ
53.
Vachon
Ian Lafrenière
 CA Leaning PQ
54.
L’Assomption
François Legault
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
55.
Blainville
Mario Laframboise
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
56.
Jean-Talon
Pascal Paradis
 PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
57.
Mirabel
Sylvie D’Amours
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
58.
Champlain
Sonia LeBel
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
59.
Vanier-Les Rivières
Mario Asselin
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
60.
Iberville
Audrey Bogemans
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
61.
Groulx
Éric Girard
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
62.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
63.
Mégantic
François Jacques
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
64.
Chambly
Jean-François Roberge
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
65.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
66.
Beauharnois
Claude Reid
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
67.
Lévis
Bernard Drainville
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
68.
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
69.
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Leaning LIB
70.
Montmorency
Jean-François Simard
 CA PCQ leaning
71.
Papineau
Mathieu Lacombe
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
72.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
73.
Montarville
Nathalie Roy
 CA Leaning CAQ
74.
Granby
François Bonnardel
 CA Leaning CAQ
75.
Sanguinet
Christine Fréchette
 CA Leaning CAQ
76.
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
Martine Biron
 CA PCQ leaning
77.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning LIB
78.
La Prairie
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
 I Leaning CAQ
79.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS likely
80.
Lotbinière-Frontenac
Isabelle Lecours
 CA PCQ leaning
81.
Huntingdon
Carole Mallette
 CA Likely LIB
82.
Chauveau
Sylvain Lévesque
 CA PCQ likely
83.
Portneuf
Vincent Caron
 CA PCQ likely
84.
Borduas
Simon Jolin-Barrette
 CA Likely CAQ
85.
Orford
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
 I Likely LIB
86.
La Peltrie
Éric Caire
 CA PCQ likely
87.
Chapleau
Mathieu Lévesque
 CA Toss up LIB/CAQ
88.
Brome-Missisquoi
Isabelle Charest
 CA Likely LIB
89.
Gatineau
Robert Bussière
 CA Likely LIB
90.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely