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Quebec

Mille-Îles


MNA: Virginie Dufour (LIB)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Mille-Îles


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 55% ± 8% 50.5% 35.8% 32.4% PQ 19% ± 6% 25.5% 15.1% 12.1% CPQ 10% ± 4% 0.3% 0.0% 10.6% CAQ 7% ± 3% 17.6% 31.7% 30.9% QS 6% ± 3% 4.7% 12.8% 12.9%




338Canada projection for Mille-Îles


Mille-Îles 55% ± 8%▲ LIB 19% ± 6%▼ PQ 10% ± 4%▼ CPQ 7% ± 3% CAQ 6% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 32.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mille-Îles >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mille-Îles

LIB 55% ± 8% PQ 19% ± 6% CAQ 7% ± 3% QS 6% ± 3% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mille-Îles 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 37% PQ 24% CAQ 16% QS 11% CPQ 10% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 37% PQ 27% CAQ 14% QS 11% CPQ 10% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 37% PQ 28% CAQ 13% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 40% PQ 28% CAQ 12% QS 10% CPQ 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 40% PQ 27% CAQ 12% CPQ 9% QS 9% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 40% PQ 27% CAQ 13% QS 9% CPQ 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 39% PQ 27% CAQ 13% QS 9% CPQ 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 39% PQ 24% CAQ 14% CPQ 11% QS 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 38% PQ 25% CAQ 12% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 39% PQ 27% CAQ 11% CPQ 11% QS 9% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 39% PQ 28% CPQ 11% CAQ 10% QS 9% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 39% PQ 27% CPQ 11% CAQ 11% QS 9% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 43% PQ 25% CPQ 11% CAQ 11% QS 8% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 45% PQ 24% CPQ 11% CAQ 10% QS 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 44% PQ 24% CPQ 11% CAQ 11% QS 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 43% PQ 24% CPQ 11% CAQ 11% QS 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 46% PQ 23% CPQ 11% CAQ 10% QS 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 52% PQ 21% CPQ 11% CAQ 7% QS 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 55% PQ 19% CPQ 10% CAQ 7% QS 6% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Mille-Îles

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 99% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 97% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 93% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 96% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 99% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 97% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 96% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 98% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader