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Quebec

Mille-Îles


MNA: Virginie Dufour (LIB)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
Likely LIB hold
Mille-Îles 39% ± 8%▼ LIB 27% ± 7% PQ 13% ± 4% CAQ 9% ± 4% QS 9% ± 4% QCP 2% ± 2% OTH LIB 2022 32.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mille-Îles 98%▼ LIB 2%▲ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mille-Îles

LIB 39% ± 8% PQ 27% ± 7% CAQ 13% ± 4% QS 9% ± 4% QCP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mille-Îles 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 17, 2024

Odds of winning | Mille-Îles

LIB 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024

Recent electoral history | Mille-Îles



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 50.5% 35.8% 32.4% 39% ± 8% CAQ 17.6% 31.7% 30.9% 13% ± 4% QS 4.7% 12.8% 12.9% 9% ± 4% PQ 25.5% 15.1% 12.1% 27% ± 7% QCP 0.3% 0.0% 10.6% 9% ± 4% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.