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Laporte


MNA: Isabelle Poulet (CAQ)

Latest projection: May 19, 2024
Leaning LIB gain
Laporte 32% ± 8%▼ LIB 27% ± 6%▼ PQ 18% ± 5% CAQ 13% ± 4%▼ QS 7% ± 3%▲ QCP 3% ± 2%▲ OTH CAQ 2022 30.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laporte 84%▲ LIB 16%▼ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Laporte

LIB 32% ± 8% PQ 27% ± 6% CAQ 18% ± 5% QS 13% ± 4% QCP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Laporte 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Laporte

LIB 84% PQ 16% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Laporte



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.0% 28.6% 30.8% 18% ± 5% LIB 49.0% 35.6% 28.8% 32% ± 8% QS 7.2% 17.1% 17.7% 13% ± 4% PQ 20.8% 13.2% 12.2% 27% ± 6% QCP 0.5% 1.4% 7.4% 7% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.