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Quebec

Laporte


MNA: Isabelle Poulet

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Leaning LIB gain
Laporte 31% ± 7% LIB 28% ± 6%▲ PQ 18% ± 5%▼ CAQ 14% ± 5% QS 6% ± 3%▼ CPQ 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 30.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laporte 78%▼ LIB 22%▲ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Laporte

LIB 31% ± 7% PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 18% ± 5% QS 14% ± 5% CPQ 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Laporte 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 34% LIB 31% QS 15% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 35% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 11% PQ 7% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 34% LIB 29% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 34% LIB 29% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 34% LIB 29% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 34% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 34% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 11% PQ 7% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 13% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 13% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 33% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 33% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 34% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 34% LIB 30% CPQ 13% QS 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 32% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 7% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 33% LIB 30% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 32% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 33% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 10% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 33% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 33% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 32% LIB 28% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 9% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 33% LIB 28% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 9% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 33% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 9% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 31% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 32% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 32% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 32% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 10% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 32% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 31% LIB 29% QS 14% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 31% LIB 29% QS 18% PQ 12% CPQ 7% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 30% LIB 29% QS 17% PQ 14% CPQ 7% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 30% LIB 29% QS 17% PQ 14% CPQ 7% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 30% LIB 28% QS 19% PQ 15% CPQ 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 30% LIB 28% QS 19% PQ 15% CPQ 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 30% LIB 30% QS 19% PQ 15% CPQ 5% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 31% LIB 29% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 5% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 31% LIB 29% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 5% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 29% LIB 27% PQ 18% QS 17% CPQ 5% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 29% LIB 29% QS 17% PQ 15% CPQ 7% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 29% LIB 29% QS 17% PQ 15% CPQ 7% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 29% CAQ 28% QS 16% PQ 16% CPQ 7% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 30% CAQ 22% PQ 21% QS 17% CPQ 7% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 29% CAQ 23% PQ 22% QS 17% CPQ 7% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 31% PQ 24% CAQ 19% QS 16% CPQ 7% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 31% PQ 24% CAQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 7% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 31% PQ 25% CAQ 19% QS 16% CPQ 7% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 31% PQ 27% CAQ 18% QS 16% CPQ 6% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 33% PQ 28% CAQ 18% QS 14% CPQ 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 32% PQ 27% CAQ 18% QS 13% CPQ 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 32% PQ 26% CAQ 20% QS 13% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 31% PQ 27% CAQ 20% QS 13% CPQ 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 31% PQ 24% CAQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 31% PQ 26% CAQ 20% QS 14% CPQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 31% PQ 28% CAQ 18% QS 14% CPQ 6% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Laporte

LIB 78% PQ 22% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 71% LIB 29% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 80% LIB 20% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 77% LIB 23% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 77% LIB 23% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 77% LIB 23% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 74% LIB 26% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 71% LIB 29% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 71% LIB 29% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 73% LIB 27% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 74% LIB 26% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 66% LIB 34% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 87% LIB 13% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 85% LIB 15% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 85% LIB 15% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 77% LIB 23% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 74% LIB 26% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 63% LIB 37% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 69% LIB 31% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 68% LIB 32% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 68% LIB 32% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 66% LIB 34% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 71% LIB 29% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 62% LIB 38% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 62% LIB 38% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 64% LIB 36% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 68% LIB 32% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 50% LIB 50% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 67% LIB 33% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 67% LIB 33% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 64% LIB 36% PQ <1% QS <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 51% LIB 49% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 51% LIB 49% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 58% CAQ 42% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 94% CAQ 4% PQ 2% QS <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 87% CAQ 8% PQ 6% QS <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 91% PQ 9% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 92% PQ 7% CAQ 1% QS <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 88% PQ 12% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 80% PQ 20% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 81% PQ 19% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 84% PQ 16% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 79% PQ 21% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 93% PQ 6% CAQ 1% QS <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 87% PQ 13% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 78% PQ 22% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Laporte



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.0% 28.6% 30.8% 18% ± 5% LIB 49.0% 35.6% 28.8% 31% ± 7% QS 7.2% 17.1% 17.7% 14% ± 5% PQ 20.8% 13.2% 12.2% 28% ± 6% CPQ 0.5% 1.4% 7.4% 6% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.