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Quebec

Les Plaines


MNA: Lucie Lecours (CAQ)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
Likely PQ gain
Les Plaines 38% ± 7%▼ PQ 28% ± 7%▲ CAQ 13% ± 5%▲ LIB 11% ± 4%▲ CPQ 9% ± 4%▼ QS CAQ 2022 50.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Les Plaines 96%▼ PQ 4%▲ CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Les Plaines

LIB 13% ± 5% PQ 38% ± 7% CAQ 28% ± 7% QS 9% ± 4% CPQ 11% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Les Plaines 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 51% PQ 16% QS 13% CPQ 12% LIB 7% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 50% PQ 19% QS 13% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 50% PQ 19% QS 13% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 49% PQ 20% QS 14% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 49% PQ 20% QS 14% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 49% PQ 20% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 51% PQ 21% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 51% PQ 21% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 47% PQ 24% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 43% PQ 22% QS 13% CPQ 12% LIB 7% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 43% PQ 22% QS 13% CPQ 12% LIB 7% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 42% PQ 23% QS 13% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 34% PQ 31% QS 13% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 33% CAQ 33% QS 14% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 37% CAQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 36% CAQ 31% QS 12% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 39% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 42% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 43% CAQ 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 41% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% LIB 10% QS 10% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 40% CAQ 29% CPQ 10% LIB 10% QS 10% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 40% CAQ 28% CPQ 10% QS 10% LIB 10% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 36% CAQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 11% LIB 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 39% CAQ 29% CPQ 11% QS 10% LIB 10% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 42% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 38% CAQ 28% LIB 13% CPQ 11% QS 9% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Les Plaines

LIB <1% PQ 96% CAQ 4% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 67% PQ 33% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 55% CAQ 45% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 94% CAQ 6% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 78% CAQ 22% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 98% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 84% CAQ 16% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 96% CAQ 4% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Les Plaines



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 37.3% 50.8% 50.5% 28% ± 7% PQ 36.6% 23.8% 16.1% 38% ± 7% QS 6.2% 13.8% 13.3% 9% ± 4% CPQ 0.8% 1.1% 12.1% 11% ± 4% LIB 18.5% 8.3% 6.9% 13% ± 5% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%