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Quebec

Les Plaines


MNA: Lucie Lecours (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe PQ

Recent electoral history | Les Plaines


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 42% ± 8% 36.6% 23.8% 16.1% CAQ 21% ± 6% 37.3% 50.8% 50.5% LIB 14% ± 5% 18.5% 8.3% 6.9% CPQ 12% ± 4% 0.8% 1.1% 12.1% QS 7% ± 3% 6.2% 13.8% 13.3%




338Canada projection for Les Plaines


Les Plaines 42% ± 8%▼ PQ 21% ± 6%▼ CAQ 14% ± 5%▲ LIB 12% ± 4% CPQ 7% ± 3%▼ QS CAQ 2022 50.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Les Plaines >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Les Plaines

LIB 14% ± 5% PQ 42% ± 8% CAQ 21% ± 6% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Les Plaines 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 36% CAQ 31% QS 12% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 39% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 42% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 43% CAQ 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 41% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% LIB 10% QS 10% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 40% CAQ 29% CPQ 10% LIB 10% QS 10% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 40% CAQ 28% CPQ 10% QS 10% LIB 10% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 36% CAQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 11% LIB 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 39% CAQ 29% CPQ 11% QS 10% LIB 10% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 42% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 10% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 38% CAQ 28% LIB 13% CPQ 11% QS 9% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 38% CAQ 28% LIB 13% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 37% CAQ 29% LIB 13% CPQ 11% QS 8% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 43% CAQ 28% CPQ 11% LIB 9% QS 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 43% CAQ 27% CPQ 11% LIB 10% QS 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 44% CAQ 22% LIB 13% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 42% CAQ 21% LIB 14% CPQ 12% QS 7% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Les Plaines

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 78% CAQ 22% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 98% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 84% CAQ 16% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 96% CAQ 4% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 92% CAQ 8% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader