logo
Quebec

Recent electoral history | Papineau


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection CAQ 27% ± 7% 16.2% 47.0% 53.6% PQ 25% ± 6% 25.0% 10.7% 10.3% LIB 25% ± 6% 49.8% 23.0% 8.0% CPQ 13% ± 4% 0.0% 1.2% 13.3% QS 9% ± 4% 6.8% 15.0% 13.4%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Papineau

PartiesCandidates
CAQ Linda Gauthier
PQ
LIB Isabelle Sabourin
CPQ Michel Kadri
QS
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

Quebec flag

338Canada Papineau projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Papineau 21% 34% 27% ± 7% CAQ 19% 31% 25% ± 6% PQ 19% 31% 25% ± 6% LIB 8% 17% 13% ± 4% CPQ 5% 13% 9% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 53.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
✓ Copied!
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Papineau 59%▲ CAQ 22%▼ PQ 19%▼ LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
✓ Copied!
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


338Canada Quebec Projection | Papineau

Odds of winning | Papineau


>99% <1% 36% ± 6% 64% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Papineau YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026