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Recent electoral history | Papineau


2014* 2018* 2022* 2026* Projection PQ 32% ± 7% 25.0% 10.7% 10.3% 30.2% LIB 30% ± 6% 49.8% 23.0% 8.0% 28.7% CPQ 23% ± 6% 0.0% 1.2% 13.3% 22.0% CAQ 8% ± 3% 16.2% 47.0% 53.6% 11.2% QS 7% ± 3% 6.8% 15.0% 13.4% 7.1%
Latest update: October 26, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Papineau

PartiesCandidates
PQ Isabelle Millette
LIB Isabelle Sabourin
CPQ Michel Kadri
CAQ Linda Gauthier
QS Benoit Renaud
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Papineau projection

Latest update: October 26, 2026

Papineau 25% 38% 32% ± 7% PQ 24% 36% 30% ± 6% LIB 17% 29% 23% ± 6% CPQ 4% 11% 8% ± 3% CAQ 4% 10% 7% ± 3% QS PQ 2022 30.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 26, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Papineau 62%▼ PQ 38%▲ LIB 1%▲ CPQ Odds of winning | October 26, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Papineau

Odds of winning | Papineau


>99% <1% 38% ± 6% 62% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Papineau YES NO 338Canada October 26, 2026