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Quebec

Joliette


MNA: François St-Louis (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
Safe PQ gain
Joliette 52% ± 7%▲ PQ 25% ± 6%▼ CAQ 10% ± 4% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 3% ± 2%▼ LIB CAQ 2022 45.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Joliette >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Joliette

PQ 52% ± 7% CAQ 25% ± 6% QS 10% ± 4% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Joliette 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 40% PQ 38% CPQ 9% QS 9% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 41% PQ 36% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 40% PQ 33% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 40% PQ 33% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 40% PQ 33% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 40% PQ 34% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 40% PQ 34% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 40% PQ 34% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 39% PQ 34% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 39% PQ 36% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 39% PQ 36% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 39% PQ 36% CPQ 12% QS 9% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 39% PQ 36% CPQ 12% QS 8% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 38% PQ 35% CPQ 14% QS 8% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 38% PQ 35% CPQ 14% QS 8% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 38% PQ 34% CPQ 15% QS 7% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 38% PQ 34% CPQ 15% QS 7% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 39% PQ 34% CPQ 15% QS 7% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 39% PQ 33% CPQ 15% QS 7% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 40% PQ 36% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 41% PQ 35% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 41% PQ 35% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 41% PQ 34% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 41% PQ 34% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 39% PQ 38% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 38% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 39% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 39% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 39% PQ 36% CPQ 11% QS 9% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 42% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 42% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 41% PQ 38% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 42% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 42% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 42% PQ 38% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 42% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 42% PQ 37% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 46% PQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 44% PQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 8% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 44% PQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 8% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 42% PQ 37% QS 12% CPQ 6% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 42% PQ 37% QS 12% CPQ 6% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 PQ 40% CAQ 39% QS 12% CPQ 6% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 42% CAQ 40% QS 12% CPQ 6% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 42% CAQ 40% QS 12% CPQ 6% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 43% PQ 37% QS 11% CPQ 6% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 40% PQ 35% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 40% PQ 35% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 43% CAQ 34% QS 12% CPQ 8% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 45% CAQ 31% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 49% CAQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 7% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 50% CAQ 25% QS 13% CPQ 7% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 50% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 48% CAQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 13% CPQ 7% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 52% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 7% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 9% CPQ 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 52% CAQ 25% QS 10% CPQ 7% 2024-06-17

Odds of winning | Joliette

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 61% PQ 39% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 74% PQ 26% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 80% PQ 20% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 80% PQ 20% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 76% PQ 24% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 66% PQ 34% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 66% PQ 34% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 66% PQ 34% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 64% PQ 36% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 70% PQ 30% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 70% PQ 30% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 71% PQ 29% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 71% PQ 29% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 78% PQ 22% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 81% PQ 19% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 71% PQ 29% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 77% PQ 23% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 79% PQ 21% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 82% PQ 18% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 82% PQ 18% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 54% PQ 46% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 56% PQ 44% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 58% PQ 42% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 59% PQ 41% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 65% PQ 35% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 75% PQ 25% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 75% PQ 25% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 67% PQ 33% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 73% PQ 27% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 73% PQ 27% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 73% PQ 27% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 73% PQ 27% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 74% PQ 26% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 89% PQ 11% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 89% PQ 11% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 79% PQ 21% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 79% PQ 21% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 PQ 57% CAQ 43% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 63% CAQ 37% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 63% CAQ 37% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 81% PQ 19% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 81% PQ 19% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 93% CAQ 7% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 99% CAQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17

Recent electoral history | Joliette



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 26.6% 35.0% 45.6% 25% ± 6% PQ 44.3% 46.0% 31.2% 52% ± 7% QS 7.4% 10.1% 11.4% 10% ± 4% CPQ 0.6% 0.0% 8.8% 7% ± 3% LIB 19.8% 6.8% 3.0% 3% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.