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Quebec

Joliette


MNA: François St-Louis (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe PQ

Recent electoral history | Joliette


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 59% ± 7% 44.3% 46.0% 31.2% CAQ 17% ± 5% 26.6% 35.0% 45.6% CPQ 8% ± 3% 0.6% 0.0% 8.8% QS 7% ± 3% 7.4% 10.1% 11.4% LIB 6% ± 3% 19.8% 6.8% 3.0%




338Canada projection for Joliette


Joliette 59% ± 7%▼ PQ 17% ± 5%▼ CAQ 8% ± 3% CPQ 7% ± 3% QS 6% ± 3%▲ LIB CAQ 2022 45.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Joliette >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Joliette

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 59% ± 7% CAQ 17% ± 5% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Joliette 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 50% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 48% CAQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 13% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 52% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 9% CPQ 8% LIB 4% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 52% CAQ 25% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 52% CAQ 25% QS 10% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 56% CAQ 22% QS 9% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 57% CAQ 21% QS 9% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 54% CAQ 23% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 53% CAQ 23% QS 9% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 54% CAQ 22% CPQ 8% QS 8% LIB 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 52% CAQ 24% QS 8% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 58% CAQ 22% CPQ 7% QS 7% LIB 4% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 62% CAQ 19% QS 7% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 61% CAQ 18% CPQ 8% QS 7% LIB 5% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 59% CAQ 17% CPQ 8% QS 7% LIB 6% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Joliette

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader