logo
logo
Quebec

Joliette


MNA: François St-Louis (CAQ)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
Safe PQ gain
Joliette 53% ± 7%▼ PQ 23% ± 5% CAQ 9% ± 3%▼ QS 8% ± 3%▲ CPQ 5% ± 3%▲ LIB 2% ± 1% IND CAQ 2022 45.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Joliette >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Joliette

LIB 5% ± 3% PQ 53% ± 7% CAQ 23% ± 5% QS 9% ± 3% CPQ 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Joliette 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 46% PQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 9% LIB 3% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 44% PQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 44% PQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 42% PQ 37% QS 12% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 42% PQ 37% QS 12% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 PQ 40% CAQ 39% QS 12% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 42% CAQ 40% QS 12% CPQ 6% LIB 2% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 42% CAQ 40% QS 12% CPQ 6% LIB 2% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 43% PQ 37% QS 11% CPQ 6% LIB 2% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 40% PQ 35% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 2% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 40% PQ 35% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 2% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 43% CAQ 34% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 45% CAQ 31% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 49% CAQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 50% CAQ 25% QS 13% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 50% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 48% CAQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 13% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 52% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 9% CPQ 8% LIB 4% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 52% CAQ 25% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 51% CAQ 26% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 52% CAQ 25% QS 10% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 56% CAQ 22% QS 9% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 57% CAQ 21% QS 9% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 54% CAQ 23% QS 10% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 53% CAQ 23% QS 9% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Joliette

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 89% PQ 11% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 89% PQ 11% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 79% PQ 21% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 79% PQ 21% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 PQ 57% CAQ 43% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 63% CAQ 37% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 63% CAQ 37% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 83% PQ 17% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 81% PQ 19% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 81% PQ 19% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 93% CAQ 7% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Joliette



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 26.6% 35.0% 45.6% 23% ± 5% PQ 44.3% 46.0% 31.2% 53% ± 7% QS 7.4% 10.1% 11.4% 9% ± 3% CPQ 0.6% 0.0% 8.8% 8% ± 3% LIB 19.8% 6.8% 3.0% 5% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%