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Recent electoral history | Orford


2014* 2018* 2022* 2026* Projection LIB 40% ± 7% 44.6% 25.4% 15.4% 37.8% PQ 26% ± 6% 26.0% 12.0% 13.4% 25.0% CPQ 15% ± 5% 0.0% 1.1% 10.8% 13.8% QS 10% ± 4% 7.7% 17.9% 16.2% 9.7% CAQ 8% ± 4% 20.7% 40.1% 42.8% 11.9%
Latest update: October 26, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Orford

PartiesCandidates
LIB Charles Milliard
PQ Jocelyn Caron
CPQ Benoit Robitaille
QS Eve-Lyne Clusiault
CAQ Allison Turner
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Orford projection

Latest update: October 26, 2026

Orford 32% 47% 40% ± 7% LIB 20% 33% 26% ± 6% PQ 10% 19% 15% ± 5% CPQ 6% 13% 10% ± 4% QS 4% 12% 8% ± 4% CAQ LIB 2022 37.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 26, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Orford >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | October 26, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Orford

Odds of winning | Orford


>99% <1% 34% ± 6% 66% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Orford YES NO 338Canada October 26, 2026