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Quebec


Groulx


MNA: Éric Girard (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 22, 2022

Safe CAQ hold
Groulx 47% ± 9% CAQ 18% ± 6% PQ 16% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% LIB 8% ± 4% QCP CAQ 2022 47.7% Popular vote projection | December 22, 2022
50% 100% Groulx >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | December 22, 2022


Popular vote projection | Groulx

LIB 11% ± 4% PQ 18% ± 6% CAQ 47% ± 9% QS 16% ± 6% QCP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Groulx 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Groulx

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Groulx



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 30.5% 40.6% 47.7% 47% ± 9% QS 6.8% 17.2% 16.2% 16% ± 6% PQ 29.6% 15.8% 15.3% 18% ± 6% LIB 30.9% 20.2% 11.0% 11% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 1.0% 8.7% 8% ± 4%