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Quebec

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne


MNA: Guillaume Cliche-Rivard (QS)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
QS likely hold
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 41% ± 8%▲ QS 27% ± 7%▼ LIB 16% ± 5% PQ 8% ± 3% CAQ 5% ± 3% CPQ 2% ± 2% OTH LIB 2022 36.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 99%▲ QS 1%▼ LIB <1% PQ Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 27% ± 7% PQ 16% ± 5% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 41% ± 8% CPQ 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 29% QS 27% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 28% LIB 27% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 LIB 28% CAQ 28% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 LIB 28% CAQ 27% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 LIB 28% CAQ 27% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 27% CPQ 8% PQ 6% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 26% CPQ 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 26% CPQ 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 28% LIB 28% QS 26% CPQ 7% PQ 7% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 29% QS 27% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 29% LIB 27% QS 26% CPQ 7% PQ 7% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 29% LIB 27% QS 26% CPQ 7% PQ 7% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 29% LIB 27% QS 26% CPQ 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 29% LIB 27% QS 26% CPQ 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 29% LIB 27% QS 26% CPQ 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 29% LIB 27% QS 26% CPQ 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 29% CAQ 28% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 29% CAQ 28% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 QS 29% CAQ 29% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 29% QS 29% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 29% QS 28% LIB 27% PQ 7% CPQ 6% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 28% CAQ 28% LIB 26% PQ 10% CPQ 6% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 28% CAQ 28% LIB 26% PQ 9% CPQ 6% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 29% CAQ 28% LIB 26% PQ 8% CPQ 6% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 QS 29% CAQ 28% LIB 26% PQ 8% CPQ 6% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 QS 29% CAQ 28% LIB 26% PQ 8% CPQ 6% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 QS 28% CAQ 28% LIB 28% PQ 8% CPQ 6% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 LIB 29% CAQ 29% QS 27% PQ 8% CPQ 6% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 LIB 29% QS 28% CAQ 26% PQ 10% CPQ 6% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 LIB 32% QS 26% CAQ 25% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 LIB 32% QS 26% CAQ 25% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 LIB 32% QS 27% CAQ 25% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 LIB 32% QS 27% CAQ 25% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 LIB 30% QS 27% CAQ 27% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 LIB 36% QS 28% CAQ 18% PQ 8% CPQ 6% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 LIB 34% QS 29% CAQ 18% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 LIB 34% QS 29% CAQ 18% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 LIB 33% QS 33% CAQ 16% PQ 10% CPQ 4% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 43% LIB 27% PQ 13% CAQ 12% CPQ 4% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 44% LIB 28% CAQ 13% PQ 10% CPQ 3% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 44% LIB 27% CAQ 13% PQ 11% CPQ 3% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 44% LIB 27% CAQ 13% PQ 11% CPQ 3% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 43% LIB 25% CAQ 14% PQ 11% CPQ 4% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 40% LIB 29% CAQ 12% PQ 10% CPQ 6% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 40% LIB 29% CAQ 12% PQ 10% CPQ 6% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS 39% LIB 29% CAQ 12% PQ 11% CPQ 6% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS 39% LIB 30% CAQ 12% PQ 10% CPQ 5% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 42% LIB 28% PQ 13% CAQ 10% CPQ 5% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 48% LIB 23% PQ 13% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 45% LIB 24% PQ 15% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 46% LIB 23% PQ 15% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 47% LIB 23% PQ 15% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 42% LIB 28% PQ 16% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 39% LIB 28% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 39% LIB 28% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 41% LIB 27% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-17

Odds of winning | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 39% LIB 33% QS 29% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 41% QS 30% LIB 30% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 37% LIB 32% QS 30% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 36% LIB 36% QS 28% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 37% LIB 35% QS 28% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 LIB 39% CAQ 35% QS 26% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 LIB 43% CAQ 30% QS 27% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 LIB 44% CAQ 30% QS 26% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 LIB 37% CAQ 36% QS 26% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 LIB 38% CAQ 37% QS 24% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 LIB 38% CAQ 37% QS 24% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 LIB 38% CAQ 37% QS 25% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 45% QS 30% LIB 24% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 51% LIB 28% QS 21% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 51% LIB 28% QS 20% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 53% LIB 27% QS 20% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 53% LIB 27% QS 20% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 56% LIB 25% QS 19% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 58% LIB 25% QS 17% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 45% CAQ 32% LIB 23% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 42% CAQ 36% LIB 22% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 QS 41% CAQ 38% LIB 21% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 39% QS 38% LIB 23% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 40% QS 35% LIB 24% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 41% CAQ 39% LIB 21% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 41% CAQ 39% LIB 19% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 42% CAQ 41% LIB 17% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 QS 42% CAQ 40% LIB 17% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 QS 41% CAQ 40% LIB 19% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 QS 36% CAQ 34% LIB 30% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 LIB 40% CAQ 38% QS 22% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 LIB 44% QS 39% CAQ 17% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 LIB 80% QS 11% CAQ 9% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 LIB 80% QS 11% CAQ 9% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 LIB 75% QS 17% CAQ 8% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 LIB 75% QS 17% CAQ 8% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 LIB 57% QS 22% CAQ 20% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 LIB 99% QS 1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 LIB 76% QS 24% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 LIB 76% QS 24% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 50% LIB 50% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 99% LIB 1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 98% LIB 2% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 98% LIB 2% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS 95% LIB 5% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS 94% LIB 6% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 99% LIB 1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS >99% LIB <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 99% LIB 1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 95% LIB 5% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 97% LIB 3% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 99% LIB 1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-06-17

Recent electoral history | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 51.3% 38.1% 36.2% 27% ± 7% QS 11.0% 23.8% 27.7% 41% ± 8% CAQ 11.2% 18.6% 17.7% 8% ± 3% PQ 22.7% 11.5% 8.3% 16% ± 5% CPQ 0.0% 1.2% 6.4% 5% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.