logo
Quebec

Recent electoral history | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne


2014 2018 2022 Projection LIB 41% ± 8% 51.3% 38.1% 36.2% QS 28% ± 7% 11.0% 23.8% 27.7% PQ 15% ± 5% 22.7% 11.5% 8.3% CPQ 7% ± 3% 0.0% 1.2% 6.4% CAQ 6% ± 3% 11.2% 18.6% 17.7%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Quebec flag

338Canada Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne projection

Latest update: March 5, 2026

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 33% 49% 41% ± 8% LIB 20% 35% 28% ± 7% QS 10% 20% 15% ± 5% PQ 4% 10% 7% ± 3% CPQ 3% 9% 6% ± 3% CAQ LIB 2022 36.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 99%▲ LIB 1%▼ QS <1% PQ Odds of winning | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 41% ± 8% PQ 15% ± 5% CAQ 6% ± 3% QS 28% ± 7% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 5, 2026 2025-03-05 LIB 36% QS 22% PQ 21% CPQ 10% CAQ 8% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 36% QS 22% PQ 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 35% QS 23% PQ 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 41% QS 23% PQ 20% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 42% QS 22% PQ 18% CAQ 7% CPQ 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 45% QS 20% PQ 16% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 LIB 45% QS 20% PQ 16% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 LIB 44% QS 19% PQ 18% CAQ 7% CPQ 6% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 LIB 49% PQ 21% QS 13% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 LIB 50% PQ 22% QS 13% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 LIB 47% PQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 LIB 45% QS 20% PQ 18% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 LIB 35% QS 24% PQ 22% CAQ 8% CPQ 8% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 LIB 34% QS 27% PQ 19% CAQ 9% CPQ 8% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 LIB 35% QS 27% PQ 19% CPQ 8% CAQ 8% 2026-01-14 2026-02-03 LIB 37% QS 28% PQ 17% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2026-02-03 2026-02-27 LIB 38% QS 29% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2026-02-27 2026-03-05 LIB 41% QS 28% PQ 15% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2026-03-05 Rodriguez PLQ leader Zanetti QS co-leader Rodriguez resigns Legault resigns Milliard PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS 1% CPQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 5, 2026 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 LIB 98% QS 2% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 LIB 89% QS 11% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 LIB 92% QS 8% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% 2026-01-14 2026-02-03 LIB 94% QS 6% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-02-03 2026-02-27 LIB 95% QS 5% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-02-27 2026-03-05 LIB 99% QS 1% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-03-05 Rodriguez PLQ leader Zanetti QS co-leader Rodriguez resigns Legault resigns Milliard PLQ leader
>99% <1% 33% ± 6% 67% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne YES NO 338Canada March 5, 2026


Flag of Quebec

Demographic data | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

Canadian Census, 2021
Language 55.9% French 30.4% English 2.4% Mandarin 2.2% Spanish 1.4% Bengali 1.3% Arabic 0.7% RussianSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 9.4% No diploma 13.3% High school 8.1% Trade 14.7% College / Cégep 3.8% Some university 28.2% Bachelor's 22.5% PostgraduateSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 68.7% Not visible minority 31.3% Visible minority 9.0% Black 5.1% Chinese 4.4% Arab 4.0% South Asian 3.6% Latin American 1.5% Southeast AsianSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 41.0% No Religion 32.7% Catholic 9.0% Muslim 5.6% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.9% Other Christian 1.8% Jewish 1.7% Orthodox 1.3% BuddhistSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 65.2% Renter 34.8% OwnerSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 61.9% Employed 31.3% Not in labour force 6.8% UnemployedSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.6% Non-Indigenous 1.4% Indigenous identity 0.9% First Nations 0.4% Metis 0.1% OthersSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 49.8% Car / truck / van 30.9% Public transit 13.2% Walking 3.7% Bicycle 2.4% OtherSaint-Henri–Sainte-AnneSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.