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Quebec

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne


MNA: Guillaume Cliche-Rivard (QS)

Latest projection: June 7, 2024
QS likely hold
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 39% ± 8% QS 28% ± 7% LIB 16% ± 5% PQ 8% ± 3% CAQ 5% ± 3%▼ QCP 2% ± 2%▼ OTH LIB 2022 36.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 97%▲ QS 3%▼ LIB <1% PQ Odds of winning | June 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 28% ± 7% PQ 16% ± 5% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 39% ± 8% QCP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 7, 2024

Odds of winning | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 3% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS 97% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 7, 2024

Recent electoral history | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 51.3% 38.1% 36.2% 28% ± 7% QS 11.0% 23.8% 27.7% 39% ± 8% CAQ 11.2% 18.6% 17.7% 8% ± 3% PQ 22.7% 11.5% 8.3% 16% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 1.2% 6.4% 5% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.