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Quebec

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne


MNA: Guillaume Cliche-Rivard (QS)
Latest projection: May 16, 2025
Safe LIB

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 51% ± 8%▲ LIB 20% ± 6% PQ 10% ± 4%▼ QS 8% ± 3%▼ CAQ 7% ± 3%▼ CPQ 3% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 36.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 16, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | May 16, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).

Popular vote projection | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB 51% ± 8% PQ 20% ± 6% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 10% ± 4% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ May 16, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 45% LIB 24% PQ 15% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 46% LIB 23% PQ 15% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 47% LIB 23% PQ 15% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 42% LIB 28% PQ 16% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 39% LIB 28% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 39% LIB 28% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 41% LIB 27% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 QS 41% LIB 26% PQ 16% CAQ 8% CPQ 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 QS 39% LIB 27% PQ 16% CPQ 8% CAQ 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 QS 39% LIB 27% PQ 18% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 QS 38% LIB 28% PQ 18% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 QS 38% LIB 29% PQ 17% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 36% QS 31% PQ 16% CPQ 7% CAQ 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 48% PQ 21% QS 10% CPQ 10% CAQ 8% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 48% PQ 20% QS 11% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 47% PQ 20% QS 11% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 51% PQ 20% QS 10% CAQ 8% CPQ 7% 2025-05-16 Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ May 16, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB <1% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB <1% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB <1% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 1% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 5% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 3% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 1% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 1% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 2% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 3% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 4% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 6% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 82% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 51.3% 38.1% 36.2% 51% ± 8% QS 11.0% 23.8% 27.7% 10% ± 4% CAQ 11.2% 18.6% 17.7% 8% ± 3% PQ 22.7% 11.5% 8.3% 20% ± 6% CPQ 0.0% 1.2% 6.4% 7% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%