Quebec Liberal Party
Latest update: March 5, 2026
| Leader | Pablo Rodriguez |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 14.4% |
| Current vote projection | 28.7% ± 3.4% |
| Current number of MNA's | 18 |
| Current seat projection | 45 [38-55] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | March 5, 2026
Seat projection | March 5, 2026
List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Liberal Party
| Electoral districts | Current party | Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Greg Kelley
|
Safe LIB | |
| 2. | Brigitte Garceau
|
Safe LIB | |
| 3. | Désirée McGraw
|
Safe LIB | |
| 4. | Elisabeth Prass
|
Safe LIB | |
| 5. | Monsef Derraji
|
Safe LIB | |
| 6. | Jennifer Maccarone
|
Safe LIB | |
| 7. | Marc Tanguay
|
Safe LIB | |
| 8. | Enrico Ciccone
|
Safe LIB | |
| 9. | Filomena Rotiroti
|
Safe LIB | |
| 10. | Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
|
Safe LIB | |
| 11. | Fred Beauchemin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 12. | André Fortin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 13. | Madwa-Nika Cadet
|
Safe LIB | |
| 14. | André A. Morin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 15. | Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]
|
Safe LIB | |
| 16. | Michelle Setlakwe
|
Safe LIB | |
| 17. | Frantz Benjamin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 18. | Linda Caron
|
Safe LIB | |
| 19. | Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
|
Safe LIB | |
| 20. | Marie-Claude Nichols
|
Safe LIB | |
| 21. | Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
|
Safe LIB | |
| 22. | Virginie Dufour
|
Safe LIB | |
| 23. | Suzanne Tremblay
|
Safe LIB | |
| 24. | Valérie Schmaltz
|
Safe LIB | |
| 25. | Alice Abou-Khalil
|
Safe LIB | |
| 26. | Marie-Belle Gendron
|
Safe LIB | |
| 27. | Karine Boivin Roy
|
Safe LIB | |
| 28. | Christopher Skeete
|
Safe LIB | |
| 29. | Marilyne Picard
|
Safe LIB | |
| 30. | Isabelle Charest
|
Likely LIB | |
| 31. | Mathieu Lévesque
|
Likely LIB | |
| 32. | Céline Haytayan
|
Likely LIB | |
| 33. | Gilles Bélanger
|
Likely LIB | |
| 34. | Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
|
Likely LIB | |
| 35. | Mathieu Lacombe
|
Likely LIB | |
| 36. | Robert Bussière
|
Likely LIB | |
| 37. | Carole Mallette
|
Likely LIB | |
| 38. | André Bachand
|
Likely LIB | |
| 39. | Andrès Fontecilla
|
Likely LIB | |
| 40. | Denis Lamothe
|
Leaning LIB | |
| 41. | Haroun Bouazzi
|
Leaning LIB | |
| 42. | Pascal Paradis
|
Leaning LIB | |
| 43. | Christine Labrie
|
Leaning LIB | |
| 44. | Geneviève Hébert
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 45. | Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 46. | Nathalie Roy
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 47. | Mario Laframboise
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 48. | Christine Fréchette
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | |
| 49. | Ian Lafrenière
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 50. | Éric Girard
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 51. | François Jacques
|
Toss up LIB/CPQ | |
| 52. | Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/QS | |
| 53. | Éric Caire
|
PCQ leaning | |
| 54. | Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 55. | Jean-François Simard
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ | |
| 56. | Louis Lemieux
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 57. | Lionel Carmant [Elected as CAQ]
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 58. | Ruba Ghazal
|
QS likely | |
| 59. | Mario Asselin
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 60. | Benoit Charette
|
Likely PQ | |
| 61. | Jean-François Roberge
|
Likely PQ | |
| 62. | Geneviève Guilbault
|
Likely PQ | |
| 63. | Jonatan Julien
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 64. | Manon Massé
|
QS likely | |
| 65. | Sonia LeBel
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
| 66. | Étienne Grandmont
|
Toss up PQ/QS | |
| 67. | Jean Boulet
|
Safe PQ | |
| 68. | Audrey Bogemans
|
Likely PQ | |
| 69. | Alexandre Leduc
|
QS leaning | |
| 70. | Shirley Dorismond
|
Safe PQ | |
| 71. | François Bonnardel
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 72. | Claude Reid
|
Likely PQ | |
| 73. | Bernard Drainville
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
| 74. | Sol Zanetti
|
Toss up PQ/QS | |
| 75. | François Legault
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 76. | Mathieu Rivest
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
| 77. | Chantal Rouleau
|
Safe PQ | |
| 78. | Stéphane Sainte-Croix
|
Safe PQ | |
| 79. | Simon Jolin-Barrette
|
Likely PQ | |
| 80. | Marie-Louise Tardif
|
Safe PQ | |
| 81. | Sylvain Lévesque
|
PCQ likely |