Quebec Liberal Party

Last update: August 30, 2023

Leader	Marc Tanguay (interim)
National popular vote in 2022	14.4%
Current vote projection	12.5% ± 1.9%
Current number of MNA's	19
Current seat projection	18 [14-24]

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Liberal Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Jacques-Cartier		Safe LIB hold	>99%
2.	Robert-Baldwin		Safe LIB hold	>99%
3.	Jeanne-Mance–Viger		Safe LIB hold	>99%
4.	D’Arcy-McGee		Safe LIB hold	>99%
5.	Nelligan		Safe LIB hold	>99%
6.	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce		Safe LIB hold	>99%
7.	Saint-Laurent		Safe LIB hold	>99%
8.	LaFontaine		Safe LIB hold	>99%
9.	Westmount–Saint-Louis		Safe LIB hold	>99%
10.	Acadie		Safe LIB hold	>99%
11.	Marquette		Safe LIB hold	>99%
12.	Marguerite-Bourgeoys		Safe LIB hold	>99%
13.	Mont-Royal -Outremont		Likely LIB hold	99%
14.	Pontiac		Likely LIB hold	99%
15.	Chomedey		Likely LIB hold	96%
16.	Bourassa-Sauvé		Likely LIB hold	94%
17.	La Pinière		Leaning LIB hold	84%
18.	Mille-Îles		Toss up LIB/CAQ	59%
19.	Fabre		Toss up LIB/CAQ	40%
20.	Laporte		Toss up LIB/CAQ	36%
21.	Vaudreuil		Toss up LIB/CAQ	33%
22.	Viau		QS leaning gain	30%
23.	Laval-des-Rapides		Leaning CAQ hold	26%
24.	Vimont		Leaning CAQ hold	26%
25.	Anjou–Louis-Riel		Likely CAQ hold	6%
26.	Verdun		QS likely hold	2%
27.	Hull		Likely CAQ hold	1%
28.	Châteauguay		Likely CAQ hold	1%