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Quebec

Quebec Liberal Party





Last update: April 23, 2022

LeaderDominique Anglade
National popular vote in 201824.8%
Current vote projection18.0% ± 2.9%
Current number of MNA's27
Current seat projection17 [11-26]



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB hold >99%
2. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB hold >99%
3. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB hold >99%
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB hold >99%
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB hold >99%
6. Nelligan Safe LIB hold >99%
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB hold >99%
8. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB hold >99%
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB hold >99%
10. Acadie Safe LIB hold >99%
11. Chomedey Safe LIB hold >99%
12. Pontiac Likely LIB hold 98%
13. LaFontaine Likely LIB hold 96%
14. Viau Leaning LIB hold 82%
15. Bourassa-Sauvé Leaning LIB hold 80%
16. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Leaning LIB hold 73%
17. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 69%
18. Marquette Toss up LIB/CAQ 34%
19. Anjou–Louis-Riel Leaning CAQ gain 27%
20. Vaudreuil Leaning CAQ gain 27%
21. Laporte Leaning CAQ gain 24%
22. La Pinière Leaning CAQ gain 22%
23. Fabre Leaning CAQ gain 21%
24. Mille-Îles Leaning CAQ gain 20%
25. Vimont Leaning CAQ gain 19%
26. Verdun Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS 17%
27. Hull Likely CAQ gain 4%
28. Châteauguay Likely CAQ hold 4%
29. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up PQ/CAQ 3%
30. Laval-des-Rapides Likely CAQ gain 3%
31. Ungava Likely CAQ hold 3%
32. Gaspé Toss up PQ/CAQ 2%
33. Huntingdon Likely CAQ hold 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB hold
2. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB hold
3. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB hold
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB hold
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB hold
6. Nelligan Safe LIB hold
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB hold
8. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB hold
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB hold
10. Acadie Safe LIB hold
11. Chomedey Safe LIB hold
12. Pontiac Likely LIB hold
13. LaFontaine Likely LIB hold
14. Viau Leaning LIB hold
15. Bourassa-Sauvé Leaning LIB hold
16. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Leaning LIB hold
17. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS
18. Marquette Toss up LIB/CAQ
19. Anjou–Louis-Riel Leaning CAQ gain
20. Vaudreuil Leaning CAQ gain
21. Laporte Leaning CAQ gain
22. La Pinière Leaning CAQ gain
23. Fabre Leaning CAQ gain
24. Mille-Îles Leaning CAQ gain
25. Vimont Leaning CAQ gain
26. Verdun Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS
27. Hull Likely CAQ gain
28. Châteauguay Likely CAQ hold
29. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up PQ/CAQ
30. Laval-des-Rapides Likely CAQ gain
31. Ungava Likely CAQ hold
32. Gaspé Toss up PQ/CAQ
33. Huntingdon Likely CAQ hold