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Last update: October 7, 2021
| Leader | Dominique Anglade |
| National popular vote in 2018 | 24.8% |
| Current vote projection | 20.3% ± 3.6% |
| Current number of MNA's | 28 |
| Current seat projection | 18 [12-28] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Liberal Party
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | D'Arcy-McGee |  |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 2. | Robert-Baldwin | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 3. | Jacques-Cartier | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 4. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 5. | Westmount–Saint-Louis | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 6. | Nelligan | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 7. | Jeanne-Mance–Viger | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 8. | Saint-Laurent | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 9. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | |
LIB safe | >99% |
| 10. | Acadie | |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 11. | Chomedey |  |
LIB likely | 99% |
| 12. | Viau | |
LIB likely | 97% |
| 13. | Pontiac | |
LIB likely | 96% |
| 14. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | |
LIB likely | 95% |
| 15. | LaFontaine | |
LIB likely | 94% |
| 16. | Bourassa-Sauvé | |
LIB leaning | 86% |
| 17. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | |
LIB leaning | 76% |
| 18. | La Pinière | |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 51% |
| 19. | Marquette | |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 49% |
| 20. | Laporte | |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 45% |
| 21. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine |  |
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | 33% |
| 22. | Vaudreuil | |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 30% |
| 23. | Vimont | |
CAQ leaning | 24% |
| 24. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | |
CAQ leaning | 23% |
| 25. | Verdun | |
CAQ leaning | 22% |
| 26. | Mille-Îles | |
CAQ leaning | 18% |
| 27. | Fabre | |
CAQ leaning | 12% |
| 28. | Maurice-Richard | |
CAQ leaning | 9% |
| 29. | Châteauguay |  |
CAQ likely | 5% |
| 30. | Hull | |
CAQ likely | 4% |
| 31. | Laval-des-Rapides | |
CAQ likely | 4% |
| 32. | Ungava | |
CAQ likely | 3% |
| 33. | Huntingdon | |
CAQ likely | 1% |
| 34. | Chapleau | |
CAQ likely | 1% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | D'Arcy-McGee | LIB safe |
| 2. | Robert-Baldwin | LIB safe |
| 3. | Jacques-Cartier | LIB safe |
| 4. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | LIB safe |
| 5. | Westmount–Saint-Louis | LIB safe |
| 6. | Nelligan | LIB safe |
| 7. | Jeanne-Mance–Viger | LIB safe |
| 8. | Saint-Laurent | LIB safe |
| 9. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | LIB safe |
| 10. | Acadie | LIB likely |
| 11. | Chomedey | LIB likely |
| 12. | Viau | LIB likely |
| 13. | Pontiac | LIB likely |
| 14. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | LIB likely |
| 15. | LaFontaine | LIB likely |
| 16. | Bourassa-Sauvé | LIB leaning |
| 17. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | LIB leaning |
| 18. | La Pinière | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
| 19. | Marquette | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
| 20. | Laporte | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
| 21. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ |
| 22. | Vaudreuil | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
| 23. | Vimont | CAQ leaning |
| 24. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | CAQ leaning |
| 25. | Verdun | CAQ leaning |
| 26. | Mille-Îles | CAQ leaning |
| 27. | Fabre | CAQ leaning |
| 28. | Maurice-Richard | CAQ leaning |
| 29. | Châteauguay | CAQ likely |
| 30. | Hull | CAQ likely |
| 31. | Laval-des-Rapides | CAQ likely |
| 32. | Ungava | CAQ likely |
| 33. | Huntingdon | CAQ likely |
| 34. | Chapleau | CAQ likely |