338Canada.com - Québec - Quebec Liberal Party





Last update: February 11, 2021

LeaderDominique Anglade
National popular vote in 201824.8%
Current vote projection22.7% ± 4.0%
Current number of MP's28
Current seat projection23 ± 9



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe >99%
2. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe >99%
3. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe >99%
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe >99%
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe >99%
6. Nelligan LIB safe >99%
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe >99%
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe >99%
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe >99%
10. Acadie LIB safe >99%
11. Chomedey LIB likely 99%
12. Viau LIB likely 99%
13. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB likely 98%
14. Pontiac LIB likely 97%
15. LaFontaine LIB likely 96%
16. Bourassa-Sauvé LIB likely 90%
17. Marguerite-Bourgeoys LIB leaning 88%
18. La Pinière LIB leaning 87%
19. Marquette LIB leaning 85%
20. Verdun LIB leaning 74%
21. Vaudreuil Toss up 70%
22. Anjou–Louis-Riel Toss up 61%
23. Laporte Toss up 59%
24. Hull Toss up 40%
25. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up 38%
26. Maurice-Richard Toss up 37%
27. Vimont Toss up 34%
28. Mille-Îles CAQ leaning 26%
29. Fabre CAQ leaning 18%
30. Châteauguay CAQ likely 9%
31. Laval-des-Rapides CAQ likely 7%
32. Jean-Talon CAQ likely 5%
33. Ungava CAQ likely 4%
34. Chapleau CAQ likely 3%
35. Huntingdon CAQ likely 3%
36. Gaspé Toss up 3%
37. Sherbrooke Toss up 2%
38. Laurier-Dorion QS likely 2%
39. Soulanges CAQ likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe
2. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe
3. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe
6. Nelligan LIB safe
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe
10. Acadie LIB safe
11. Chomedey LIB likely
12. Viau LIB likely
13. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB likely
14. Pontiac LIB likely
15. LaFontaine LIB likely
16. Bourassa-Sauvé LIB likely
17. Marguerite-Bourgeoys LIB leaning
18. La Pinière LIB leaning
19. Marquette LIB leaning
20. Verdun LIB leaning
21. Vaudreuil Toss up
22. Anjou–Louis-Riel Toss up
23. Laporte Toss up
24. Hull Toss up
25. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up
26. Maurice-Richard Toss up
27. Vimont Toss up
28. Mille-Îles CAQ leaning
29. Fabre CAQ leaning
30. Châteauguay CAQ likely
31. Laval-des-Rapides CAQ likely
32. Jean-Talon CAQ likely
33. Ungava CAQ likely
34. Chapleau CAQ likely
35. Huntingdon CAQ likely
36. Gaspé Toss up
37. Sherbrooke Toss up
38. Laurier-Dorion QS likely
39. Soulanges CAQ likely



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