Quebec Liberal Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Liberal Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Jacques-Cartier	Safe LIB hold	>99%
2.	Robert-Baldwin	Safe LIB hold	>99%
3.	D’Arcy-McGee	Safe LIB hold	>99%
4.	Nelligan	Safe LIB hold	>99%
5.	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce	Safe LIB hold	>99%
6.	Westmount–Saint-Louis	Safe LIB hold	>99%
7.	Saint-Laurent	Safe LIB hold	>99%
8.	Jeanne-Mance–Viger	Safe LIB hold	>99%
9.	Pontiac	Safe LIB hold	>99%
10.	LaFontaine	Safe LIB hold	>99%
11.	Marquette	Safe LIB hold	>99%
12.	Chomedey	Safe LIB hold	>99%
13.	Marguerite-Bourgeoys	Safe LIB hold	>99%
14.	Vaudreuil	Safe LIB hold	>99%
15.	Acadie	Safe LIB hold	>99%
16.	La Pinière	Safe LIB hold	>99%
17.	Bourassa-Sauvé	Safe LIB hold	>99%
18.	Mont-Royal -Outremont	Likely LIB hold	>99%
19.	Fabre	Likely LIB gain	99%
20.	Hull	Likely LIB gain	98%
21.	Mille-Îles	Likely LIB hold	98%
22.	Vimont	Likely LIB gain	98%
23.	Laval-des-Rapides	Likely LIB gain	92%
24.	Sainte-Rose	Likely LIB gain	91%
25.	Verdun	Leaning LIB gain	87%
26.	Viau	Leaning LIB hold	87%
27.	Châteauguay	Leaning LIB gain	80%
28.	Laporte	Leaning LIB gain	80%
29.	Anjou–Louis-Riel	Toss up LIB/PQ	54%
30.	Soulanges	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	45%
31.	Gatineau	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	43%
32.	Brome-Missisquoi	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	36%
33.	Orford	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	35%
34.	Chapleau	Toss up LIB/CAQ	30%
35.	Ungava	Toss up LIB/PQ	29%
36.	Huntingdon	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	24%
37.	Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne	QS likely hold	6%
38.	Papineau	Likely CAQ hold	1%