338Canada.com - Québec - Quebec Liberal Party





Last update: October 7, 2021

LeaderDominique Anglade
National popular vote in 201824.8%
Current vote projection20.3% ± 3.6%
Current number of MNA's28
Current seat projection18 [12-28]



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe >99%
2. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe >99%
3. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe >99%
4. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe >99%
5. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe >99%
6. Nelligan LIB safe >99%
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe >99%
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe >99%
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe >99%
10. Acadie LIB likely 99%
11. Chomedey LIB likely 99%
12. Viau LIB likely 97%
13. Pontiac LIB likely 96%
14. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB likely 95%
15. LaFontaine LIB likely 94%
16. Bourassa-Sauvé LIB leaning 86%
17. Marguerite-Bourgeoys LIB leaning 76%
18. La Pinière Toss up LIB/CAQ 51%
19. Marquette Toss up LIB/CAQ 49%
20. Laporte Toss up LIB/CAQ 45%
21. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 33%
22. Vaudreuil Toss up LIB/CAQ 30%
23. Vimont CAQ leaning 24%
24. Anjou–Louis-Riel CAQ leaning 23%
25. Verdun CAQ leaning 22%
26. Mille-Îles CAQ leaning 18%
27. Fabre CAQ leaning 12%
28. Maurice-Richard CAQ leaning 9%
29. Châteauguay CAQ likely 5%
30. Hull CAQ likely 4%
31. Laval-des-Rapides CAQ likely 4%
32. Ungava CAQ likely 3%
33. Huntingdon CAQ likely 1%
34. Chapleau CAQ likely 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe
2. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe
3. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe
4. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe
5. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe
6. Nelligan LIB safe
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe
10. Acadie LIB likely
11. Chomedey LIB likely
12. Viau LIB likely
13. Pontiac LIB likely
14. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB likely
15. LaFontaine LIB likely
16. Bourassa-Sauvé LIB leaning
17. Marguerite-Bourgeoys LIB leaning
18. La Pinière Toss up LIB/CAQ
19. Marquette Toss up LIB/CAQ
20. Laporte Toss up LIB/CAQ
21. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
22. Vaudreuil Toss up LIB/CAQ
23. Vimont CAQ leaning
24. Anjou–Louis-Riel CAQ leaning
25. Verdun CAQ leaning
26. Mille-Îles CAQ leaning
27. Fabre CAQ leaning
28. Maurice-Richard CAQ leaning
29. Châteauguay CAQ likely
30. Hull CAQ likely
31. Laval-des-Rapides CAQ likely
32. Ungava CAQ likely
33. Huntingdon CAQ likely
34. Chapleau CAQ likely



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