Quebec Liberal Party

Last update: December 22, 2022
Leader | Marc Tanguay (interim) |
National popular vote in 2022 | 14.4% |
Current vote projection | 14.3% ± 2.6% |
Current number of MNA's | 19 |
Current seat projection | 21 [15-28] |
Vote projection | December 22, 2022
Seat projection | December 22, 2022
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Liberal Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Jacques-Cartier | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
2. | Robert-Baldwin | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
3. | Jeanne-Mance–Viger | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
4. | Nelligan | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
5. | D’Arcy-McGee | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
6. | LaFontaine | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
7. | Westmount–Saint-Louis | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
8. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
9. | Saint-Laurent | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
10. | Marquette | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
11. | Acadie | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
12. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
13. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
14. | Pontiac | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
15. | Bourassa-Sauvé | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 99% |
16. | Chomedey | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 94% |
17. | Viau | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 86% |
18. | La Pinière | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 85% |
19. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 76% |
20. | Vaudreuil | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 59% |
21. | Mille-Îles | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 58% |
22. | Fabre | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 44% |
23. | Verdun | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/QS | 41% |
24. | Laporte | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 38% |
25. | Laval-des-Rapides | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 30% |
26. | Vimont | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 25% |
27. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ hold | 23% |
28. | Hull | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 8% |
29. | Châteauguay | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 1% |
30. | Sainte-Rose | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 1% |
31. | Ungava | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Jacques-Cartier | Safe LIB hold |
2. | Robert-Baldwin | Safe LIB hold |
3. | Jeanne-Mance–Viger | Safe LIB hold |
4. | Nelligan | Safe LIB hold |
5. | D’Arcy-McGee | Safe LIB hold |
6. | LaFontaine | Safe LIB hold |
7. | Westmount–Saint-Louis | Safe LIB hold |
8. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | Safe LIB hold |
9. | Saint-Laurent | Safe LIB hold |
10. | Marquette | Safe LIB hold |
11. | Acadie | Safe LIB hold |
12. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | Safe LIB hold |
13. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | Safe LIB hold |
14. | Pontiac | Safe LIB hold |
15. | Bourassa-Sauvé | Likely LIB hold |
16. | Chomedey | Likely LIB hold |
17. | Viau | Leaning LIB hold |
18. | La Pinière | Leaning LIB hold |
19. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | Leaning LIB hold |
20. | Vaudreuil | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
21. | Mille-Îles | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
22. | Fabre | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
23. | Verdun | Toss up LIB/QS |
24. | Laporte | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
25. | Laval-des-Rapides | Leaning CAQ hold |
26. | Vimont | Leaning CAQ hold |
27. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | Leaning CAQ hold |
28. | Hull | Likely CAQ hold |
29. | Châteauguay | Likely CAQ hold |
30. | Sainte-Rose | Likely CAQ hold |
31. | Ungava | Likely CAQ hold |