Quebec Liberal Party

Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Liberal Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Jacques-Cartier	Safe LIB hold	>99%
2.	Robert-Baldwin	Safe LIB hold	>99%
3.	D’Arcy-McGee	Safe LIB hold	>99%
4.	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce	Safe LIB hold	>99%
5.	Nelligan	Safe LIB hold	>99%
6.	Westmount–Saint-Louis	Safe LIB hold	>99%
7.	Saint-Laurent	Safe LIB hold	>99%
8.	Jeanne-Mance–Viger	Safe LIB hold	>99%
9.	LaFontaine	Safe LIB hold	>99%
10.	Pontiac	Safe LIB hold	>99%
11.	Marquette	Safe LIB hold	>99%
12.	Marguerite-Bourgeoys	Safe LIB hold	>99%
13.	La Pinière	Safe LIB hold	>99%
14.	Chomedey	Safe LIB hold	>99%
15.	Bourassa-Sauvé	Safe LIB hold	>99%
16.	Acadie	Safe LIB hold	>99%
17.	Vaudreuil	Safe LIB hold	>99%
18.	Mont-Royal -Outremont	Safe LIB hold	>99%
19.	Fabre	Safe LIB gain	>99%
20.	Mille-Îles	Safe LIB hold	>99%
21.	Vimont	Safe LIB gain	>99%
22.	Verdun	Likely LIB gain	>99%
23.	Viau	Likely LIB hold	>99%
24.	Hull	Likely LIB gain	99%
25.	Laval-des-Rapides	Likely LIB gain	99%
26.	Laporte	Likely LIB gain	99%
27.	Sainte-Rose	Likely LIB gain	98%
28.	Châteauguay	Likely LIB gain	93%
29.	Anjou–Louis-Riel	Likely LIB gain	93%
30.	Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne	Leaning LIB gain	82%
31.	Soulanges	Toss up LIB/CAQ	65%
32.	Gatineau	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	51%
33.	Chapleau	Toss up LIB/CAQ	46%
34.	Brome-Missisquoi	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	45%
35.	Ungava	Toss up LIB/PQ	44%
36.	Orford	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	40%
37.	Huntingdon	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ	40%
38.	Papineau	Likely CAQ hold	5%
39.	Maurice-Richard	Leaning PQ gain	3%
40.	Vachon	Likely PQ gain	2%
41.	Laurier-Dorion	QS likely hold	1%
42.	Saint-François	Leaning PQ gain	1%
43.	La Prairie	Likely CAQ hold	1%