338Canada.com - Québec - Quebec Liberal Party





Last update: December 17, 2020

LeaderDominique Anglade
National popular vote in 201824.8%
Current vote projection22.2% ± 3.8%
Current number of MP's28
Current seat projection22 ± 8



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe >99%
2. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe >99%
3. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe >99%
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe >99%
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe >99%
6. Nelligan LIB safe >99%
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe >99%
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe >99%
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe >99%
10. Acadie LIB likely 99%
11. Chomedey LIB likely 99%
12. Viau LIB likely 98%
13. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB likely 97%
14. Pontiac LIB likely 95%
15. LaFontaine LIB likely 93%
16. Bourassa-Sauvé LIB leaning 85%
17. Marguerite-Bourgeoys LIB leaning 81%
18. La Pinière LIB leaning 80%
19. Marquette LIB leaning 77%
20. Verdun Toss up 64%
21. Anjou–Louis-Riel Toss up 63%
22. Vaudreuil Toss up 63%
23. Laporte Toss up 47%
24. Maurice-Richard Toss up 41%
25. Hull Toss up 30%
26. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up 30%
27. Vimont CAQ leaning 27%
28. Mille-Îles CAQ leaning 11%
29. Fabre CAQ leaning 10%
30. Châteauguay CAQ likely 4%
31. Laval-des-Rapides CAQ likely 4%
32. Jean-Talon CAQ likely 2%
33. Laurier-Dorion QS likely 2%
34. Ungava CAQ likely 2%
35. Huntingdon CAQ likely 1%
36. Chapleau CAQ likely 1%
37. Sherbrooke Toss up 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. D'Arcy-McGee LIB safe
2. Jacques-Cartier LIB safe
3. Robert-Baldwin LIB safe
4. Westmount–Saint-Louis LIB safe
5. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce LIB safe
6. Nelligan LIB safe
7. Jeanne-Mance–Viger LIB safe
8. Saint-Laurent LIB safe
9. Mont-Royal -Outremont LIB safe
10. Acadie LIB likely
11. Chomedey LIB likely
12. Viau LIB likely
13. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne LIB likely
14. Pontiac LIB likely
15. LaFontaine LIB likely
16. Bourassa-Sauvé LIB leaning
17. Marguerite-Bourgeoys LIB leaning
18. La Pinière LIB leaning
19. Marquette LIB leaning
20. Verdun Toss up
21. Anjou–Louis-Riel Toss up
22. Vaudreuil Toss up
23. Laporte Toss up
24. Maurice-Richard Toss up
25. Hull Toss up
26. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Toss up
27. Vimont CAQ leaning
28. Mille-Îles CAQ leaning
29. Fabre CAQ leaning
30. Châteauguay CAQ likely
31. Laval-des-Rapides CAQ likely
32. Jean-Talon CAQ likely
33. Laurier-Dorion QS likely
34. Ungava CAQ likely
35. Huntingdon CAQ likely
36. Chapleau CAQ likely
37. Sherbrooke Toss up



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