Quebec Liberal Party

Last update: April 23, 2022
Leader | Dominique Anglade |
National popular vote in 2018 | 24.8% |
Current vote projection | 18.0% ± 2.9% |
Current number of MNA's | 27 |
Current seat projection | 17 [11-26] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Quebec Liberal Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Jacques-Cartier | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
2. | D’Arcy-McGee | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
3. | Robert-Baldwin | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
4. | Westmount–Saint-Louis | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
5. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
6. | Nelligan | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
7. | Jeanne-Mance–Viger | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
8. | Saint-Laurent | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
9. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
10. | Acadie | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
11. | Chomedey | ![]() |
Safe LIB hold | >99% |
12. | Pontiac | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 98% |
13. | LaFontaine | ![]() |
Likely LIB hold | 96% |
14. | Viau | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 82% |
15. | Bourassa-Sauvé | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 80% |
16. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | ![]() |
Leaning LIB hold | 73% |
17. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/QS | 69% |
18. | Marquette | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ | 34% |
19. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 27% |
20. | Vaudreuil | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 27% |
21. | Laporte | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 24% |
22. | La Pinière | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 22% |
23. | Fabre | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 21% |
24. | Mille-Îles | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 20% |
25. | Vimont | ![]() |
Leaning CAQ gain | 19% |
26. | Verdun | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS | 17% |
27. | Hull | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 4% |
28. | Châteauguay | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 4% |
29. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CAQ | 3% |
30. | Laval-des-Rapides | ![]() |
Likely CAQ gain | 3% |
31. | Ungava | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 3% |
32. | Gaspé | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/CAQ | 2% |
33. | Huntingdon | ![]() |
Likely CAQ hold | 1% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Jacques-Cartier | Safe LIB hold |
2. | D’Arcy-McGee | Safe LIB hold |
3. | Robert-Baldwin | Safe LIB hold |
4. | Westmount–Saint-Louis | Safe LIB hold |
5. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | Safe LIB hold |
6. | Nelligan | Safe LIB hold |
7. | Jeanne-Mance–Viger | Safe LIB hold |
8. | Saint-Laurent | Safe LIB hold |
9. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | Safe LIB hold |
10. | Acadie | Safe LIB hold |
11. | Chomedey | Safe LIB hold |
12. | Pontiac | Likely LIB hold |
13. | LaFontaine | Likely LIB hold |
14. | Viau | Leaning LIB hold |
15. | Bourassa-Sauvé | Leaning LIB hold |
16. | Marguerite-Bourgeoys | Leaning LIB hold |
17. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | Toss up LIB/QS |
18. | Marquette | Toss up LIB/CAQ |
19. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | Leaning CAQ gain |
20. | Vaudreuil | Leaning CAQ gain |
21. | Laporte | Leaning CAQ gain |
22. | La Pinière | Leaning CAQ gain |
23. | Fabre | Leaning CAQ gain |
24. | Mille-Îles | Leaning CAQ gain |
25. | Vimont | Leaning CAQ gain |
26. | Verdun | Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS |
27. | Hull | Likely CAQ gain |
28. | Châteauguay | Likely CAQ hold |
29. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | Toss up PQ/CAQ |
30. | Laval-des-Rapides | Likely CAQ gain |
31. | Ungava | Likely CAQ hold |
32. | Gaspé | Toss up PQ/CAQ |
33. | Huntingdon | Likely CAQ hold |