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Quebec

Pointe-aux-Trembles


MNA: Chantal Rouleau (CAQ)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
Safe PQ gain
Pointe-aux-Trembles 46% ± 8%▼ PQ 20% ± 6%▲ CAQ 14% ± 5%▲ LIB 12% ± 5%▼ QS 7% ± 3%▲ CPQ CAQ 2022 45.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pointe-aux-Trembles >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Pointe-aux-Trembles

LIB 14% ± 5% PQ 46% ± 8% CAQ 20% ± 6% QS 12% ± 5% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Pointe-aux-Trembles 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 46% PQ 20% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 46% PQ 21% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 46% PQ 21% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 45% PQ 22% QS 16% LIB 10% CPQ 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 45% PQ 22% QS 17% LIB 10% CPQ 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 45% PQ 23% QS 16% LIB 10% CPQ 4% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 45% PQ 25% QS 16% LIB 9% CPQ 4% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 45% PQ 25% QS 16% LIB 9% CPQ 4% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 45% PQ 25% QS 15% LIB 8% CPQ 5% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 42% PQ 24% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 42% PQ 24% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 39% PQ 27% QS 14% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 34% CAQ 31% QS 15% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 45% CAQ 22% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 46% CAQ 19% QS 18% LIB 8% CPQ 6% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 46% CAQ 21% QS 17% LIB 8% CPQ 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 46% CAQ 21% QS 17% LIB 8% CPQ 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 47% CAQ 20% QS 17% LIB 8% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 49% CAQ 21% QS 15% LIB 9% CPQ 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 47% CAQ 20% QS 14% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 48% CAQ 21% QS 14% LIB 11% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 48% CAQ 20% QS 14% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 44% CAQ 22% QS 15% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 46% CAQ 21% QS 14% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 48% CAQ 20% QS 14% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 49% CAQ 19% QS 14% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 48% CAQ 19% QS 14% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 46% CAQ 20% LIB 14% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Pointe-aux-Trembles

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 99% PQ 1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 68% CAQ 32% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Pointe-aux-Trembles



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 24.1% 39.0% 45.9% 20% ± 6% PQ 43.2% 32.2% 19.9% 46% ± 8% QS 7.8% 14.9% 15.4% 12% ± 5% LIB 22.4% 12.5% 10.4% 14% ± 5% CPQ 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 7% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%