Open main menu
Twitter
Facebook
338 Blog
Français
Choose your region
Canada (federal)
Alberta
British Columbia
Manitoba
New Brunswick
Newfoundland & Labrador
Nova Scotia
Ontario
Quebec
Saskatchewan
Montreal
USA (Presidential)
France (Presidential)
About
Quebec
Canada (federal)
Alberta
British Columbia
Manitoba
New Brunswick
Newfoundland & Labrador
Nova Scotia
Ontario
Quebec
Saskatchewan
Montreal
USA (Presidential)
France (Presidential)
Quebec
Search
expand search bar
Electoral districts
All 125 electoral districts
Montreal
The 450
Capitale-Nationale
Regions of Québec
List of regions
Montreal east
Montreal west
Laval
North Shore Suburbs
Laurentians-Lanaudière
Montérégie east
Montérégie west
Québec City
Chaudière-Appalaches
Outaouais
Centre of Quebec-Mauricie
Eastern Townships
Lower St.Lawrence-Gaspésie
Saguenay
Abitibi-Côte Nord-Northern Quebec
Parties
CAQ
QLP
QS
PQ
PCQ
Map Quebec
Polls Quebec
Simulator Quebec
Close main menu
About
338 Blog
Français
Quebec
Electoral districts
All 125 electoral districts
Montreal
The 450
Capitale-Nationale
Regions of Québec
List of regions
Montreal east
Montreal west
Laval
North Shore Suburbs
Laurentians-Lanaudière
Montérégie east
Montérégie west
Québec City
Chaudière-Appalaches
Outaouais
Centre of Quebec-Mauricie
Eastern Townships
Lower St.Lawrence-Gaspésie
Saguenay
Abitibi-Côte Nord-Northern Quebec
Parties
CAQ
QLP
QS
PQ
PCQ
Map
Polls Quebec
Simulator Quebec
D’Arcy-McGee
MNA: Elisabeth Prass (QLP)
Latest projection: December 22, 2022
Safe LIB hold
D’Arcy-McGee
52% ± 10%
LIB
21% ± 8%
QCP
10% ± 7%
OTH
9% ± 4%
QS
6% ± 3%
CAQ
3% ± 2%
PQ
LIB 2022
51.4%
Popular vote projection | December 22, 2022
50%
100%
D’Arcy-McGee
>99%
LIB
<1%
QCP
<1%
OTH
Odds of winning | December 22, 2022
Popular vote projection | D’Arcy-McGee
LIB 52% ± 10%
CAQ 6% ± 3%
QS 9% ± 4%
QCP 21% ± 8%
OTH 10% ± 7%
Popular vote projection % | D’Arcy-McGee
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
Election 2022
LIB
CAQ
QS
QCP
OTH
Odds of winning | D’Arcy-McGee
LIB >99%
PQ <1%
CAQ <1%
QS <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
Election 2022
LIB
PQ
CAQ
QS
Recent electoral history | D’Arcy-McGee
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
LIB
89.5%
74.4%
51.4%
52% ± 10%
QCP
0.2%
4.5%
21.9%
21% ± 8%
QS
3.2%
7.2%
8.5%
9% ± 4%
CAQ
2.9%
6.4%
5.9%
6% ± 3%
PQ
2.6%
2.5%
2.5%
3% ± 2%