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Quebec

Acadie


MNA: André A. Morin

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Safe LIB hold
Acadie 41% ± 9%▲ LIB 18% ± 6%▲ PQ 18% ± 6% QS 13% ± 5%▼ CPQ 7% ± 3%▼ CAQ 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 42.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Acadie >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Acadie

LIB 41% ± 9% PQ 18% ± 6% CAQ 7% ± 3% QS 18% ± 6% CPQ 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Acadie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 LIB 45% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 8% PQ 5% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 LIB 44% CAQ 28% QS 12% CPQ 9% PQ 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 LIB 44% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 4% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 LIB 44% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 11% PQ 4% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 LIB 44% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 11% PQ 4% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 LIB 45% CAQ 27% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 4% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 LIB 45% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 11% PQ 4% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 LIB 45% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 11% PQ 4% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 LIB 46% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 11% PQ 4% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 LIB 45% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 LIB 45% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 LIB 46% CAQ 26% QS 12% CPQ 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 LIB 46% CAQ 26% QS 11% CPQ 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 LIB 46% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 LIB 46% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 LIB 45% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 LIB 45% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 LIB 45% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 LIB 42% CAQ 26% CPQ 11% QS 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 LIB 42% CAQ 25% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 LIB 42% CAQ 25% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 LIB 42% CAQ 25% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 LIB 43% CAQ 25% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 LIB 43% CAQ 25% QS 11% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 LIB 42% CAQ 24% QS 11% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 LIB 41% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 LIB 42% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 LIB 42% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 LIB 43% CAQ 23% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 LIB 47% CAQ 24% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 LIB 47% CAQ 24% QS 11% CPQ 10% PQ 7% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 LIB 47% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 8% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 LIB 48% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 8% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 LIB 48% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 10% PQ 8% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 LIB 48% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 LIB 48% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 9% PQ 8% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 LIB 48% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 9% PQ 9% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 LIB 42% QS 17% CAQ 17% CPQ 11% PQ 10% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 LIB 42% CAQ 17% QS 17% CPQ 11% PQ 10% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 LIB 42% CAQ 17% QS 17% CPQ 11% PQ 10% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 LIB 42% QS 19% CAQ 17% PQ 11% CPQ 9% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 LIB 42% QS 19% CAQ 17% PQ 12% CPQ 9% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 LIB 42% QS 19% CAQ 18% PQ 12% CPQ 8% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 LIB 40% QS 19% CAQ 18% PQ 13% CPQ 8% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 LIB 40% QS 19% CAQ 18% PQ 13% CPQ 8% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 LIB 37% CAQ 18% QS 18% PQ 13% CPQ 10% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 LIB 41% QS 17% CAQ 17% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 LIB 41% QS 17% CAQ 17% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 42% CAQ 17% QS 16% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 43% QS 16% CAQ 16% PQ 11% CPQ 11% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 42% QS 18% PQ 14% CAQ 14% CPQ 11% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 38% QS 23% PQ 15% CPQ 11% CAQ 11% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 38% QS 21% PQ 15% CAQ 12% CPQ 11% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 37% QS 22% PQ 16% CAQ 12% CPQ 11% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 38% QS 22% PQ 16% CAQ 12% CPQ 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 42% QS 20% PQ 17% CAQ 10% CPQ 10% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 43% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 10% CAQ 9% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 43% QS 19% PQ 17% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 42% QS 20% PQ 17% CPQ 10% CAQ 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 40% QS 20% PQ 16% CPQ 12% CAQ 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 40% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 14% CAQ 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 41% PQ 18% QS 18% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Acadie

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 LIB 99% CAQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 LIB 99% CAQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 LIB 99% CAQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 LIB >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB >99% QS <1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Acadie



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 71.0% 53.8% 42.3% 41% ± 9% QS 6.6% 13.7% 17.2% 18% ± 6% CAQ 8.9% 16.5% 17.1% 7% ± 3% CPQ 0.0% 2.2% 11.4% 13% ± 5% PQ 11.7% 9.0% 9.9% 18% ± 6% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.