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Quebec

Acadie


MNA: André A. Morin (LIB)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Acadie


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 58% ± 8% 71.0% 53.8% 42.3% PQ 12% ± 5% 11.7% 9.0% 9.9% CPQ 12% ± 5% 0.0% 2.2% 11.4% QS 11% ± 4% 6.6% 13.7% 17.2% CAQ 5% ± 3% 8.9% 16.5% 17.1%




338Canada projection for Acadie


Acadie 58% ± 8%▲ LIB 12% ± 5%▼ PQ 12% ± 5% CPQ 11% ± 4%▼ QS 5% ± 3%▼ CAQ 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 42.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Acadie >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Acadie

LIB 58% ± 8% PQ 12% ± 5% CAQ 5% ± 3% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Acadie 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 38% QS 21% PQ 15% CAQ 12% CPQ 11% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 37% QS 22% PQ 16% CAQ 12% CPQ 11% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 38% QS 22% PQ 16% CAQ 12% CPQ 10% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 42% QS 20% PQ 17% CAQ 10% CPQ 10% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 43% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 10% CAQ 9% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 43% QS 19% PQ 17% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 42% QS 20% PQ 17% CPQ 10% CAQ 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 40% QS 20% PQ 16% CPQ 12% CAQ 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 40% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 14% CAQ 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 41% PQ 18% QS 18% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 41% PQ 18% QS 18% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 41% QS 18% PQ 18% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 47% PQ 16% QS 14% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 48% PQ 16% CPQ 14% QS 13% CAQ 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 48% PQ 16% QS 13% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 48% PQ 16% QS 14% CPQ 13% CAQ 8% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 50% PQ 15% QS 13% CPQ 13% CAQ 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 53% PQ 13% QS 13% CPQ 12% CAQ 6% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 58% PQ 12% CPQ 12% QS 11% CAQ 5% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Acadie

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader