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Quebec

Recent electoral history | Daniel-Johnson


2014* 2018* 2022* 2026* Projection PQ 37% ± 6% 27.8% 14.2% 15.6% 34.7% CPQ 26% ± 5% 0.6% 0.9% 13.9% 24.9% LIB 18% ± 5% 28.9% 13.4% 4.6% 16.8% CAQ 10% ± 3% 35.2% 51.5% 50.6% 15.0% QS 9% ± 3% 6.0% 16.8% 13.9% 8.7%
Latest update: October 20, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Daniel-Johnson

PartiesCandidates
PQ Nathalie Boisclair
CPQ Marc Distexhe
LIB Éric Sévigny
CAQ Christine Nadeau
QS Tony Martel
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Daniel-Johnson projection

Latest update: October 20, 2026

Daniel-Johnson 31% 43% 37% ± 6% ▲ PQ 21% 32% 26% ± 5% ▲ CPQ 13% 22% 18% ± 5% ▲ LIB 7% 14% 10% ± 3% ▼ CAQ 6% 12% 9% ± 3% QS PQ 2022 34.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 20, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Daniel-Johnson 99%▼ PQ 1%▲ CPQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | October 20, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Daniel-Johnson

Odds of winning | Daniel-Johnson


99% 1% 42% ± 7% 58% ± 7% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Daniel-Johnson YES NO 338Canada October 20, 2026