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Recent electoral history | Daniel-Johnson


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection CAQ 36% ± 7% 35.2% 51.5% 50.6% PQ 30% ± 7% 27.8% 14.2% 15.6% CPQ 16% ± 5% 0.6% 0.9% 13.9% QS 9% ± 4% 6.0% 16.8% 13.9% LIB 8% ± 3% 28.9% 13.4% 4.6%
Latest update: September 5, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Daniel-Johnson

PartiesCandidates
CAQ Christine Nadeau
PQ Nathalie Boisclair
CPQ Marc Distexhe
QS Tony Martel
LIB Éric Sévigny
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Daniel-Johnson projection

Latest update: September 5, 2026

Daniel-Johnson 29% 43% 36% ± 7% CAQ 23% 37% 30% ± 7% PQ 11% 21% 16% ± 5% CPQ 6% 13% 9% ± 4% QS 5% 12% 8% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 50.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 5, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Daniel-Johnson 85%▼ CAQ 15%▲ PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | September 5, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Daniel-Johnson

Odds of winning | Daniel-Johnson


>99% <1% 41% ± 7% 59% ± 7% Projection of support for sovereignty | Daniel-Johnson YES NO 338Canada September 5, 2026