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Chomedey

Latest update: March 5, 2026
I
MNA: Sona Lakhoyan Olivier
Independent
Safe LIB
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Recent electoral history | Chomedey


2014 2018 2022 Projection LIB 58% ± 8% 72.7% 52.7% 36.5% CPQ 20% ± 6% 0.0% 3.6% 19.9% PQ 13% ± 4% 11.7% 7.6% 7.2% CAQ 4% ± 2% 11.2% 26.4% 26.7% QS 2% ± 2% 2.8% 7.1% 7.9%

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338Canada Chomedey projection

Latest update: March 5, 2026

Chomedey 51% 66% 58% ± 8% ▲ LIB 14% 26% 20% ± 6% ▼ CPQ 8% 17% 13% ± 4% ▼ PQ 2% 6% 4% ± 2% ▼ CAQ LIB 2022 36.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chomedey >99% LIB <1% CPQ <1% PQ Odds of winning | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Chomedey

LIB 58% ± 8% PQ 13% ± 4% CAQ 4% ± 2% CPQ 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Chomedey 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PQ CAQ CPQ March 5, 2026 2025-03-05 LIB 49% CPQ 20% PQ 16% CAQ 9% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 49% CPQ 20% PQ 16% CAQ 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 48% CPQ 20% PQ 16% CAQ 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 51% CPQ 19% PQ 15% CAQ 9% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 56% CPQ 18% PQ 13% CAQ 6% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 59% CPQ 18% PQ 12% CAQ 5% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 LIB 59% CPQ 18% PQ 12% CAQ 5% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 LIB 60% CPQ 16% PQ 13% CAQ 6% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 LIB 60% CPQ 15% PQ 15% CAQ 4% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 LIB 61% PQ 15% CPQ 15% CAQ 4% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 LIB 61% CPQ 16% PQ 15% CAQ 5% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 LIB 62% CPQ 17% PQ 12% CAQ 5% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 LIB 55% CPQ 20% PQ 16% CAQ 6% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 LIB 50% CPQ 23% PQ 16% CAQ 7% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 LIB 51% CPQ 23% PQ 16% CAQ 6% 2026-01-14 2026-02-03 LIB 53% CPQ 22% PQ 15% CAQ 6% 2026-02-03 2026-02-27 LIB 55% CPQ 22% PQ 14% CAQ 5% 2026-02-27 2026-03-05 LIB 58% CPQ 20% PQ 13% CAQ 4% 2026-03-05 ▼ Rodriguez PLQ leader ▼ Zanetti QS co-leader ▼ Rodriguez resigns ▼ Legault resigns ▼ Milliard PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Chomedey

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% CPQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 5, 2026 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-01-14 2026-02-03 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-02-03 2026-02-27 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-02-27 2026-03-05 LIB >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2026-03-05 ▼ Rodriguez PLQ leader ▼ Zanetti QS co-leader ▼ Rodriguez resigns ▼ Legault resigns ▼ Milliard PLQ leader
>99% <1% 24% ± 6% 76% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Chomedey YES NO 338Canada March 5, 2026


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Demographic data | Chomedey

Canadian Census, 2021
Language 43.6% French 21.9% English 10.9% Arabic 5.7% Armenian 5.5% Greek 1.9% Spanish 1.1% DariChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 16.1% No diploma 19.5% High school 13.0% Trade 16.9% College / Cégep 5.1% Some university 19.2% Bachelor's 10.3% PostgraduateChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 61.2% Not visible minority 38.8% Visible minority 17.8% Arab 6.2% Black 5.0% South Asian 2.5% West Asian 2.4% Latin American 1.7% Southeast AsianChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 32.1% Catholic 19.7% Orthodox 18.4% Muslim 11.1% No Religion 9.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.8% Jewish 1.7% Other Christian 1.5% HinduChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 52.6% Owner 47.4% RenterChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 50.4% Employed 42.5% Not in labour force 7.1% UnemployedChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 99.5% Non-Indigenous 0.5% Indigenous identity 0.3% First Nations 0.2% MetisChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 83.8% Car / truck / van 11.0% Public transit 3.2% Walking 1.6% Other 0.4% BicycleChomedeySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.