Island of Montreal
27 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Island of Montreal
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Island of Montreal
27 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Quebec Projection | Island of Montreal
Quebec Seat Projection | Island of Montreal
List of districts | Island of Montreal
Latest update: March 5, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
André A. Morin
|
Safe LIB | |
Karine Boivin Roy
|
Safe LIB | |
Madwa-Nika Cadet
|
Safe LIB | |
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
|
Safe PQ | |
Elisabeth Prass
|
Safe LIB | |
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
|
QS safe | |
Alexandre Leduc
|
QS leaning | |
Greg Kelley
|
Safe LIB | |
Filomena Rotiroti
|
Safe LIB | |
Marc Tanguay
|
Safe LIB | |
Andrès Fontecilla
|
Likely LIB | |
Fred Beauchemin
|
Safe LIB | |
Enrico Ciccone
|
Safe LIB | |
Haroun Bouazzi
|
Leaning LIB | |
Ruba Ghazal
|
QS likely | |
Michelle Setlakwe
|
Safe LIB | |
Monsef Derraji
|
Safe LIB | |
Désirée McGraw
|
Safe LIB | |
Chantal Rouleau
|
Safe PQ | |
Brigitte Garceau
|
Safe LIB | |
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/QS | |
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
|
Likely LIB | |
Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
|
Safe LIB | |
Manon Massé
|
QS likely | |
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
|
Safe LIB | |
Frantz Benjamin
|
Safe LIB | |
Jennifer Maccarone
|
Safe LIB |