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Island of Montreal

27 provincial districts
Latest update: October 20, 2026

Island of Montreal 39% 49% 44% ± 5% ▲ LIB 21% 28% 25% ± 4% QS 13% 19% 16% ± 3% ▲ PQ 7% 11% 9% ± 2% CPQ 3% 5% 4% ± 1% ▼ CAQ 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 20, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Island of Montreal, 27 electoral districts 19 [17-19] LIB 6 [6-8] QS 2 [2-2] PQ 338Canada seat projection | October 20, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Quebec Projection | Island of Montreal

Quebec Seat Projection | Island of Montreal



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List of districts | Island of Montreal
Latest update: October 20, 2026

Projected ahead:
Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
André A. Morin
L Safe LIB
Nicolas Plourde
L Safe LIB
Madwa Nika Cadet
L Safe LIB
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
Elisabeth Prass
L Safe LIB
Alexandre Boulerice
QS QS safe
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS safe
Gregory Kelley
L Safe LIB
Filomena Rotiroti
L Safe LIB
Marc Tanguay
L Safe LIB
Andrés Fontecilla
QS QS safe
Michel Leblanc
L Safe LIB
Enrico Ciccone
L Safe LIB
Nada Boumeftah
L Leaning LIB
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS safe
Michelle Setlakwe
L Safe LIB
Monsef Derraji
L Safe LIB
Désirée McGraw
L Safe LIB
Stéphane Paquet
PQ Safe PQ
Brigitte Garceau
L Safe LIB
Gisèle Pouhe Njall
QS QS likely
Benoit Clermont
L Leaning LIB
Valérie Assouline
L Safe LIB
QS QS likely
Antoine Dionne Charest
L Leaning LIB
Frantz Benjamin
L Likely LIB
Jennifer Maccarone
L Safe LIB