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Quebec

Island of Montreal, 27 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
14 0 1 0 15 16
4 2 2 2 10 8
2 0 0 0 2 1
0 0 0 0 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 0
Projected ahead Last election (2022)
15 16
10 8
2 1
0 2
0 0




Projection | Island of Montreal


Latest update: December 7 2023
Island of Montreal 34% ± 6%▼ 24% ± 5%▲ 20% ± 4%▲ 12% ± 3%▼ 8% ± 3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Island of Montreal, 27 districts 15▼ [14-16] 10▲ [8-10] 2 [2-3] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | December 7 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Island of Montreal

LIB 34% ± 6% PQ 20% ± 4% CAQ 12% ± 3% QS 24% ± 5% QCP 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Island of Montreal 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Seat projection | Island of Montreal

LIB 15 [14-16] PQ 2 [2-3] CAQ 0 [0-0] QS 10 [8-10] Seat projection | Island of Montreal 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

List of electoral districts


Latest update: December 7 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
003 Acadie Safe LIB hold
004 Anjou–Louis-Riel Leaning LIB gain
016 Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB hold
017 Camille-Laurin Safe PQ hold
030 D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB hold
038 Gouin QS safe hold
041 Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS likely hold
046 Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB hold
049 Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB hold
059 LaFontaine Safe LIB hold
061 Laurier-Dorion QS safe hold
068 Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB hold
070 Marquette Safe LIB hold
074 Maurice-Richard Toss up PQ/QS
076 Mercier QS safe hold
079 Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB hold
082 Nelligan Safe LIB hold
084 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB hold
087 Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ gain
097 Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB hold
099 Rosemont QS leaning hold
103 Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne QS likely hold
107 Saint-Laurent Safe LIB hold
108 Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS safe hold
122 Verdun QS leaning hold
123 Viau Toss up LIB/QS
125 Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB hold
Electoral district
003 Acadie
004 Anjou–Louis-Riel
016 Bourassa-Sauvé
017 Camille-Laurin
030 D’Arcy-McGee
038 Gouin
041 Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
046 Jacques-Cartier
049 Jeanne-Mance–Viger
059 LaFontaine
061 Laurier-Dorion
068 Marguerite-Bourgeoys
070 Marquette
074 Maurice-Richard
076 Mercier
079 Mont-Royal -Outremont
082 Nelligan
084 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce
087 Pointe-aux-Trembles
097 Robert-Baldwin
099 Rosemont
103 Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
107 Saint-Laurent
108 Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
122 Verdun
123 Viau
125 Westmount–Saint-Louis