Island of Montreal, 27 districts
Latest update: May 16, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Seat projection | Island of Montreal
Latest update: May 16, 2025
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
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17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 |
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1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
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2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
List of electoral districts | Island of Montreal
Latest update: May 16, 2025
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
Acadie | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Anjou–Louis-Riel | ![]() |
Likely LIB |
Bourassa-Sauvé | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Camille-Laurin | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
D’Arcy-McGee | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Gouin | ![]() |
QS safe |
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | ![]() |
QS leaning |
Jacques-Cartier | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Jeanne-Mance–Viger | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
LaFontaine | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Laurier-Dorion | ![]() |
QS likely |
Marguerite-Bourgeoys | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Marquette | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Maurice-Richard | ![]() |
Leaning PQ |
Mercier | ![]() |
QS likely |
Mont-Royal -Outremont | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Nelligan | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Pointe-aux-Trembles | ![]() |
Safe PQ |
Robert-Baldwin | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Rosemont | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/QS |
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Saint-Laurent | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | ![]() |
QS likely |
Verdun | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Viau | ![]() |
Safe LIB |
Westmount–Saint-Louis | ![]() |
Safe LIB |