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Quebec


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MNA: Sonia Bélanger (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 22, 2022

Safe CAQ hold
Prévost 45% ± 9% CAQ 22% ± 7% PQ 15% ± 5% QS 10% ± 5% QCP 6% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 46.2% Popular vote projection | December 22, 2022
50% 100% Prévost >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | December 22, 2022


Popular vote projection | Prévost

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 22% ± 7% CAQ 45% ± 9% QS 15% ± 5% QCP 10% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Prévost 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Prévost

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Prévost



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 32.9% 47.0% 46.2% 45% ± 9% PQ 34.6% 24.5% 19.6% 22% ± 7% QS 6.8% 14.0% 15.1% 15% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 1.0% 11.7% 10% ± 5% LIB 24.5% 12.8% 6.0% 6% ± 3%