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Quebec

Viau


MNA: Frantz Benjamin (LIB)

Latest projection: March 18, 2025
Safe LIB hold
Viau 41% ± 9% LIB 21% ± 7% QS 20% ± 6% PQ 9% ± 4% CPQ 6% ± 3% CAQ 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 18, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Viau >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ Odds of winning | March 18, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Viau

LIB 41% ± 9% PQ 20% ± 6% CAQ 6% ± 3% QS 21% ± 7% CPQ 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Viau 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 18, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 36% LIB 26% PQ 21% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 36% LIB 26% PQ 21% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 37% LIB 26% PQ 22% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 34% QS 30% PQ 22% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 35% QS 27% PQ 21% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 35% QS 28% PQ 21% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 34% QS 29% PQ 22% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 32% QS 30% PQ 21% CAQ 7% CPQ 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 33% QS 27% PQ 21% CPQ 9% CAQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 33% QS 27% PQ 23% CPQ 8% CAQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 33% QS 27% PQ 23% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 34% QS 27% PQ 22% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 40% QS 22% PQ 21% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 42% PQ 21% QS 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 41% QS 21% PQ 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 41% QS 21% PQ 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-03-18 ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Viau

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 18, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 94% LIB 5% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 96% LIB 4% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 96% LIB 3% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 72% QS 27% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 87% QS 13% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 85% QS 15% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 75% QS 24% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 66% QS 34% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 81% QS 19% PQ 1% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 82% QS 16% PQ 2% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 84% QS 14% PQ 2% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 87% QS 12% PQ 1% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% QS <1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% PQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% QS <1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% QS <1% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Viau



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 62.0% 46.6% 38.2% 41% ± 9% QS 10.9% 24.3% 30.4% 21% ± 7% CAQ 9.3% 15.7% 15.2% 6% ± 3% PQ 14.7% 8.3% 7.6% 20% ± 6% CPQ 0.0% 1.3% 6.1% 9% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%