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Quebec

Viau


MNA: Frantz Benjamin (LIB)

Latest projection: April 26, 2024
Leaning LIB hold
Viau 34% ± 9%▲ LIB 30% ± 8%▼ QS 22% ± 7% PQ 8% ± 4%▼ CAQ 5% ± 3% QCP LIB 2022 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Viau 72%▲ LIB 27%▼ QS <1% PQ Odds of winning | April 26, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Viau

LIB 34% ± 9% PQ 22% ± 7% CAQ 8% ± 4% QS 30% ± 8% QCP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Viau 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP April 26, 2024

Odds of winning | Viau

LIB 72% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS 27% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS April 26, 2024

Recent electoral history | Viau



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 62.0% 46.6% 38.2% 34% ± 9% QS 10.9% 24.3% 30.4% 30% ± 8% CAQ 9.3% 15.7% 15.2% 8% ± 4% PQ 14.7% 8.3% 7.6% 22% ± 7% QCP 0.0% 1.3% 6.1% 5% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.