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Quebec

Viau


MNA: Frantz Benjamin (LIB)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Viau


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 52% ± 9% 62.0% 46.6% 38.2% QS 18% ± 6% 10.9% 24.3% 30.4% PQ 16% ± 6% 14.7% 8.3% 7.6% CPQ 7% ± 4% 0.0% 1.3% 6.1% CAQ 5% ± 3% 9.3% 15.7% 15.2%




338Canada projection for Viau


Viau 52% ± 9%▲ LIB 18% ± 6%▼ QS 16% ± 6%▼ PQ 7% ± 4% CPQ 5% ± 3% CAQ 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Viau >99% LIB <1% QS <1% PQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Viau

LIB 52% ± 9% PQ 16% ± 6% CAQ 5% ± 3% QS 18% ± 6% CPQ 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Viau 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 36% LIB 26% PQ 21% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 36% LIB 26% PQ 21% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 37% LIB 26% PQ 22% CAQ 9% CPQ 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 34% QS 30% PQ 22% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 35% QS 27% PQ 21% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 35% QS 28% PQ 21% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 34% QS 29% PQ 22% CAQ 8% CPQ 5% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 32% QS 30% PQ 21% CAQ 7% CPQ 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 33% QS 27% PQ 21% CPQ 9% CAQ 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 33% QS 27% PQ 23% CPQ 8% CAQ 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 33% QS 27% PQ 23% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 34% QS 27% PQ 22% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 40% QS 22% PQ 21% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 42% PQ 21% QS 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 41% QS 21% PQ 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 41% QS 21% PQ 20% CPQ 9% CAQ 6% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 44% QS 21% PQ 20% CPQ 7% CAQ 6% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 47% QS 20% PQ 18% CPQ 7% CAQ 5% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 52% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 7% CAQ 5% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Viau

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 5% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 4% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 3% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 72% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 87% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 85% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 75% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 66% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 81% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 82% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 84% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 87% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader