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Quebec

Labelle


MNA: Chantal Jeannotte

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Safe PQ gain
Labelle 49% ± 7%▲ PQ 25% ± 6%▼ CAQ 11% ± 4% QS 7% ± 3%▼ CPQ 6% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Labelle >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Labelle

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 49% ± 7% CAQ 25% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Labelle 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 51% PQ 19% QS 13% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 51% PQ 18% QS 13% CPQ 11% LIB 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 50% PQ 16% QS 13% CPQ 13% LIB 5% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 50% PQ 16% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 50% PQ 16% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 50% PQ 16% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 49% PQ 18% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 49% PQ 18% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 49% PQ 18% CPQ 13% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 49% PQ 18% CPQ 13% QS 12% LIB 5% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 48% PQ 17% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 48% PQ 17% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 49% PQ 17% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 47% PQ 18% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 48% PQ 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 48% PQ 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 48% PQ 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 48% PQ 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 45% PQ 20% CPQ 15% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 43% PQ 23% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 4% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 43% PQ 23% CPQ 14% QS 13% LIB 4% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 44% PQ 23% CPQ 14% QS 13% LIB 4% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 44% PQ 23% CPQ 15% QS 13% LIB 4% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 46% PQ 21% CPQ 15% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 46% PQ 21% CPQ 15% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 43% PQ 26% CPQ 14% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 43% PQ 26% CPQ 14% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 41% PQ 28% CPQ 14% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 41% PQ 28% CPQ 14% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 41% PQ 28% CPQ 14% QS 12% LIB 4% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 39% PQ 31% QS 13% CPQ 11% LIB 4% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 53% PQ 19% QS 12% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 52% PQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 52% PQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 51% PQ 23% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 51% PQ 23% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 42% PQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 42% PQ 36% QS 13% CPQ 5% LIB 4% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 42% PQ 36% QS 13% CPQ 5% LIB 4% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 46% PQ 31% QS 12% CPQ 5% LIB 3% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 43% PQ 30% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 4% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 43% PQ 30% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 4% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 37% CAQ 36% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 38% CAQ 33% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 42% CAQ 31% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 43% CAQ 27% QS 15% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 43% CAQ 29% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 41% CAQ 30% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 43% CAQ 28% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 45% CAQ 29% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 43% CAQ 29% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 44% CAQ 29% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 45% CAQ 28% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 44% CAQ 29% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 45% CAQ 28% QS 11% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 49% CAQ 25% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 6% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Labelle

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 87% PQ 13% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 89% PQ 11% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 85% PQ 15% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 85% PQ 15% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 99% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 99% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 99% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 54% CAQ 46% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 80% CAQ 20% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 97% CAQ 3% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 99% CAQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 97% CAQ 3% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Labelle



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 21.1% 36.6% 53.1% 25% ± 6% PQ 45.2% 34.7% 19.1% 49% ± 7% QS 8.0% 15.1% 12.3% 11% ± 4% CPQ 0.0% 0.8% 9.5% 7% ± 3% LIB 25.0% 10.9% 5.0% 6% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.