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Quebec


Maurice-Richard


MNA: Haroun Bouazzi (QS)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

QS likely hold
Maurice-Richard 32% ± 7% 23% ± 6%▲ 22% ± 6%▼ 17% ± 5%▲ 4% ± 2% QS 2022 34.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Maurice-Richard 95%▲ 4%▲ 1%▼ Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Maurice-Richard

LIB 17% ± 5% PQ 23% ± 6% CAQ 22% ± 6% QS 32% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Maurice-Richard 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Odds of winning | Maurice-Richard

LIB <1% PQ 4% CAQ 1% QS 95% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Maurice-Richard



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 13.7% 27.9% 34.7% 32% ± 7% CAQ 13.7% 19.7% 27.2% 22% ± 6% LIB 39.0% 29.5% 17.2% 17% ± 5% PQ 31.6% 19.1% 14.7% 23% ± 6% QCP 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 4% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%