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Quebec


Laviolette-Saint-Maurice


MNA: Marie-Louise Tardif (CAQ)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

Leaning PQ gain
Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 36% ± 7%▲ 31% ± 7%▼ 14% ± 5% 11% ± 4% 6% ± 3% CAQ 2022 51.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 82%▲ 18%▼ <1% Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 36% ± 7% CAQ 31% ± 7% QS 11% ± 4% QCP 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice

LIB <1% PQ 82% CAQ 18% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 23.6% 45.4% 51.7% 31% ± 7% QCP 0.6% 1.8% 16.7% 14% ± 5% PQ 27.8% 15.7% 16.0% 36% ± 7% QS 5.0% 15.1% 9.5% 11% ± 4% LIB 42.3% 20.8% 5.0% 6% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.