logo
Quebec

Recent electoral history | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice


2014 2018 2022 Projection PQ 40% ± 7% 27.8% 15.7% 16.0% CPQ 19% ± 5% 0.6% 1.8% 16.7% CAQ 19% ± 6% 23.6% 45.4% 51.7% LIB 13% ± 4% 42.3% 20.8% 5.0% QS 7% ± 3% 5.0% 15.1% 9.5%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Quebec flag

338Canada Laviolette-Saint-Maurice projection

Latest update: January 14, 2026

Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 33% 47% 40% ± 7% PQ 14% 25% 19% ± 5% CPQ 14% 25% 19% ± 6% CAQ 9% 17% 13% ± 4% LIB 4% 10% 7% ± 3% QS CAQ 2022 51.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laviolette-Saint-Maurice >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | January 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice

LIB 13% ± 4% PQ 40% ± 7% CAQ 19% ± 6% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 19% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ January 14, 2026 2025-03-05 PQ 37% CAQ 29% CPQ 16% LIB 9% QS 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 36% CAQ 31% CPQ 15% LIB 9% QS 7% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 36% CAQ 31% CPQ 15% LIB 9% QS 7% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 40% CAQ 27% CPQ 14% LIB 9% QS 7% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 38% CAQ 25% CPQ 15% LIB 13% QS 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 36% CAQ 24% CPQ 16% LIB 15% QS 7% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 PQ 37% CAQ 24% CPQ 16% LIB 14% QS 6% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 PQ 40% CAQ 24% CPQ 15% LIB 13% QS 6% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 PQ 43% CAQ 20% CPQ 15% LIB 14% QS 5% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 PQ 44% CAQ 20% CPQ 15% LIB 14% QS 5% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 PQ 42% CAQ 22% CPQ 16% LIB 14% QS 5% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 PQ 40% CAQ 23% CPQ 16% LIB 14% QS 5% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 PQ 45% CAQ 21% CPQ 16% LIB 11% QS 5% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 PQ 42% CAQ 24% CPQ 16% LIB 11% QS 5% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 PQ 40% CPQ 19% CAQ 19% LIB 13% QS 7% 2026-01-14 Rodriguez PLQ leader Zanetti QS co-leader Rodriguez resigns Legault resigns

Odds of winning | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% CPQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ January 14, 2026 2025-03-05 PQ 95% CAQ 5% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 85% CAQ 15% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 85% CAQ 15% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 99% CAQ 1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 99% CAQ 1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 PQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 PQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 PQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 PQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2026-01-14 Rodriguez PLQ leader Zanetti QS co-leader Rodriguez resigns Legault resigns
80% 20% 47% ± 6% 53% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice YES NO 338Canada January 14, 2026


Flag of Quebec

Demographic data | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice

Canadian Census, 2021
Language 95.2% French 3.3% Atikamekw 0.9% English 0.2% Spanish 0.1% Arabic 0.1% Portuguese 0.0% MandarinLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 17.9% No diploma 19.3% High school 27.2% Trade 19.3% College / Cégep 2.6% Some university 9.9% Bachelor's 3.8% PostgraduateLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 98.3% Not visible minority 1.7% Visible minority 0.6% Black 0.4% Latin American 0.2% Arab 0.1% Southeast Asian 0.1% Chinese 0.1% OtherLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 69.7% Catholic 24.2% No Religion 3.1% Christian (n.o.s.) 0.7% Other Christian 0.4% Muslim 0.3% Pentecostal 0.3% Jehovah's Witness 0.3% Indigenous SpiritualityLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 60.7% Owner 37.8% Renter 1.4% Community housingLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 49.0% Employed 47.2% Not in labour force 3.8% UnemployedLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 92.3% Non-Indigenous 7.7% Indigenous identity 6.3% First Nations 1.1% Metis 0.2% Others 0.1% MultipleLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 90.7% Car / truck / van 6.1% Walking 1.7% Other 1.1% Public transit 0.5% BicycleLaviolette-Saint-MauriceSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.