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Quebec

Côte-du-Sud


MNA: Mathieu Rivest (CAQ)

Latest projection: August 29, 2024
Toss up PQ/CAQ
Côte-du-Sud 28% ± 6%▼ PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 23% ± 7%▲ CPQ 10% ± 4%▲ QS 9% ± 4% LIB CAQ 2022 47.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 29, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Côte-du-Sud 48%▼ PQ 47%▲ CAQ 5%▲ CPQ Odds of winning | August 29, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Côte-du-Sud

LIB 9% ± 4% PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 28% ± 6% QS 10% ± 4% CPQ 23% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Côte-du-Sud 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ August 29, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 48% CPQ 25% LIB 10% QS 10% PQ 6% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 48% CPQ 26% QS 10% LIB 10% PQ 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 45% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 9% PQ 4% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 45% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 9% PQ 4% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 45% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 9% PQ 4% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 45% CPQ 30% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 4% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 44% CPQ 31% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 4% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 44% CPQ 31% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 4% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 44% CPQ 31% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 4% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 44% CPQ 31% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 44% CPQ 30% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 44% CPQ 30% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 44% CPQ 30% LIB 9% QS 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 43% CPQ 33% LIB 9% QS 8% PQ 5% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 43% CPQ 33% LIB 9% QS 8% PQ 5% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 42% CPQ 34% LIB 9% QS 7% PQ 5% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 42% CPQ 34% LIB 9% QS 7% PQ 5% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 44% CPQ 32% LIB 9% QS 7% PQ 5% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 45% CPQ 32% LIB 9% QS 7% PQ 5% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 43% CPQ 31% QS 10% LIB 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 44% CPQ 30% QS 10% LIB 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 44% CPQ 31% QS 10% LIB 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 44% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 44% CPQ 31% QS 9% LIB 9% PQ 5% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 42% CPQ 31% QS 9% LIB 9% PQ 7% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 42% CPQ 31% QS 10% LIB 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 43% CPQ 30% QS 10% LIB 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 43% CPQ 30% QS 10% LIB 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 43% CPQ 31% QS 10% LIB 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 45% CPQ 29% QS 9% LIB 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 45% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 8% PQ 7% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 43% CPQ 29% QS 10% PQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 44% CPQ 29% QS 10% PQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 44% CPQ 29% QS 10% PQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 45% CPQ 28% QS 10% PQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 44% CPQ 28% QS 10% PQ 8% LIB 8% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 44% CPQ 28% QS 10% PQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 48% CPQ 23% PQ 13% QS 9% LIB 6% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 48% CPQ 21% PQ 15% QS 9% LIB 6% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 48% CPQ 21% PQ 15% QS 9% LIB 6% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 48% CPQ 18% PQ 16% QS 11% LIB 6% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 48% CPQ 18% PQ 17% QS 11% LIB 6% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 34% PQ 25% CPQ 23% QS 10% LIB 7% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 36% PQ 26% CPQ 22% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 36% PQ 26% CPQ 22% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 39% PQ 22% CPQ 22% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 37% CPQ 25% PQ 20% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 36% CPQ 24% PQ 22% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 36% CPQ 24% PQ 23% QS 9% LIB 7% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 34% PQ 24% CPQ 23% QS 10% LIB 8% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CAQ 30% PQ 27% CPQ 24% QS 11% LIB 7% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 27% CAQ 27% CPQ 25% QS 11% LIB 8% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 28% PQ 27% CPQ 25% QS 10% LIB 8% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 29% PQ 26% CPQ 25% QS 10% LIB 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 28% CAQ 28% CPQ 23% QS 11% LIB 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 29% CAQ 28% CPQ 24% QS 9% LIB 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 28% PQ 28% CPQ 23% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 29% PQ 28% CPQ 22% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 29% CAQ 28% CPQ 22% LIB 9% QS 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 28% CAQ 28% CPQ 23% QS 10% LIB 9% 2024-08-30

Odds of winning | Côte-du-Sud

LIB <1% PQ 48% CAQ 47% QS <1% CPQ 5% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ August 29, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 91% CPQ 9% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 91% CPQ 9% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 87% CPQ 13% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 87% CPQ 13% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 94% CPQ 6% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 95% PQ 4% CPQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 97% PQ 3% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 98% PQ 2% CPQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 95% CPQ 3% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CAQ 68% PQ 26% CPQ 6% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 44% CAQ 35% CPQ 21% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 49% PQ 36% CPQ 15% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 65% CPQ 17% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 48% CAQ 44% CPQ 8% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 49% CAQ 44% CPQ 8% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 46% PQ 45% CPQ 9% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 52% PQ 45% CPQ 3% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 56% CAQ 40% CPQ 3% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 48% CAQ 47% CPQ 5% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30

Recent electoral history | Côte-du-Sud



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 23.3% 53.5% 47.7% 28% ± 6% CPQ 0.8% 1.7% 23.4% 23% ± 7% PQ 19.1% 10.1% 12.8% 28% ± 6% QS 5.5% 11.1% 9.3% 10% ± 4% LIB 49.9% 21.9% 6.3% 9% ± 4% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.