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Quebec


Côte-du-Sud


MNA: Mathieu Rivest (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Toss up PQ/CAQ
Côte-du-Sud 30% ± 7%▼ 27% ± 7%▲ 24% ± 7%▲ 11% ± 4%▲ 7% ± 3%▼ CAQ 2022 47.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Côte-du-Sud 68%▼ 26%▲ 6%▲ Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Côte-du-Sud

LIB 7% ± 3% PQ 27% ± 7% CAQ 30% ± 7% QS 11% ± 4% QCP 24% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Côte-du-Sud 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Côte-du-Sud

LIB <1% PQ 26% CAQ 68% QS <1% QCP 6% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Côte-du-Sud



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 23.3% 53.5% 47.7% 30% ± 7% QCP 0.8% 1.7% 23.4% 24% ± 7% PQ 19.1% 10.1% 12.8% 27% ± 7% QS 5.5% 11.1% 9.3% 11% ± 4% LIB 49.9% 21.9% 6.3% 7% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%