logo
Quebec

Côte-du-Sud


MNA: Mathieu Rivest (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Leaning PQ

Recent electoral history | Côte-du-Sud


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 28% ± 6% 19.1% 10.1% 12.8% CPQ 25% ± 6% 0.8% 1.7% 23.4% CAQ 21% ± 5% 23.3% 53.5% 47.7% LIB 16% ± 5% 49.9% 21.9% 6.3% QS 7% ± 3% 5.5% 11.1% 9.3%




338Canada projection for Côte-du-Sud


Côte-du-Sud 28% ± 6%▼ PQ 25% ± 6%▲ CPQ 21% ± 5%▼ CAQ 16% ± 5%▲ LIB 7% ± 3%▼ QS CAQ 2022 47.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Côte-du-Sud 76%▼ PQ 22%▲ CPQ 2% CAQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Côte-du-Sud

LIB 16% ± 5% PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 21% ± 5% QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Côte-du-Sud 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 28% PQ 27% CPQ 25% QS 10% LIB 8% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 29% PQ 26% CPQ 25% QS 10% LIB 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 28% CAQ 28% CPQ 23% QS 11% LIB 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 29% CAQ 28% CPQ 24% QS 9% LIB 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 28% PQ 28% CPQ 23% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 29% PQ 28% CPQ 22% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 29% CAQ 28% CPQ 22% LIB 9% QS 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 28% CAQ 28% CPQ 23% QS 10% LIB 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 30% CAQ 28% CPQ 23% LIB 9% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 33% CAQ 26% CPQ 21% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 34% CAQ 24% CPQ 21% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 32% CAQ 26% CPQ 21% LIB 10% QS 9% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 31% CAQ 26% CPQ 22% LIB 11% QS 8% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 29% CAQ 25% CPQ 24% LIB 12% QS 7% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 28% CAQ 27% CPQ 23% LIB 12% QS 8% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 29% CAQ 28% CPQ 23% LIB 10% QS 8% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 32% CAQ 25% CPQ 22% LIB 11% QS 8% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 30% CPQ 24% CAQ 22% LIB 14% QS 8% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 28% CPQ 25% CAQ 21% LIB 16% QS 7% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Côte-du-Sud

LIB <1% PQ 76% CAQ 2% CPQ 22% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 49% PQ 36% CPQ 15% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 65% CPQ 17% PQ 17% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 48% CAQ 44% CPQ 8% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 49% CAQ 44% CPQ 8% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 46% PQ 45% CPQ 9% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 52% PQ 45% CPQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 56% CAQ 40% CPQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 48% CAQ 47% CPQ 5% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 64% CAQ 32% CPQ 4% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 93% CAQ 6% CPQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 97% CAQ 2% CPQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 88% CAQ 11% CPQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 85% CAQ 14% CPQ 1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 73% CAQ 16% CPQ 10% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 59% CAQ 35% CPQ 6% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 59% CAQ 35% CPQ 5% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 95% CAQ 4% CPQ 1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 87% CPQ 11% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 76% CPQ 22% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader