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British columbia

The Road to 47 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 47 seats Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe V-STR North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe NVLO Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe V-HAS Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe V-SG Vancouver-West End NDP safe V-WE Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe V-REN Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe V-LM Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe V-KEN New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe NWCQ Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe VI-SL Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe ESQC Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe OAKB Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe BU-NW Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe V-PG North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe NCHG Saanich South NDP safe SAAS Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe V-FRV Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP safe NAGA North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely NVSM Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely POWR Port Coquitlam NDP likely POCQ Langford-Highlands NDP likely LFHL Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP likely NALA Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely KOOM Burnaby Centre NDP likely BU-C Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely CQMA Delta North NDP likely DELN Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely PMBQ Burnaby East NDP likely BU-E Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP likely MIPR Kootenay Central NDP likely KOOC Burnaby North NDP likely BU-N Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP likely MAPP Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP likely VI-BH Ladysmith-Oceanside NDP likely LADY Surrey-Newton NDP leaning SU-NW Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP leaning BU-SM Vancouver-Yaletown NDP leaning V-YAL Surrey-Fleetwood NDP leaning SU-FL Cowichan Valley NDP leaning COWV Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning RCHS Vancouver-Langara NDP leaning V-LAN Vernon-Lumby Toss up VERL Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up CQBM Surrey City Centre Toss up SU-CC Juan de Fuca-Malahat Toss up JUAN Surrey-Guildford Toss up SU-GF Kelowna Centre Toss up KWCE Courtenay-Comox Toss up COCO Maple Ridge East Toss up MAPE Penticton-Summerland Toss up PENT Surrey-Panorama Toss up SU-PA North Island Toss up NOIS Surrey-Serpentine River Toss up SU-SR Surrey-Cloverdale Toss up SU-CL Columbia River-Revelstoke Toss up CORR Langley-Willowbrook Toss up LGWI Langley-Walnut Grove Toss up LGWG Skeena Toss up SKEE Boundary-Similkameen CPBC leaning BOMI Richmond-Queensborough CPBC leaning RCHQ Surrey-White Rock CPBC leaning SU-WR Surrey North CPBC leaning SU-N Vancouver-Quilchena CPBC leaning V-QUI Kamloops Centre CPBC leaning KAMC Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC leaning CHIC Delta South CPBC leaning DELS Abbotsford-Mission CPBC leaning ABBM Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC leaning BULK Saanich North and the Islands GRN leaning SAAN Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC likely KWLC Richmond Centre CPBC likely RCHC Surrey South CPBC likely SU-S Chilliwack North CPBC likely CHIN Fraser-Nicola CPBC likely FRNI Prince George-Valemount CPBC likely PGVA Abbotsford West CPBC likely ABBW Kelowna-Mission CPBC likely KWMI Richmond-Bridgeport CPBC likely RCHB Langley-Abbotsford CPBC likely LGAB West Vancouver-Sea to Sky GRN leaning WV-SS West Vancouver-Capilano CPBC safe WV-CA Abbotsford South CPBC safe ABBS Salmon Arm-Shuswap CPBC safe SSHU West Kelowna-Peachland CPBC safe WKWP Kamloops-North Thompson CPBC safe KAMN Kootenay-Rockies CPBC safe KOOR Cariboo-Chilcotin CPBC safe CARI Prince George-Mackenzie CPBC safe PGMA Nechako Lakes CPBC safe NECH Prince George-North Cariboo CPBC safe PGNC Peace River South CPBC safe PR-S Peace River North CPBC safe PR-N V-STR NVLO V-HAS V-SG V-WE V-REN V-LM V-KEN NWCQ VI-SL ESQC OAKB BU-NW V-PG NCHG SAAS V-FRV NAGA NVSM POWR POCQ LFHL NALA KOOM BU-C CQMA DELN PMBQ BU-E MIPR KOOC BU-N MAPP VI-BH LADY SU-NW BU-SM V-YAL SU-FL COWV RCHS V-LAN VERL CQBM SU-CC JUAN SU-GF KWCE COCO MAPE PENT SU-PA NOIS SU-SR SU-CL CORR LGWI LGWG SKEE BOMI RCHQ SU-WR SU-N V-QUI KAMC CHIC DELS ABBM BULK SAAN KWLC RCHC SU-S CHIN FRNI PGVA ABBW KWMI RCHB LGAB WV-SS WV-CA ABBS SSHU WKWP KAMN KOOR CARI PGMA NECH PGNC PR-S PR-N 338Canada British Columbia Projection Latest update: December 20, 2025 39 CPBC [23-56] NDP 52 [35-68]


Latest update: December 20, 2025

47 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2024)
18 17 7 10 52
[35-68]
47
12 10 10 7 39
[23-56]
44
0 0 2 0 2
[1-3]
2

List of all 93 electoral districts | British Columbia


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
Bruce Banman
C CPBC safe
Korky Neufeld
C CPBC likely
Reann Gasper
C CPBC leaning
Donegal Wilson
C CPBC leaning
Sharon L. Hartwell
C CPBC leaning
Anne Kang
N NDP likely
Reah Arora
N NDP likely
Janet Routledge
N NDP likely
N NDP leaning
N NDP safe
Lorne Doerkson
C CPBC safe
Heather Maahs
C CPBC likely
A’aliya Warbus
C CPBC leaning
C Toss up
N Toss up
Jennifer Blatherwick
N NDP likely
Brennan Day
C Toss up
Debra Toporowski
N NDP leaning
Ravi Kahlon
N NDP likely
Ian Paton
C CPBC leaning
Darlene Rotchford
N NDP safe
Tony Luck
C CPBC likely
Dana Lajeunesse
N Toss up
Peter Milobar
C CPBC leaning
C CPBC safe
Kristina Loewen
C Toss up
Tara Armstrong [Elected with CP]
I CPBC likely
C CPBC likely
Brittny Anderson
N NDP likely
Steve Morissette
N NDP likely
C CPBC safe
Stephanie Higginson
N NDP likely
N NDP likely
Harman Bhangu
C CPBC likely
Misty Van Popta
C Toss up
C Toss up
Lawrence Mok
C Toss up
N NDP likely
N NDP likely
Sheila Malcolmson
N NDP safe
George Anderson
N NDP likely
John Rustad
C CPBC safe
Jennifer Whiteside
N NDP safe
Tamara Davidson
N NDP safe
Anna Kindy
C Toss up
N NDP safe
N NDP likely
N NDP safe
Jordan Kealy [Elected with CP]
I CPBC safe
Larry Neufeld
C CPBC safe
Amelia Boultbee
C Toss up
Mike Farnworth
N NDP likely
N NDP likely
N NDP likely
C CPBC safe
C CPBC safe
C CPBC likely
C CPBC likely
C CPBC likely
C CPBC leaning
Kelly Greene
N NDP leaning
G GRN leaning
Lana Popham
N NDP safe
David L. Williams
C CPBC safe
Claire Rattée
C Toss up
N Toss up
Mandeep Dhaliwal
C CPBC leaning
Brent Chapman
C CPBC likely
Elenore Sturko [Elected with CP]
I Toss up
Jagrup Brar
N NDP leaning
N Toss up
Jessie Sunner
N NDP leaning
Bryan Tepper
C Toss up
C Toss up
Trevor Halford
C CPBC leaning
N NDP safe
N NDP safe
N NDP safe
Sunita Dhir
N NDP leaning
N NDP safe
N NDP safe
Dallas Brodie [Elected with CP]
O CPBC leaning
N NDP safe
N NDP safe
N NDP safe
Spencer Chandra Herbert
N NDP safe
N NDP leaning
Harwinder Sandhu
N Toss up
N NDP likely
Nina Krieger
N NDP safe
C CPBC safe
C CPBC safe
G GRN leaning