logo
logo
British columbia
British Columbia flag

Electoral District Projections — British Columbia

Latest update: October 25, 2026

The Road to 47 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 47 seats North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe NCHG Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe V-STR Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe V-REN Vancouver-West End NDP safe V-WE Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe V-HAS New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe NWCQ Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe V-LM Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe V-SG Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe ESQC Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP safe NAGA Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely POWR Vancouver-Kensington NDP likely V-KEN Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely KOOM Victoria-Swan Lake NDP likely VI-SL Burnaby-New Westminster NDP likely BU-NW Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP likely OAKB Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP likely MIPR Langford-Highlands NDP likely LFHL Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP likely VI-BH North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP likely NVLO Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP leaning NALA Courtenay-Comox NDP leaning COCO Vancouver-Point Grey NDP leaning V-PG Kootenay Central NDP leaning KOOC Port Coquitlam Toss up POCQ Burnaby East Toss up BU-E Burnaby South-Metrotown Toss up BU-SM Ladysmith-Oceanside Toss up LADY Kelowna Centre Toss up KWCE Cowichan Valley Toss up COWV Vancouver-Fraserview CPBC leaning V-FRV Surrey City Centre CPBC leaning SU-CC Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC leaning BULK Juan de Fuca-Malahat CPBC leaning JUAN Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows CPBC leaning MAPP Burnaby North CPBC leaning BU-N Penticton-Summerland CPBC leaning PENT Burnaby Centre CPBC leaning BU-C Port Moody-Burquitlam CPBC leaning PMBQ Vancouver-Yaletown CPBC leaning V-YAL North Island CPBC likely NOIS Saanich South CPBC likely SAAS Coquitlam-Maillardville CPBC likely CQMA Surrey-Guildford CPBC likely SU-GF Vancouver-Langara CPBC likely V-LAN Skeena CPBC likely SKEE Surrey-Newton CPBC likely SU-NW North Vancouver-Seymour CPBC likely NVSM Surrey-Fleetwood CPBC likely SU-FL Boundary-Similkameen CPBC likely BOMI Delta North CPBC likely DELN Coquitlam-Burke Mountain CPBC safe CQBM Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC safe CORR Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC safe CHIC Vernon-Lumby CPBC safe VERL Maple Ridge East CPBC safe MAPE Langley-Willowbrook CPBC safe LGWI Abbotsford-Mission CPBC safe ABBM Richmond-Steveston CPBC safe RCHS Richmond Centre CPBC safe RCHC Surrey-Panorama CPBC safe SU-PA Surrey-Cloverdale CPBC safe SU-CL Richmond-Queensborough CPBC safe RCHQ Chilliwack North CPBC safe CHIN Surrey North CPBC safe SU-N Surrey-Serpentine River CPBC safe SU-SR Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC safe KWLC Richmond-Bridgeport CPBC safe RCHB Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC safe LGWG Kamloops Centre CPBC safe KAMC Abbotsford South CPBC safe ABBS West Kelowna-Peachland CPBC safe WKWP Prince George-Valemount CPBC safe PGVA Abbotsford West CPBC safe ABBW Surrey-White Rock CPBC safe SU-WR Kamloops-North Thompson CPBC safe KAMN Delta South CPBC safe DELS Salmon Arm-Shuswap CPBC safe SSHU Fraser-Nicola CPBC safe FRNI Kelowna-Mission CPBC safe KWMI Kootenay-Rockies CPBC safe KOOR Vancouver-Quilchena CPBC safe V-QUI Prince George-Mackenzie CPBC safe PGMA Langley-Abbotsford CPBC safe LGAB Nechako Lakes CPBC safe NECH Surrey South CPBC safe SU-S West Vancouver-Capilano CPBC safe WV-CA Prince George-North Cariboo CPBC safe PGNC Saanich North and the Islands GRN safe SAAN Cariboo-Chilcotin CPBC safe CARI Peace River South CPBC safe PR-S West Vancouver-Sea to Sky GRN likely WV-SS Peace River North CPBC safe PR-N NCHG V-STR V-REN V-WE V-HAS NWCQ V-LM V-SG ESQC NAGA POWR V-KEN KOOM VI-SL BU-NW OAKB MIPR LFHL VI-BH NVLO NALA COCO V-PG KOOC POCQ BU-E BU-SM LADY KWCE COWV V-FRV SU-CC BULK JUAN MAPP BU-N PENT BU-C PMBQ V-YAL NOIS SAAS CQMA SU-GF V-LAN SKEE SU-NW NVSM SU-FL BOMI DELN CQBM CORR CHIC VERL MAPE LGWI ABBM RCHS RCHC SU-PA SU-CL RCHQ CHIN SU-N SU-SR KWLC RCHB LGWG KAMC ABBS WKWP PGVA ABBW SU-WR KAMN DELS SSHU FRNI KWMI KOOR V-QUI PGMA LGAB NECH SU-S WV-CA PGNC SAAN CARI PR-S WV-SS PR-N 338Canada British Columbia Projection Latest update: October 25, 2026 ▲64 CPBC [64-64] NDP 27▼ [27-27]

Electoral districts
Current party
 Projection
Abbotsford South
Bruce Banman
 C CPBC safe
Abbotsford West
Korky Neufeld
 C CPBC safe
Abbotsford-Mission
Darryl Kropp
 C CPBC safe
Boundary-Similkameen
Donegal Wilson
 C CPBC likely
Bulkley Valley-Stikine
Sharon Hartwell
 C CPBC leaning
Burnaby Centre
Joshua Domnich
 C CPBC leaning
Burnaby East
Rohini Reah Arora
 N Toss up
Burnaby North
Simon Chandler
 C CPBC leaning
Burnaby South-Metrotown
David Xie
 C Toss up
Burnaby-New Westminster
Raj Chouhan
 N NDP likely
Cariboo-Chilcotin
Lorne Doerkson
 C CPBC safe
Chilliwack North
Heather Maahs
 C CPBC safe
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake
A’aliya Warbus
 C CPBC safe
Columbia River-Revelstoke
Scott McInnis
 C CPBC safe
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
Ryan Peterson
 C CPBC safe
Coquitlam-Maillardville
Matt Liang
 C CPBC likely
Courtenay-Comox
Will Cole-Hamilton
 N NDP leaning
Cowichan Valley
Bert Chen
 C Toss up
Delta North
Monica Mohan
 C CPBC likely
Delta South
Ian Paton
 C CPBC safe
Esquimalt-Colwood
Darlene Rotchford
 N NDP safe
Fraser-Nicola
Tony Luck
 C CPBC safe
Juan de Fuca-Malahat
Mike Hicks
 C CPBC leaning
Kamloops Centre
Peter Milobar
 C CPBC safe
Kamloops-North Thompson
Ward Stamer
 C CPBC safe
Kelowna Centre
Kristina Loewen
 C Toss up
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream
Pavneet Singh
 C CPBC safe
Kelowna-Mission
Gavin Dew
 C CPBC safe
Kootenay Central
Brittny Anderson
 N NDP leaning
Kootenay-Monashee
Steve Morissette
 N NDP likely
Kootenay-Rockies
Pete Davis
 C CPBC safe
Ladysmith-Oceanside
Kris McNichol
 C Toss up
Langford-Highlands
Ravi Parmar
 N NDP likely
Langley-Abbotsford
Harman Bhangu
 C CPBC safe
Langley-Walnut Grove
Misty Van Popta
 C CPBC safe
Langley-Willowbrook
Jody Toor
 C CPBC safe
Maple Ridge East
Lawrence Mok
 C CPBC safe
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
Doug Morneau
 C CPBC leaning
Mid Island-Pacific Rim
Josie Osborne
 N NDP likely
Nanaimo-Gabriola Island
Sheila Malcolmson
 N NDP safe
Nanaimo-Lantzville
George Anderson
 N NDP leaning
Nechako Lakes
Diane Black
 C CPBC safe
New Westminster-Coquitlam
Jennifer Whiteside
 N NDP safe
North Coast-Haida Gwaii
Tamara Davidson
 N NDP safe
North Island
Anna Kindy
 C CPBC likely
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
Bowinn Ma
 N NDP likely
North Vancouver-Seymour
Lynne Block
 C CPBC likely
Oak Bay-Gordon Head
Diana Gibson
 N NDP likely
Peace River North
Curtis Whitford
 C CPBC safe
Peace River South
Larry Neufeld
 C CPBC safe
Penticton-Summerland
Tracy St Claire
 C CPBC leaning
Port Coquitlam
Mike Farnworth
 N Toss up
Port Moody-Burquitlam
John McEwen
 C CPBC leaning
Powell River-Sunshine Coast
Randene Neill
 N NDP likely
Prince George-Mackenzie
Kiel Giddens
 C CPBC safe
Prince George-North Cariboo
Sheldon Clare
 C CPBC safe
Prince George-Valemount
Rosalyn Bird
 C CPBC safe
Richmond Centre
Sacha Peter
 C CPBC safe
Richmond-Bridgeport
Teresa Wat
 C CPBC safe
Richmond-Queensborough
Steve Kooner
 C CPBC safe
Richmond-Steveston
Gordon Zhang
 C CPBC safe
Saanich North and the Islands
Emily Lowan
 G GRN safe
Saanich South
Cathie Ounsted
 C CPBC likely
Salmon Arm-Shuswap
David L Williams
 C CPBC safe
Skeena
Claire Rattée
 C CPBC likely
Surrey City Centre
Zeeshan Wahla
 C CPBC leaning
Surrey North
Mandeep Singh Dhaliwal
 C CPBC safe
Surrey South
Megan Knight
 C CPBC safe
Surrey-Cloverdale
Nicholas Cartmell
 C CPBC safe
Surrey-Fleetwood
Garry Purewal
 C CPBC likely
Surrey-Guildford
Garry Thind
 C CPBC likely
Surrey-Newton
Harj Dhaliwal
 C CPBC likely
Surrey-Panorama
Bryan Tepper
 C CPBC safe
Surrey-Serpentine River
Jessy Sahota
 C CPBC safe
Surrey-White Rock
Trevor Halford
 C CPBC safe
Vancouver-Fraserview
Deep Sandhu
 C CPBC leaning
Vancouver-Hastings
Niki Sharma
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Kensington
Mable Elmore
 N NDP likely
Vancouver-Langara
Jaime Stein
 C CPBC likely
Vancouver-Little Mountain
Christine Boyle
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Point Grey
David Eby
 N NDP leaning
Vancouver-Quilchena
Carson Binda
 C CPBC safe
Vancouver-Renfrew
Adrian Dix
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-South Granville
Lara Honrado
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Strathcona
Amanda Burrows
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-West End
Spencer Chandra Herbert
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Yaletown
Margareta Dovgal
 C CPBC leaning
Vernon-Lumby
Kevin Acton
 C CPBC safe
Victoria-Beacon Hill
Grace Lore
 N NDP likely
Victoria-Swan Lake
Nina Krieger
 N NDP likely
West Kelowna-Peachland
Macklin McCall
 C CPBC safe
West Vancouver-Capilano
Caroline Elliott
 C CPBC safe
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
Jeremy Valeriote
 G GRN likely