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Electoral District Projections — British Columbia

Latest update: August 17, 2026

The Road to 47 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 47 seats Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe V-STR North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe NVLO Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe V-HAS Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe V-SG Vancouver-West End NDP safe V-WE Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe V-REN Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe V-LM Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe V-KEN New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe NWCQ Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe VI-SL Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe OAKB Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe BU-NW Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe ESQC Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe V-PG North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe NCHG Saanich South NDP safe SAAS Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP safe NAGA Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe V-FRV North Vancouver-Seymour NDP safe NVSM Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely POWR Port Coquitlam NDP likely POCQ Langford-Highlands NDP likely LFHL Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP likely NALA Burnaby Centre NDP likely BU-C Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely CQMA Delta North NDP likely DELN Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely PMBQ Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP likely MIPR Burnaby East NDP likely BU-E Burnaby North NDP likely BU-N Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP likely MAPP Ladysmith-Oceanside NDP likely LADY Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely KOOM Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP likely VI-BH Surrey-Newton NDP likely SU-NW Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP leaning BU-SM Vancouver-Yaletown NDP leaning V-YAL Kootenay Central NDP leaning KOOC Surrey-Fleetwood NDP leaning SU-FL Cowichan Valley NDP leaning COWV Richmond-Steveston Toss up RCHS Vancouver-Langara Toss up V-LAN Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up CQBM Surrey City Centre Toss up SU-CC Juan de Fuca-Malahat Toss up JUAN Surrey-Guildford Toss up SU-GF Maple Ridge East Toss up MAPE Courtenay-Comox Toss up COCO Surrey-Panorama Toss up SU-PA North Island Toss up NOIS Surrey-Serpentine River Toss up SU-SR Surrey-Cloverdale Toss up SU-CL Vernon-Lumby Toss up VERL Langley-Willowbrook Toss up LGWI Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC leaning LGWG Kelowna Centre CPBC leaning KWCE Penticton-Summerland CPBC leaning PENT Richmond-Queensborough CPBC leaning RCHQ Surrey-White Rock CPBC leaning SU-WR Surrey North CPBC leaning SU-N Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC leaning CORR Vancouver-Quilchena CPBC leaning V-QUI Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC leaning CHIC Skeena CPBC leaning SKEE Delta South CPBC likely DELS Abbotsford-Mission CPBC likely ABBM Boundary-Similkameen CPBC likely BOMI Saanich North and the Islands GRN likely SAAN Kamloops Centre CPBC likely KAMC Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC likely BULK Richmond Centre CPBC likely RCHC Surrey South CPBC likely SU-S Chilliwack North CPBC likely CHIN Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC likely KWLC Abbotsford West CPBC safe ABBW Richmond-Bridgeport CPBC safe RCHB Fraser-Nicola CPBC safe FRNI Langley-Abbotsford CPBC safe LGAB Abbotsford South CPBC safe ABBS Prince George-Valemount CPBC safe PGVA West Vancouver-Sea to Sky GRN likely WV-SS Kelowna-Mission CPBC safe KWMI West Vancouver-Capilano CPBC safe WV-CA West Kelowna-Peachland CPBC safe WKWP Kamloops-North Thompson CPBC safe KAMN Salmon Arm-Shuswap CPBC safe SSHU Cariboo-Chilcotin CPBC safe CARI Kootenay-Rockies CPBC safe KOOR Prince George-Mackenzie CPBC safe PGMA Nechako Lakes CPBC safe NECH Prince George-North Cariboo CPBC safe PGNC Peace River South CPBC safe PR-S Peace River North CPBC safe PR-N V-STR NVLO V-HAS V-SG V-WE V-REN V-LM V-KEN NWCQ VI-SL OAKB BU-NW ESQC V-PG NCHG SAAS NAGA V-FRV NVSM POWR POCQ LFHL NALA BU-C CQMA DELN PMBQ MIPR BU-E BU-N MAPP LADY KOOM VI-BH SU-NW BU-SM V-YAL KOOC SU-FL COWV RCHS V-LAN CQBM SU-CC JUAN SU-GF MAPE COCO SU-PA NOIS SU-SR SU-CL VERL LGWI LGWG KWCE PENT RCHQ SU-WR SU-N CORR V-QUI CHIC SKEE DELS ABBM BOMI SAAN KAMC BULK RCHC SU-S CHIN KWLC ABBW RCHB FRNI LGAB ABBS PGVA WV-SS KWMI WV-CA WKWP KAMN SSHU CARI KOOR PGMA NECH PGNC PR-S PR-N 338Canada British Columbia Projection Latest update: August 17, 2026 ▼42 CPBC [30-55] NDP 49▲ [36-61]

Electoral districts
Current party
 Projection
Abbotsford South
Bruce Banman
 I CPBC safe
Abbotsford West
Korky Neufeld
 C CPBC safe
Abbotsford-Mission
Vacant
 CPBC likely
Boundary-Similkameen
Donegal Wilson
 C CPBC likely
Bulkley Valley-Stikine
Sharon L. Hartwell
 C CPBC likely
Burnaby Centre
Anne Kang
 N NDP likely
Burnaby East
Reah Arora
 N NDP likely
Burnaby North
Janet Routledge
 N NDP likely
Burnaby South-Metrotown
Paul Choi
 N NDP leaning
Burnaby-New Westminster
Raj Chouhan
 N NDP safe
Cariboo-Chilcotin
Lorne Doerkson
 C CPBC safe
Chilliwack North
Heather Maahs
 C CPBC likely
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake
A’aliya Warbus
 C CPBC leaning
Columbia River-Revelstoke
Scott McInnis
 C CPBC leaning
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
Jodie Wickens
 N Toss up
Coquitlam-Maillardville
Jennifer Blatherwick
 N NDP likely
Courtenay-Comox
Brennan Day
 I Toss up
Cowichan Valley
Debra Toporowski
 N NDP leaning
Delta North
Ravi Kahlon
 N NDP likely
Delta South
Ian Paton
 I CPBC likely
Esquimalt-Colwood
Darlene Rotchford
 N NDP safe
Fraser-Nicola
Tony Luck
 C CPBC safe
Juan de Fuca-Malahat
Dana Lajeunesse
 N Toss up
Kamloops Centre
Peter Milobar
 I CPBC likely
Kamloops-North Thompson
Ward Stamer
 C CPBC safe
Kelowna Centre
Kristina Loewen
 C CPBC leaning
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream
Tara Armstrong [Elected with CP]
 I CPBC likely
Kelowna-Mission
Gavin Dew
 C CPBC safe
Kootenay Central
Brittny Anderson
 N NDP leaning
Kootenay-Monashee
Steve Morissette
 N NDP likely
Kootenay-Rockies
Pete Davis
 C CPBC safe
Ladysmith-Oceanside
Stephanie Higginson
 N NDP likely
Langford-Highlands
Ravi Parmar
 N NDP likely
Langley-Abbotsford
Harman Bhangu
 C CPBC safe
Langley-Walnut Grove
Misty Van Popta
 C CPBC leaning
Langley-Willowbrook
Jody Toor
 C Toss up
Maple Ridge East
Lawrence Mok
 C Toss up
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
Lisa Beare
 N NDP likely
Mid Island-Pacific Rim
Josie Osborne
 N NDP likely
Nanaimo-Gabriola Island
Sheila Malcolmson
 N NDP safe
Nanaimo-Lantzville
George Anderson
 N NDP likely
Nechako Lakes
John Rustad
 C CPBC safe
New Westminster-Coquitlam
Jennifer Whiteside
 N NDP safe
North Coast-Haida Gwaii
Tamara Davidson
 N NDP safe
North Island
Anna Kindy
 C Toss up
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
Bowinn Ma
 N NDP safe
North Vancouver-Seymour
Susie Chant
 N NDP safe
Oak Bay-Gordon Head
Diana Gibson
 N NDP safe
Peace River North
Jordan Kealy [Elected with CP]
 I CPBC safe
Peace River South
Larry Neufeld
 C CPBC safe
Penticton-Summerland
Amelia Boultbee [Elected with CP]
 N CPBC leaning
Port Coquitlam
Mike Farnworth
 N NDP likely
Port Moody-Burquitlam
Rick Glumac
 N NDP likely
Powell River-Sunshine Coast
Randene Neill
 N NDP likely
Prince George-Mackenzie
Kiel Giddens
 C CPBC safe
Prince George-North Cariboo
Sheldon Clare
 C CPBC safe
Prince George-Valemount
Rosalyn Bird
 C CPBC safe
Richmond Centre
Hon Chan
 C CPBC likely
Richmond-Bridgeport
Teresa Wat
 C CPBC safe
Richmond-Queensborough
Steve Kooner
 C CPBC leaning
Richmond-Steveston
Kelly Greene
 N Toss up
Saanich North and the Islands
Rob Botterell
 G GRN likely
Saanich South
Lana Popham
 N NDP safe
Salmon Arm-Shuswap
David L. Williams
 C CPBC safe
Skeena
Claire Rattée
 C CPBC leaning
Surrey City Centre
Amna Shah
 N Toss up
Surrey North
Mandeep Dhaliwal
 C CPBC leaning
Surrey South
Brent Chapman
 C CPBC likely
Surrey-Cloverdale
Elenore Sturko [Elected with CP]
 I Toss up
Surrey-Fleetwood
Jagrup Brar
 N NDP leaning
Surrey-Guildford
Garry Begg
 N Toss up
Surrey-Newton
Jessie Sunner
 N NDP likely
Surrey-Panorama
Bryan Tepper
 C Toss up
Surrey-Serpentine River
Linda Hepner
 C Toss up
Surrey-White Rock
Trevor Halford
 C CPBC leaning
Vancouver-Fraserview
George Chow
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Hastings
Niki Sharma
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Kensington
Mable Elmore
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Langara
Sunita Dhir
 N Toss up
Vancouver-Little Mountain
Christine Boyle
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Point Grey
David Eby
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Quilchena
Dallas Brodie [Elected with CP]
 O CPBC leaning
Vancouver-Renfrew
Adrian Dix
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-South Granville
Brenda Bailey
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Strathcona
Joan Phillip
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-West End
Spencer Chandra Herbert
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Yaletown
Terry Yung
 N NDP leaning
Vernon-Lumby
Harwinder Sandhu
 N Toss up
Victoria-Beacon Hill
Grace Lore
 N NDP likely
Victoria-Swan Lake
Nina Krieger
 N NDP safe
West Kelowna-Peachland
Macklin McCall
 C CPBC safe
West Vancouver-Capilano
Lynne Block
 C CPBC safe
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
Jeremy Valeriote
 G GRN likely