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British columbia

The Road to 47 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 47 seats Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe V-STR North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe NVLO Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe V-SG Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe V-HAS Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe V-REN Vancouver-West End NDP safe V-WE Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe V-LM Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe V-KEN New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe NWCQ Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe V-PG Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe VI-SL Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe ESQC Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe OAKB Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe BU-NW North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe NCHG Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe V-FRV Saanich South NDP safe SAAS Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP safe NAGA North Vancouver-Seymour NDP safe NVSM Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely POWR Port Coquitlam NDP likely POCQ Langford-Highlands NDP likely LFHL Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP likely VI-BH Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP likely NALA Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely KOOM Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely CQMA Burnaby Centre NDP likely BU-C Delta North NDP likely DELN Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely PMBQ Burnaby East NDP likely BU-E Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP likely MIPR Burnaby North NDP likely BU-N Kootenay Central NDP likely KOOC Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP likely MAPP Ladysmith-Oceanside NDP leaning LADY Surrey-Newton NDP leaning SU-NW Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP leaning BU-SM Vancouver-Yaletown NDP leaning V-YAL Surrey-Fleetwood NDP leaning SU-FL Cowichan Valley NDP leaning COWV Richmond-Steveston Toss up RCHS Vancouver-Langara Toss up V-LAN Vernon-Lumby Toss up VERL Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up CQBM Surrey City Centre Toss up SU-CC Juan de Fuca-Malahat Toss up JUAN Surrey-Guildford Toss up SU-GF Kelowna Centre Toss up KWCE Maple Ridge East Toss up MAPE Courtenay-Comox Toss up COCO Penticton-Summerland Toss up PENT Surrey-Panorama Toss up SU-PA Surrey-Serpentine River Toss up SU-SR North Island Toss up NOIS Surrey-Cloverdale Toss up SU-CL Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC leaning CORR Langley-Willowbrook CPBC leaning LGWI Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC leaning LGWG Skeena CPBC leaning SKEE Saanich North and the Islands GRN leaning SAAN Boundary-Similkameen CPBC leaning BOMI Richmond-Queensborough CPBC leaning RCHQ Surrey North CPBC leaning SU-N Surrey-White Rock CPBC leaning SU-WR Kamloops Centre CPBC likely KAMC Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC likely CHIC Delta South CPBC likely DELS Abbotsford-Mission CPBC likely ABBM Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC likely BULK Vancouver-Quilchena CPBC likely V-QUI Richmond Centre CPBC likely RCHC Surrey South CPBC likely SU-S Chilliwack North CPBC likely CHIN Fraser-Nicola CPBC likely FRNI West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up WV-SS Prince George-Valemount CPBC safe PGVA Abbotsford West CPBC safe ABBW Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC safe KWLC Kelowna-Mission CPBC safe KWMI Richmond-Bridgeport CPBC safe RCHB Langley-Abbotsford CPBC safe LGAB Abbotsford South CPBC safe ABBS Kamloops-North Thompson CPBC safe KAMN Salmon Arm-Shuswap CPBC safe SSHU Cariboo-Chilcotin CPBC safe CARI Prince George-Mackenzie CPBC safe PGMA West Kelowna-Peachland CPBC safe WKWP Nechako Lakes CPBC safe NECH West Vancouver-Capilano CPBC safe WV-CA Kootenay-Rockies CPBC likely KOOR Prince George-North Cariboo CPBC safe PGNC Peace River South CPBC safe PR-S Peace River North CPBC safe PR-N V-STR NVLO V-SG V-HAS V-REN V-WE V-LM V-KEN NWCQ V-PG VI-SL ESQC OAKB BU-NW NCHG V-FRV SAAS NAGA NVSM POWR POCQ LFHL VI-BH NALA KOOM CQMA BU-C DELN PMBQ BU-E MIPR BU-N KOOC MAPP LADY SU-NW BU-SM V-YAL SU-FL COWV RCHS V-LAN VERL CQBM SU-CC JUAN SU-GF KWCE MAPE COCO PENT SU-PA SU-SR NOIS SU-CL CORR LGWI LGWG SKEE SAAN BOMI RCHQ SU-N SU-WR KAMC CHIC DELS ABBM BULK V-QUI RCHC SU-S CHIN FRNI WV-SS PGVA ABBW KWLC KWMI RCHB LGAB ABBS KAMN SSHU CARI PGMA WKWP NECH WV-CA KOOR PGNC PR-S PR-N 338Canada British Columbia Projection Latest update: February 9, 2025 44 CPBC [30-56] NDP 47 [36-61]


Latest update: February 9, 2025

47 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2024)
19 15 6 7 47
[36-61]
47
17 11 8 8 44
[30-56]
44
0 0 1 1 2
[0-3]
2

List of all 93 electoral districts | British Columbia


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Abbotsford South CPBC safe
002 Abbotsford West CPBC safe
003 Abbotsford-Mission CPBC likely
004 Boundary-Similkameen CPBC leaning
005 Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC likely
006 Burnaby Centre NDP likely
007 Burnaby East NDP likely
008 Burnaby North NDP likely
009 Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP leaning
010 Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe
011 Cariboo-Chilcotin CPBC safe
012 Chilliwack North CPBC likely
013 Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC likely
014 Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC leaning
015 Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up
016 Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely
017 Courtenay-Comox Toss up
018 Cowichan Valley NDP leaning
019 Delta North NDP likely
020 Delta South CPBC likely
021 Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe
022 Fraser-Nicola CPBC likely
023 Juan de Fuca-Malahat Toss up
024 Kamloops Centre CPBC likely
025 Kamloops-North Thompson CPBC safe
026 Kelowna Centre Toss up
027 Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC safe
028 Kelowna-Mission CPBC safe
029 Kootenay Central NDP likely
030 Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely
031 Kootenay-Rockies CPBC likely
032 Ladysmith-Oceanside NDP leaning
033 Langford-Highlands NDP likely
034 Langley-Abbotsford CPBC safe
035 Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC leaning
036 Langley-Willowbrook CPBC leaning
037 Maple Ridge East Toss up
038 Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP likely
039 Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP likely
040 Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP safe
041 Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP likely
042 Nechako Lakes CPBC safe
043 New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe
044 North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe
045 North Island Toss up
046 North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe
047 North Vancouver-Seymour NDP safe
048 Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe
049 Peace River North CPBC safe
050 Peace River South CPBC safe
051 Penticton-Summerland Toss up
052 Port Coquitlam NDP likely
053 Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely
054 Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely
055 Prince George-Mackenzie CPBC safe
056 Prince George-North Cariboo CPBC safe
057 Prince George-Valemount CPBC safe
058 Richmond Centre CPBC likely
059 Richmond-Bridgeport CPBC safe
060 Richmond-Queensborough CPBC leaning
061 Richmond-Steveston Toss up
062 Saanich North and the Islands GRN leaning
063 Saanich South NDP safe
064 Salmon Arm-Shuswap CPBC safe
065 Skeena CPBC leaning
066 Surrey City Centre Toss up
067 Surrey North CPBC leaning
068 Surrey South CPBC likely
069 Surrey-Cloverdale Toss up
070 Surrey-Fleetwood NDP leaning
071 Surrey-Guildford Toss up
072 Surrey-Newton NDP leaning
073 Surrey-Panorama Toss up
074 Surrey-Serpentine River Toss up
075 Surrey-White Rock CPBC leaning
076 Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe
077 Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe
078 Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe
079 Vancouver-Langara Toss up
080 Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe
081 Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe
082 Vancouver-Quilchena CPBC likely
083 Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe
084 Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe
085 Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe
086 Vancouver-West End NDP safe
087 Vancouver-Yaletown NDP leaning
088 Vernon-Lumby Toss up
089 Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP likely
090 Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe
091 West Kelowna-Peachland CPBC safe
092 West Vancouver-Capilano CPBC safe
093 West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up