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Skeena

Latest update: February 18, 2026
C
MLA: Claire Rattée
Conservative Party of BC
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Recent electoral history | Skeena


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 46% ± 9% 0.0% 0.0% 51.2% NDP 43% ± 9% 43.3% 44.5% 44.4% BCG 6% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% ONE 3% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 52.2% 52.1% 0.0%

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338Canada Skeena projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Skeena 37% 55% 46% ± 9% ▼ CPBC 34% 52% 43% ± 9% ▼ NDP 1% 10% 6% ± 5% ▲ BCG CPBC 2024 51.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Skeena 63%▼ CPBC 37%▲ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Skeena

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 46% ± 9% NDP 43% ± 9% BCG 6% ± 5% ONE 3% ± 4% CEN 2% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Skeena 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 37% BCU 29% CPBC 29% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 35% CPBC 34% BCU 25% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 38% NDP 36% BCU 22% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 37% CPBC 36% BCU 23% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 38% CPBC 36% BCU 21% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 39% NDP 37% BCU 19% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 40% NDP 37% BCU 18% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 41% NDP 38% BCU 18% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 55% NDP 41% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 56% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 56% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 56% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 56% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 56% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 56% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 57% NDP 43% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 56% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 55% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 55% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 54% NDP 44% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 55% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 55% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 54% NDP 44% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 54% NDP 44% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 54% NDP 44% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 54% NDP 44% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 54% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 55% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 55% NDP 43% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 55% NDP 42% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 52% NDP 44% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 51% NDP 45% BCG 3% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 52% NDP 44% BCG 3% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 49% NDP 44% BCG 4% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 49% NDP 44% BCG 4% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 47% NDP 44% BCG 4% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 46% NDP 43% BCG 6% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Skeena

BCU <1% CPBC 63% NDP 37% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 92% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 92% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 93% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 98% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 79% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 56% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 63% NDP 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 62% NDP 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 81% NDP 19% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 78% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 81% NDP 19% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 71% NDP 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 63% NDP 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-27