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Recent electoral history | North Island


2017 2020 2024 2026 Projection CPBC 48% ± 0% 0.0% 6.0% 47.1% 48.0% NDP 43% ± 0% 47.5% 50.8% 44.9% 42.7% BCG 8% ± 0% 14.9% 19.3% 8.0% 7.9% BCU 0% ± 0% 35.5% 24.0% 0.0% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Anna Kindy
NDP Sara Lopez
BCG Benjamin Olsson
Independent Richard Lambert
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

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338Canada North Island projection

Latest update: October 25, 2026

North Island 48% 48% 48% ± 0% ▲ CPBC 43% 43% 43% ± 0% ▲ NDP 8% 8% 8% ± 0% ▼ BCG CPBC 2024 48.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 25, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% North Island 93%▲ CPBC 7%▼ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 25, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | North Island

Odds of winning | North Island