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Recent electoral history | North Island


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 43% ± 7% 0.0% 6.0% 47.1% NDP 41% ± 7% 47.5% 50.8% 44.9% BCG 11% ± 5% 14.9% 19.3% 8.0% ONE 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 35.5% 24.0% 0.0%

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338Canada North Island projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

North Island 36% 50% 43% ± 7% CPBC 34% 48% 41% ± 7% NDP 6% 16% 11% ± 5% BCG CPBC 2024 47.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% North Island 68%▲ CPBC 32%▼ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | North Island

Odds of winning | North Island