BC New Democratic Party
Last update: February 11, 2023
| Leader | David Eby |
| Popular vote in 2020 | 47.7% |
| Current vote projection | 45.0% ± 5.6% |
| Current number of MP's | 57 |
| Current seat projection | 55 [44-65] |
Vote projection | February 11, 2023
Seat projection | February 11, 2023
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC New Democratic Party
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | North Coast | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 2. | Surrey-Whalley | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 3. | Langford-Juan de Fuca | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 4. | Vancouver-Kingsway | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 5. | Vancouver-Mount Pleasant | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 6. | Port Coquitlam | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 7. | Burnaby-Edmonds | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 8. | Coquitlam-Maillardville | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 9. | Vancouver-West End | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 10. | Esquimalt-Metchosin | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 11. | Burnaby-Lougheed | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 12. | Vancouver-Hastings | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 13. | Vancouver-Kensington | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 14. | Kootenay West | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 15. | Mid Island-Pacific Rim | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 16. | New Westminster | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 17. | Saanich South | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 18. | Nanaimo | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 19. | North Island | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 20. | North Vancouver-Lonsdale | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 21. | Vancouver-Fairview | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 22. | Surrey-Newton | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 23. | Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 24. | Victoria-Swan Lake | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 25. | Surrey-Fleetwood | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 26. | Surrey-Guildford | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 27. | Burnaby North | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 28. | Maple Ridge-Mission | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 29. | Courtenay-Comox | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 30. | Oak Bay-Gordon Head | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 31. | Burnaby-Deer Lake | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 32. | Coquitlam-Burke Mountain | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 33. | Victoria-Beacon Hill | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 34. | Port Moody-Coquitlam | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 35. | Delta North | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 36. | Stikine | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 37. | Vancouver-Point Grey | |
NDP likely | 99% |
| 38. | Vancouver-Fraserview | |
NDP likely | 99% |
| 39. | Nanaimo-North Cowichan | |
NDP likely | 98% |
| 40. | North Vancouver-Seymour | |
NDP likely | 97% |
| 41. | Powell River-Sunshine Coast | |
NDP likely | 97% |
| 42. | Surrey-Cloverdale | |
NDP likely | 96% |
| 43. | Langley | |
NDP likely | 96% |
| 44. | Surrey-Green Timbers | |
NDP likely | 96% |
| 45. | Chilliwack | |
NDP likely | 93% |
| 46. | Langley East | |
NDP leaning | 88% |
| 47. | Boundary-Similkameen | |
NDP leaning | 83% |
| 48. | Parksville-Qualicum | |
NDP leaning | 82% |
| 49. | Surrey-Panorama | |
NDP leaning | 81% |
| 50. | Nelson-Creston | |
NDP leaning | 79% |
| 51. | Chilliwack-Kent | |
NDP leaning | 79% |
| 52. | Vancouver-False Creek | |
NDP leaning | 78% |
| 53. | Richmond-Queensborough | |
Toss up | 69% |
| 54. | Richmond-Steveston | |
Toss up | 65% |
| 55. | Abbotsford-Mission | |
Toss up | 64% |
| 56. | Fraser-Nicola |  |
Toss up | 46% |
| 57. | Richmond South Centre | |
Toss up | 42% |
| 58. | Vernon-Monashee | |
BCU leaning | 29% |
| 59. | Kamloops-North Thompson | |
BCU leaning | 21% |
| 60. | Cowichan Valley |  |
GRN leaning | 20% |
| 61. | Surrey-White Rock | |
BCU leaning | 16% |
| 62. | Abbotsford South | |
BCU leaning | 16% |
| 63. | Skeena | |
BCU leaning | 12% |
| 64. | Abbotsford West | |
BCU leaning | 11% |
| 65. | Vancouver-Langara | |
BCU likely | 9% |
| 66. | Columbia River-Revelstoke | |
BCU likely | 7% |
| 67. | Surrey South | |
BCU likely | 7% |
| 68. | Richmond North Centre | |
BCU likely | 3% |
| 69. | Penticton | |
BCU likely | 3% |
| 70. | Cariboo North | |
BCU likely | 1% |
| 71. | Nechako Lakes |  |
BCU likely | 1% |
| 72. | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | |
Toss up | 1% |