338Canada.com British Columbia - BC New Democratic Party





Last update: December 12, 2020

LeaderJohn Horgan
Popular vote in 20201.9%
Current vote projection47.8% ± 5.6%
Current number of MP's57
Current seat projection57 ± 10



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the BC New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. North Coast NDP safe >99%
2. Surrey-Whalley NDP safe >99%
3. Langford-Juan de Fuca NDP safe >99%
4. Vancouver-Kingsway NDP safe >99%
5. Vancouver-Mount Pleasant NDP safe >99%
6. Port Coquitlam NDP safe >99%
7. Surrey-Newton NDP safe >99%
8. Vancouver-West End NDP safe >99%
9. Burnaby-Edmonds NDP safe >99%
10. Kootenay West NDP safe >99%
11. Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe >99%
12. Burnaby-Lougheed NDP safe >99%
13. New Westminster NDP safe >99%
14. Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe >99%
15. North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe >99%
16. Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP safe >99%
17. Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe >99%
18. Esquimalt-Metchosin NDP safe >99%
19. Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP safe >99%
20. Burnaby North NDP safe >99%
21. Vancouver-Fairview NDP safe >99%
22. Saanich South NDP safe >99%
23. Nanaimo NDP safe >99%
24. North Island NDP safe >99%
25. Surrey-Guildford NDP safe >99%
26. Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe >99%
27. Surrey-Fleetwood NDP safe >99%
28. Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP safe >99%
29. Burnaby-Deer Lake NDP safe >99%
30. Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP safe >99%
31. Port Moody-Coquitlam NDP safe >99%
32. Delta North NDP safe >99%
33. Courtenay-Comox NDP safe >99%
34. Stikine NDP safe >99%
35. Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe >99%
36. Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe >99%
37. Maple Ridge-Mission NDP safe >99%
38. Nanaimo-North Cowichan NDP safe >99%
39. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain NDP likely 99%
40. Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely 99%
41. Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely 99%
42. Surrey-Green Timbers NDP likely 99%
43. Chilliwack NDP likely 98%
44. Langley NDP likely 97%
45. Boundary-Similkameen NDP likely 96%
46. North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely 94%
47. Surrey-Panorama NDP likely 93%
48. Langley East NDP likely 92%
49. Vancouver-False Creek NDP likely 91%
50. Nelson-Creston NDP leaning 90%
51. Richmond-Queensborough NDP leaning 87%
52. Parksville-Qualicum NDP leaning 84%
53. Chilliwack-Kent NDP leaning 79%
54. Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning 78%
55. Abbotsford-Mission Toss up 67%
56. Vernon-Monashee Toss up 60%
57. Richmond South Centre Toss up 57%
58. Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up 45%
59. Surrey-White Rock Toss up 45%
60. Fraser-Nicola Toss up 40%
61. Cowichan Valley Toss up 32%
62. Surrey South LIB leaning 29%
63. Skeena LIB leaning 20%
64. Vancouver-Langara LIB leaning 18%
65. Columbia River-Revelstoke LIB leaning 13%
66. Abbotsford West LIB leaning 10%
67. Abbotsford South LIB likely 9%
68. Penticton LIB likely 7%
69. Richmond North Centre LIB likely 7%
70. Cariboo North LIB likely 4%
71. Nechako Lakes LIB likely 2%
72. Prince George-Mackenzie LIB likely 1%
73. Kelowna West LIB likely 1%
74. Delta South LIB likely <1%
75. Shuswap LIB likely <1%
76. Cariboo-Chilcotin LIB likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. North Coast NDP safe
2. Surrey-Whalley NDP safe
3. Langford-Juan de Fuca NDP safe
4. Vancouver-Kingsway NDP safe
5. Vancouver-Mount Pleasant NDP safe
6. Port Coquitlam NDP safe
7. Surrey-Newton NDP safe
8. Vancouver-West End NDP safe
9. Burnaby-Edmonds NDP safe
10. Kootenay West NDP safe
11. Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe
12. Burnaby-Lougheed NDP safe
13. New Westminster NDP safe
14. Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe
15. North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe
16. Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP safe
17. Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe
18. Esquimalt-Metchosin NDP safe
19. Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP safe
20. Burnaby North NDP safe
21. Vancouver-Fairview NDP safe
22. Saanich South NDP safe
23. Nanaimo NDP safe
24. North Island NDP safe
25. Surrey-Guildford NDP safe
26. Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe
27. Surrey-Fleetwood NDP safe
28. Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP safe
29. Burnaby-Deer Lake NDP safe
30. Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP safe
31. Port Moody-Coquitlam NDP safe
32. Delta North NDP safe
33. Courtenay-Comox NDP safe
34. Stikine NDP safe
35. Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe
36. Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe
37. Maple Ridge-Mission NDP safe
38. Nanaimo-North Cowichan NDP safe
39. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain NDP likely
40. Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely
41. Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely
42. Surrey-Green Timbers NDP likely
43. Chilliwack NDP likely
44. Langley NDP likely
45. Boundary-Similkameen NDP likely
46. North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely
47. Surrey-Panorama NDP likely
48. Langley East NDP likely
49. Vancouver-False Creek NDP likely
50. Nelson-Creston NDP leaning
51. Richmond-Queensborough NDP leaning
52. Parksville-Qualicum NDP leaning
53. Chilliwack-Kent NDP leaning
54. Richmond-Steveston NDP leaning
55. Abbotsford-Mission Toss up
56. Vernon-Monashee Toss up
57. Richmond South Centre Toss up
58. Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up
59. Surrey-White Rock Toss up
60. Fraser-Nicola Toss up
61. Cowichan Valley Toss up
62. Surrey South LIB leaning
63. Skeena LIB leaning
64. Vancouver-Langara LIB leaning
65. Columbia River-Revelstoke LIB leaning
66. Abbotsford West LIB leaning
67. Abbotsford South LIB likely
68. Penticton LIB likely
69. Richmond North Centre LIB likely
70. Cariboo North LIB likely
71. Nechako Lakes LIB likely
72. Prince George-Mackenzie LIB likely
73. Kelowna West LIB likely
74. Delta South LIB likely
75. Shuswap LIB likely
76. Cariboo-Chilcotin LIB likely



338Canada.com © 2016-2020