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Last update: December 12, 2020
Leader | John Horgan |
Popular vote in 2020 | 1.9% |
Current vote projection | 47.8% ± 5.6% |
Current number of MP's | 57 |
Current seat projection | 57 ± 10 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the BC New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | North Coast | NDP safe | >99% | |
2. | Surrey-Whalley | NDP safe | >99% | |
3. | Langford-Juan de Fuca | NDP safe | >99% | |
4. | Vancouver-Kingsway | NDP safe | >99% | |
5. | Vancouver-Mount Pleasant | NDP safe | >99% | |
6. | Port Coquitlam | NDP safe | >99% | |
7. | Surrey-Newton | NDP safe | >99% | |
8. | Vancouver-West End | NDP safe | >99% | |
9. | Burnaby-Edmonds | NDP safe | >99% | |
10. | Kootenay West | NDP safe | >99% | |
11. | Vancouver-Hastings | NDP safe | >99% | |
12. | Burnaby-Lougheed | NDP safe | >99% | |
13. | New Westminster | NDP safe | >99% | |
14. | Vancouver-Kensington | NDP safe | >99% | |
15. | North Vancouver-Lonsdale | NDP safe | >99% | |
16. | Coquitlam-Maillardville | NDP safe | >99% | |
17. | Victoria-Swan Lake | NDP safe | >99% | |
18. | Esquimalt-Metchosin | NDP safe | >99% | |
19. | Mid Island-Pacific Rim | NDP safe | >99% | |
20. | Burnaby North | NDP safe | >99% | |
21. | Vancouver-Fairview | NDP safe | >99% | |
22. | Saanich South | NDP safe | >99% | |
23. | Nanaimo | NDP safe | >99% | |
24. | North Island | NDP safe | >99% | |
25. | Surrey-Guildford | NDP safe | >99% | |
26. | Oak Bay-Gordon Head | NDP safe | >99% | |
27. | Surrey-Fleetwood | NDP safe | >99% | |
28. | Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows | NDP safe | >99% | |
29. | Burnaby-Deer Lake | NDP safe | >99% | |
30. | Victoria-Beacon Hill | NDP safe | >99% | |
31. | Port Moody-Coquitlam | NDP safe | >99% | |
32. | Delta North | NDP safe | >99% | |
33. | Courtenay-Comox | NDP safe | >99% | |
34. | Stikine | NDP safe | >99% | |
35. | Vancouver-Fraserview | NDP safe | >99% | |
36. | Vancouver-Point Grey | NDP safe | >99% | |
37. | Maple Ridge-Mission | NDP safe | >99% | |
38. | Nanaimo-North Cowichan | NDP safe | >99% | |
39. | Coquitlam-Burke Mountain | NDP likely | 99% | |
40. | Surrey-Cloverdale | NDP likely | 99% | |
41. | Powell River-Sunshine Coast | NDP likely | 99% | |
42. | Surrey-Green Timbers | NDP likely | 99% | |
43. | Chilliwack | NDP likely | 98% | |
44. | Langley | NDP likely | 97% | |
45. | Boundary-Similkameen | NDP likely | 96% | |
46. | North Vancouver-Seymour | NDP likely | 94% | |
47. | Surrey-Panorama | NDP likely | 93% | |
48. | Langley East | NDP likely | 92% | |
49. | Vancouver-False Creek | NDP likely | 91% | |
50. | Nelson-Creston | NDP leaning | 90% | |
51. | Richmond-Queensborough | NDP leaning | 87% | |
52. | Parksville-Qualicum | NDP leaning | 84% | |
53. | Chilliwack-Kent | NDP leaning | 79% | |
54. | Richmond-Steveston | NDP leaning | 78% | |
55. | Abbotsford-Mission | Toss up | 67% | |
56. | Vernon-Monashee | Toss up | 60% | |
57. | Richmond South Centre | Toss up | 57% | |
58. | Kamloops-North Thompson | Toss up | 45% | |
59. | Surrey-White Rock | Toss up | 45% | |
60. | Fraser-Nicola | Toss up | 40% | |
61. | Cowichan Valley | Toss up | 32% | |
62. | Surrey South | LIB leaning | 29% | |
63. | Skeena | LIB leaning | 20% | |
64. | Vancouver-Langara | LIB leaning | 18% | |
65. | Columbia River-Revelstoke | LIB leaning | 13% | |
66. | Abbotsford West | LIB leaning | 10% | |
67. | Abbotsford South | LIB likely | 9% | |
68. | Penticton | LIB likely | 7% | |
69. | Richmond North Centre | LIB likely | 7% | |
70. | Cariboo North | LIB likely | 4% | |
71. | Nechako Lakes | LIB likely | 2% | |
72. | Prince George-Mackenzie | LIB likely | 1% | |
73. | Kelowna West | LIB likely | 1% | |
74. | Delta South | LIB likely | <1% | |
75. | Shuswap | LIB likely | <1% | |
76. | Cariboo-Chilcotin | LIB likely | <1% |