BC New Democratic Party
Last update: February 11, 2023
Leader | David Eby |
Popular vote in 2020 | 47.7% |
Current vote projection | 45.0% ± 5.6% |
Current number of MP's | 57 |
Current seat projection | 55 [44-65] |
Vote projection | February 11, 2023
Seat projection | February 11, 2023
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC New Democratic Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | North Coast | NDP safe | >99% | |
2. | Surrey-Whalley | NDP safe | >99% | |
3. | Langford-Juan de Fuca | NDP safe | >99% | |
4. | Vancouver-Kingsway | NDP safe | >99% | |
5. | Vancouver-Mount Pleasant | NDP safe | >99% | |
6. | Port Coquitlam | NDP safe | >99% | |
7. | Burnaby-Edmonds | NDP safe | >99% | |
8. | Coquitlam-Maillardville | NDP safe | >99% | |
9. | Vancouver-West End | NDP safe | >99% | |
10. | Esquimalt-Metchosin | NDP safe | >99% | |
11. | Burnaby-Lougheed | NDP safe | >99% | |
12. | Vancouver-Hastings | NDP safe | >99% | |
13. | Vancouver-Kensington | NDP safe | >99% | |
14. | Kootenay West | NDP safe | >99% | |
15. | Mid Island-Pacific Rim | NDP safe | >99% | |
16. | New Westminster | NDP safe | >99% | |
17. | Saanich South | NDP safe | >99% | |
18. | Nanaimo | NDP safe | >99% | |
19. | North Island | NDP safe | >99% | |
20. | North Vancouver-Lonsdale | NDP safe | >99% | |
21. | Vancouver-Fairview | NDP safe | >99% | |
22. | Surrey-Newton | NDP safe | >99% | |
23. | Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows | NDP safe | >99% | |
24. | Victoria-Swan Lake | NDP safe | >99% | |
25. | Surrey-Fleetwood | NDP safe | >99% | |
26. | Surrey-Guildford | NDP safe | >99% | |
27. | Burnaby North | NDP safe | >99% | |
28. | Maple Ridge-Mission | NDP safe | >99% | |
29. | Courtenay-Comox | NDP safe | >99% | |
30. | Oak Bay-Gordon Head | NDP safe | >99% | |
31. | Burnaby-Deer Lake | NDP safe | >99% | |
32. | Coquitlam-Burke Mountain | NDP safe | >99% | |
33. | Victoria-Beacon Hill | NDP safe | >99% | |
34. | Port Moody-Coquitlam | NDP safe | >99% | |
35. | Delta North | NDP safe | >99% | |
36. | Stikine | NDP safe | >99% | |
37. | Vancouver-Point Grey | NDP likely | 99% | |
38. | Vancouver-Fraserview | NDP likely | 99% | |
39. | Nanaimo-North Cowichan | NDP likely | 98% | |
40. | North Vancouver-Seymour | NDP likely | 97% | |
41. | Powell River-Sunshine Coast | NDP likely | 97% | |
42. | Surrey-Cloverdale | NDP likely | 96% | |
43. | Langley | NDP likely | 96% | |
44. | Surrey-Green Timbers | NDP likely | 96% | |
45. | Chilliwack | NDP likely | 93% | |
46. | Langley East | NDP leaning | 88% | |
47. | Boundary-Similkameen | NDP leaning | 83% | |
48. | Parksville-Qualicum | NDP leaning | 82% | |
49. | Surrey-Panorama | NDP leaning | 81% | |
50. | Nelson-Creston | NDP leaning | 79% | |
51. | Chilliwack-Kent | NDP leaning | 79% | |
52. | Vancouver-False Creek | NDP leaning | 78% | |
53. | Richmond-Queensborough | Toss up | 69% | |
54. | Richmond-Steveston | Toss up | 65% | |
55. | Abbotsford-Mission | Toss up | 64% | |
56. | Fraser-Nicola | Toss up | 46% | |
57. | Richmond South Centre | Toss up | 42% | |
58. | Vernon-Monashee | BCU leaning | 29% | |
59. | Kamloops-North Thompson | BCU leaning | 21% | |
60. | Cowichan Valley | GRN leaning | 20% | |
61. | Surrey-White Rock | BCU leaning | 16% | |
62. | Abbotsford South | BCU leaning | 16% | |
63. | Skeena | BCU leaning | 12% | |
64. | Abbotsford West | BCU leaning | 11% | |
65. | Vancouver-Langara | BCU likely | 9% | |
66. | Columbia River-Revelstoke | BCU likely | 7% | |
67. | Surrey South | BCU likely | 7% | |
68. | Richmond North Centre | BCU likely | 3% | |
69. | Penticton | BCU likely | 3% | |
70. | Cariboo North | BCU likely | 1% | |
71. | Nechako Lakes | ![]() |
BCU likely | 1% |
72. | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | Toss up | 1% |