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British columbia

BC New Democratic Party





Last update: September 13, 2025

LeaderDavid Eby
Popular vote in 202444.9%
Current vote projection44.5% ± 5.3%
Current seat projection45 [30-64]

Vote projection | September 13, 2025

32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% 55% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 39.1% ▼ 44.5% ± 5.3% ▼ 2020 47.7% Max. 49.8% ▼ Probabilities % NDP

Seat projection | September 13, 2025

9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 3% 2% 1% Min. 30 ▼ 45 ▼ Majority 47 seats 2020 57 seats Max. 64 ▼ Probabilities % NDP

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe >99%
2. North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe >99%
3. Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe >99%
4. Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe >99%
5. Vancouver-West End NDP safe >99%
6. New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe >99%
7. Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe >99%
8. Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe >99%
9. Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe >99%
10. Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe >99%
11. Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe >99%
12. Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe >99%
13. Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe >99%
14. Vancouver-Point Grey NDP likely >99%
15. North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP likely >99%
16. Saanich South NDP likely >99%
17. Vancouver-Fraserview NDP likely >99%
18. Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP likely 99%
19. North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely 99%
20. Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP likely 98%
21. Port Coquitlam NDP likely 98%
22. Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP likely 97%
23. Langford-Highlands NDP likely 97%
24. Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely 95%
25. Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP likely 95%
26. Burnaby Centre NDP likely 95%
27. Delta North NDP likely 94%
28. Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely 94%
29. Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely 93%
30. Burnaby East NDP likely 92%
31. Kootenay Central NDP leaning 88%
32. Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP leaning 88%
33. Burnaby North NDP leaning 88%
34. Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP leaning 87%
35. Surrey-Newton NDP leaning 81%
36. Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP leaning 81%
37. Ladysmith-Oceanside NDP leaning 81%
38. Vancouver-Yaletown NDP leaning 76%
39. Surrey-Fleetwood Toss up 64%
40. Cowichan Valley Toss up 64%
41. Vancouver-Langara Toss up 58%
42. Richmond-Steveston Toss up 57%
43. Vernon-Lumby Toss up 56%
44. Surrey City Centre Toss up 54%
45. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up 54%
46. Juan de Fuca-Malahat Toss up 49%
47. Surrey-Guildford Toss up 46%
48. Kelowna Centre Toss up 45%
49. Courtenay-Comox Toss up 43%
50. Maple Ridge East Toss up 43%
51. Penticton-Summerland Toss up 39%
52. Surrey-Panorama Toss up 39%
53. Surrey-Serpentine River Toss up 35%
54. North Island Toss up 34%
55. Surrey-Cloverdale Toss up 32%
56. Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC leaning 28%
57. Langley-Willowbrook CPBC leaning 27%
58. Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC leaning 23%
59. Saanich North and the Islands GRN leaning 19%
60. Skeena CPBC leaning 19%
61. Boundary-Similkameen CPBC leaning 18%
62. Richmond-Queensborough CPBC leaning 17%
63. Surrey North CPBC leaning 15%
64. Surrey-White Rock CPBC leaning 15%
65. Vancouver-Quilchena CPBC leaning 13%
66. Kamloops Centre CPBC leaning 11%
67. Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC leaning 10%
68. Delta South CPBC likely 8%
69. Abbotsford-Mission CPBC likely 7%
70. Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC likely 5%
71. Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC likely 3%
72. Richmond Centre CPBC likely 2%
73. Surrey South CPBC likely 1%
74. Chilliwack North CPBC likely 1%
75. Fraser-Nicola CPBC likely 1%