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British columbia

BC New Democratic Party





Last update: November 10, 2024

LeaderDavid Eby
Popular vote in 202444.9%
Current vote projection44.9% ± 0.0%
Current seat projection47 [47-47]

Vote projection | November 10, 2024

45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Probabilities % NDP

Seat projection | November 10, 2024

48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 20% 15% 10% 5% Probabilities % NDP

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | BC New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe >99%
2. North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe >99%
3. Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe >99%
4. Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe >99%
5. Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe >99%
6. Vancouver-West End NDP safe >99%
7. Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe >99%
8. Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe >99%
9. Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe >99%
10. New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP safe >99%
11. Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe >99%
12. Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe >99%
13. Victoria-Swan Lake NDP safe >99%
14. Nanaimo-Gabriola Island NDP safe >99%
15. North Vancouver-Seymour NDP safe >99%
16. Esquimalt-Colwood NDP safe >99%
17. Saanich South NDP safe >99%
18. Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP safe >99%
19. Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP safe >99%
20. Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP safe >99%
21. North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe >99%
22. Port Coquitlam NDP safe >99%
23. Langford-Highlands NDP safe >99%
24. Nanaimo-Lantzville NDP safe >99%
25. Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely >99%
26. Kootenay-Monashee NDP likely >99%
27. Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely >99%
28. Burnaby Centre NDP likely >99%
29. Delta North NDP likely >99%
30. Mid Island-Pacific Rim NDP likely 99%
31. Burnaby East NDP likely 99%
32. Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP likely 99%
33. Burnaby North NDP likely 99%
34. Kootenay Central NDP likely 98%
35. Ladysmith-Oceanside NDP likely 97%
36. Surrey-Newton NDP likely 94%
37. Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP likely 93%
38. Vancouver-Yaletown NDP likely 91%
39. Cowichan Valley NDP leaning 80%
40. Surrey-Fleetwood NDP leaning 79%
41. Richmond-Steveston Toss up 69%
42. Vancouver-Langara Toss up 69%
43. Vernon-Lumby Toss up 68%
44. Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up 64%
45. Surrey City Centre Toss up 62%
46. Juan de Fuca-Malahat Toss up 56%
47. Surrey-Guildford Toss up 51%
48. Kelowna Centre Toss up 48%
49. Courtenay-Comox Toss up 47%
50. Maple Ridge East Toss up 46%
51. Surrey-Panorama Toss up 38%
52. Penticton-Summerland Toss up 38%
53. Surrey-Serpentine River Toss up 32%
54. North Island CPBC leaning 28%
55. Surrey-Cloverdale CPBC leaning 27%
56. Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC leaning 22%
57. Langley-Willowbrook CPBC leaning 19%
58. Skeena CPBC leaning 13%
59. Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC leaning 13%
60. Saanich North and the Islands GRN leaning 9%
61. Boundary-Similkameen CPBC likely 8%
62. Surrey North CPBC likely 8%
63. Richmond-Queensborough CPBC likely 7%
64. Surrey-White Rock CPBC likely 4%
65. Kamloops Centre CPBC likely 2%
66. Bulkley Valley-Stikine CPBC likely 2%
67. Chilliwack-Cultus Lake CPBC likely 2%
68. Delta South CPBC likely 1%
69. Abbotsford-Mission CPBC likely 1%