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BC Conservative Party

Latest update: September 20, 2026
LeaderKerry-Lyne Findlay
Popular vote in 202443.3%
Current vote projection39.7% ± 4.1%
Current seat projection36 [24-49]

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Vote projection | September 20, 2026

30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 35.5% 39.7% ± 4.1% Max. 43.8% Probabilities % CPBC

Seat projection | September 20, 2026

9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 24 36 Majority 47 seats Max. 49 Probabilities % CPBC

List of favourable electoral districts | BC Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Jordan Kealy
I CPBC safe
2.
Larry Neufeld
C CPBC safe
3.
Lorne Doerkson
C CPBC safe
4.
John Rustad
I CPBC safe
5. C CPBC safe
6. C CPBC safe
7.
Macklin McCall
C CPBC safe
8.
Pete Davis
C CPBC safe
9.
David L. Williams
C CPBC safe
10. C CPBC safe
11.
Gavin Dew
C CPBC safe
12. C CPBC safe
13.
Bruce Banman
I CPBC safe
14. I CPBC likely
15.
Harman Bhangu
C CPBC likely
16.
Teresa Wat
I CPBC likely
17.
Tony Luck
C CPBC likely
18.
Korky Neufeld
C CPBC likely
19. I CPBC likely
20.
Heather Maahs
C CPBC likely
21.
Brent Chapman
C CPBC likely
22.
Sharon L. Hartwell
C CPBC likely
23.
Hon Chan
I CPBC likely
24.
Peter Milobar
I CPBC likely
25.
Donegal Wilson
I CPBC leaning
26.
Claire Rattée
I CPBC leaning
27.
Ian Paton
I CPBC leaning
28. CPBC leaning
29. C CPBC leaning
30.
Dallas Brodie
O CPBC leaning
31.
A’aliya Warbus
C Toss up
32.
Mandeep Dhaliwal
C Toss up
33.
Trevor Halford
I Toss up
34.
Steve Kooner
C Toss up
35.
Amelia Boultbee
N Toss up
36.
Kristina Loewen
C Toss up
37.
Misty Van Popta
C Toss up
38. C Toss up
39.
Elenore Sturko
I Toss up
40.
Harwinder Sandhu
N Toss up
41. C Toss up
42.
Bryan Tepper
C Toss up
43.
Anna Kindy
C NDP leaning
44.
Lawrence Mok
C NDP leaning
45.
Garry Begg
N NDP leaning
46.
Brennan Day
I NDP leaning
47.
Dana Lajeunesse
N NDP leaning
48.
Amna Shah
N NDP leaning
49.
Jodie Wickens
N NDP leaning
50.
Sunita Dhir
N NDP leaning
51.
Kelly Greene
N NDP leaning
52.
Jagrup Brar
N NDP leaning
53.
Debra Toporowski
N NDP likely
54.
Brittny Anderson
N NDP likely
55.
Terry Yung
N NDP likely
56. N NDP likely
57.
Jessie Sunner
N NDP likely
58.
Steve Morissette
N NDP likely
59.
Jeremy Valeriote
G GRN likely
60.
Stephanie Higginson
N NDP likely
61.
Janet Routledge
N NDP likely
62. N NDP likely
63.
Reah Arora
N NDP likely
64.
Josie Osborne
N NDP likely
65.
Rick Glumac
N NDP likely
66.
Ravi Kahlon
N NDP likely
67.
Jennifer Blatherwick
N NDP likely
68.
Anne Kang
N NDP likely
69.
George Anderson
N NDP likely
70. G GRN likely
71.
Ravi Parmar
N NDP safe
72.
Mike Farnworth
N NDP safe
73. N NDP safe
74.
Tamara Davidson
N NDP safe
75.
Lana Popham
N NDP safe
76.
Sheila Malcolmson
N NDP safe