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BC Conservative Party

Latest update: May 6, 2026
LeaderJohn Rustad
Popular vote in 202443.3%
Current vote projection42.8% ± 4.3%
Current seat projection53 [39-64]

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Vote projection | May 6, 2026

33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 38.5% 42.8% ± 4.3% Max. 47.0% Probabilities % CPBC

Seat projection | May 6, 2026

24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 39 Majority 47 seats 53 Max. 64 Probabilities % CPBC

List of favourable electoral districts | BC Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Jordan Kealy [Elected with CP]
I CPBC safe
2.
Larry Neufeld
C CPBC safe
3.
Lorne Doerkson
C CPBC safe
4.
John Rustad
C CPBC safe
5. C CPBC safe
6. C CPBC safe
7.
Bruce Banman
C CPBC safe
8. C CPBC safe
9.
Macklin McCall
C CPBC safe
10.
Korky Neufeld
C CPBC safe
11.
Pete Davis
C CPBC safe
12. C CPBC safe
13.
David L. Williams
C CPBC safe
14.
Gavin Dew
C CPBC safe
15.
Tony Luck
C CPBC safe
16.
Harman Bhangu
C CPBC safe
17. C CPBC safe
18.
Teresa Wat
C CPBC safe
19.
Tara Armstrong [Elected with CP]
I CPBC safe
20.
Heather Maahs
C CPBC safe
21.
Brent Chapman
C CPBC safe
22.
Hon Chan
C CPBC likely
23.
Peter Milobar
C CPBC likely
24.
Sharon L. Hartwell
C CPBC likely
25.
Donegal Wilson
C CPBC likely
26.
Reann Gasper
C CPBC likely
27.
Ian Paton
C CPBC likely
28.
A’aliya Warbus
C CPBC likely
29.
Claire Rattée
C CPBC likely
30.
Dallas Brodie [Elected with CP]
O CPBC likely
31. C CPBC likely
32.
Trevor Halford
C CPBC likely
33.
Steve Kooner
C CPBC likely
34.
Amelia Boultbee
C CPBC likely
35.
Mandeep Dhaliwal
C CPBC likely
36.
Kristina Loewen
C CPBC likely
37.
Misty Van Popta
C CPBC likely
38. C CPBC leaning
39.
Harwinder Sandhu
N CPBC leaning
40.
Elenore Sturko [Elected with CP]
I CPBC leaning
41. C CPBC leaning
42.
Anna Kindy
C CPBC leaning
43.
Bryan Tepper
C CPBC leaning
44.
Brennan Day
C CPBC leaning
45.
Lawrence Mok
C CPBC leaning
46.
Garry Begg
N CPBC leaning
47.
Dana Lajeunesse
N Toss up
48.
Jodie Wickens
N Toss up
49.
Amna Shah
N Toss up
50.
Kelly Greene
N Toss up
51.
Sunita Dhir
N Toss up
52.
Debra Toporowski
N Toss up
53.
Jagrup Brar
N Toss up
54.
Brittny Anderson
N Toss up
55.
Terry Yung
N Toss up
56. N Toss up
57.
Jessie Sunner
N NDP leaning
58.
Stephanie Higginson
N NDP leaning
59.
Steve Morissette
N NDP leaning
60. N NDP leaning
61.
Janet Routledge
N NDP leaning
62.
Josie Osborne
N NDP leaning
63.
Reah Arora
N NDP leaning
64.
Rick Glumac
N NDP leaning
65.
Ravi Kahlon
N NDP leaning
66.
Jennifer Blatherwick
N NDP leaning
67.
Jeremy Valeriote
G GRN likely
68.
Anne Kang
N NDP likely
69.
George Anderson
N NDP likely
70.
Mike Farnworth
N NDP likely
71.
Ravi Parmar
N NDP likely
72. N NDP likely
73. G GRN likely
74. N NDP likely
75.
George Chow
N NDP likely
76.
Sheila Malcolmson
N NDP likely
77.
Lana Popham
N NDP likely
78.
Tamara Davidson
N NDP likely
79. N NDP likely
80. N NDP safe
81.
Diana Gibson
N NDP likely
82.
Darlene Rotchford
N NDP safe
83.
Jennifer Whiteside
N NDP safe
84. N NDP safe
85.
Mable Elmore
N NDP safe
86.
Christine Boyle
N NDP safe