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Metro Vancouver, 36 districts


Latest update: May 10, 2024
Metro Vancouver 46% ± 6%▼ NDP 28% ± 7%▲ BCC 17% ± 5%▼ BCU 7% ± 2%▼ BCG 3% ± 4% OTH 338Canada popular vote projection | May 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Metro Vancouver 30▼ [25-35] NDP 5▲ [0-11] BCC 1▼ [0-4] BCU 0 [0-0] BCG 338Canada seat projection | May 10, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Metro Vancouver

BCU 17% ± 5% BCC 28% ± 7% NDP 46% ± 6% BCG 7% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Metro Vancouver 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG May 10, 2024

Seat projection | Metro Vancouver

BCU 1 [0-4] BCC 5 [0-11] NDP 30 [25-35] Seat projection | Metro Vancouver 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP May 10, 2024

Seat projection | Metro Vancouver


Latest update: May 10, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
22 4 2 2 30 28
0 0 0 5 5 0
0 0 0 1 1 8
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Metro Vancouver


Latest update: May 10, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
006 Burnaby Centre NDP safe
007 Burnaby East NDP safe
008 Burnaby North NDP safe
009 Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP safe
010 Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe
019 Delta North NDP safe
020 Delta South Toss up
052 Port Coquitlam NDP safe
053 Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP likely
058 Richmond Centre NDP leaning
059 Richmond-Bridgeport Toss up
060 Richmond-Queensborough Toss up
061 Richmond-Steveston NDP likely
066 Surrey City Centre NDP safe
067 Surrey North NDP safe
068 Surrey South Toss up
069 Surrey-Cloverdale NDP likely
070 Surrey-Fleetwood NDP safe
071 Surrey-Guildford NDP safe
072 Surrey-Newton NDP safe
073 Surrey-Panorama NDP safe
074 Surrey-Serpentine River NDP likely
075 Surrey-White Rock Toss up
076 Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe
077 Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe
078 Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe
079 Vancouver-Langara NDP leaning
080 Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe
081 Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe
082 Vancouver-Quilchena Toss up
083 Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe
084 Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe
085 Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe
086 Vancouver-West End NDP safe
087 Vancouver-Yaletown Toss up
092 West Vancouver-Capilano Toss up