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British columbia

Metro Vancouver, 36 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
26 2 3 0 31 28.0
0 0 3 1 4 8.0
0 0 0 1 1 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0.0




Projection | Metro Vancouver


Latest update: March 26, 2024
Metro Vancouver 47% ± 6%▼ 23% ± 6%▲ 20% ± 5%▲ 8% ± 2% 3% ± 4%▲ OTH 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Metro Vancouver, 36 districts 32▼ [28-35] 4▲ [0-7] 0 [0-5] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | March 26, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Metro Vancouver

BCU 20% ± 5% BCC 23% ± 6% NDP 47% ± 6% BCG 8% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Metro Vancouver 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Seat projection | Metro Vancouver

BCU 4 [0-7] BCC 1 [0-5] NDP 31 [28-35] Seat projection | Metro Vancouver 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: March 26, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
006 Burnaby Centre NDP safe
007 Burnaby East NDP safe
008 Burnaby North NDP safe
009 Burnaby South-Metrotown NDP safe
010 Burnaby-New Westminster NDP safe
019 Delta North NDP safe
020 Delta South BCU leaning
052 Port Coquitlam NDP safe
053 Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP safe
058 Richmond Centre NDP likely
059 Richmond-Bridgeport NDP leaning
060 Richmond-Queensborough Toss up
061 Richmond-Steveston NDP safe
066 Surrey City Centre NDP safe
067 Surrey North NDP safe
068 Surrey South Toss up
069 Surrey-Cloverdale NDP safe
070 Surrey-Fleetwood NDP safe
071 Surrey-Guildford NDP safe
072 Surrey-Newton NDP safe
073 Surrey-Panorama NDP safe
074 Surrey-Serpentine River NDP safe
075 Surrey-White Rock NDP leaning
076 Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe
077 Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe
078 Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe
079 Vancouver-Langara NDP likely
080 Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP safe
081 Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe
082 Vancouver-Quilchena BCU leaning
083 Vancouver-Renfrew NDP safe
084 Vancouver-South Granville NDP safe
085 Vancouver-Strathcona NDP safe
086 Vancouver-West End NDP safe
087 Vancouver-Yaletown NDP leaning
092 West Vancouver-Capilano BCU leaning