Metro Vancouver
36 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025
Seat and vote projections — Metro Vancouver
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Metro Vancouver
36 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Methodology note.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions.
Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.
List of districts | Metro Vancouver
Latest update: December 20, 2025
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Anne Kang
|
NDP likely | |
Reah Arora
|
NDP likely | |
Janet Routledge
|
NDP likely | |
Paul Choi
|
NDP leaning | |
Raj Chouhan
|
NDP safe | |
Ravi Kahlon
|
NDP likely | |
Ian Paton
|
CPBC leaning | |
Mike Farnworth
|
NDP likely | |
Rick Glumac
|
NDP likely | |
Hon Chan
|
CPBC likely | |
Teresa Wat
|
CPBC likely | |
Steve Kooner
|
CPBC leaning | |
Kelly Greene
|
NDP leaning | |
Amna Shah
|
Toss up | |
Mandeep Dhaliwal
|
CPBC leaning | |
Brent Chapman
|
CPBC likely | |
Elenore Sturko [Elected with CP]
|
Toss up | |
Jagrup Brar
|
NDP leaning | |
Garry Begg
|
Toss up | |
Jessie Sunner
|
NDP leaning | |
Bryan Tepper
|
Toss up | |
Linda Hepner
|
Toss up | |
Trevor Halford
|
CPBC leaning | |
George Chow
|
NDP safe | |
Niki Sharma
|
NDP safe | |
Mable Elmore
|
NDP safe | |
Sunita Dhir
|
NDP leaning | |
Christine Boyle
|
NDP safe | |
David Eby
|
NDP safe | |
Dallas Brodie [Elected with CP]
|
CPBC leaning | |
Adrian Dix
|
NDP safe | |
Brenda Bailey
|
NDP safe | |
Joan Phillip
|
NDP safe | |
Spencer Chandra Herbert
|
NDP safe | |
Terry Yung
|
NDP leaning | |
Lynne Block
|
CPBC safe |