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Metro Vancouver, 35 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
27 2 2 1 32 28
0 2 0 1 3 7
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
Projected ahead Last election (2020)
32 28
3 7
0 0
0 0




Projection | Metro Vancouver


Latest update: September 26, 2023
Metro Vancouver 51% ± 6%▲ 22% ± 4%▼ 16% ± 4%▲ 10% ± 2%▼ 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 26, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Metro Vancouver, 35 districts 32▲ [30-33] 3▼ [2-5] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | September 26, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Metro Vancouver

BCU 22% ± 4% BCC 16% ± 4% NDP 51% ± 6% BCG 10% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Metro Vancouver 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Seat projection | Metro Vancouver

BCU 3 [2-5] BCC 0 [0-0] NDP 32 [30-33] Seat projection | Metro Vancouver 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: September 26, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
005 Burnaby North NDP safe
006 Burnaby-Deer Lake NDP safe
007 Burnaby-Edmonds NDP safe
008 Burnaby-Lougheed NDP safe
018 Delta North NDP safe
019 Delta South Toss up
039 New Westminster NDP safe
042 North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe
049 Port Coquitlam NDP safe
050 Port Moody-Coquitlam NDP safe
054 Richmond North Centre Toss up
055 Richmond South Centre NDP likely
056 Richmond-Queensborough NDP safe
057 Richmond-Steveston NDP safe
063 Surrey South NDP leaning
064 Surrey-Cloverdale NDP safe
065 Surrey-Fleetwood NDP safe
066 Surrey-Green Timbers NDP safe
067 Surrey-Guildford NDP safe
068 Surrey-Newton NDP safe
069 Surrey-Panorama NDP safe
070 Surrey-Whalley NDP safe
071 Surrey-White Rock NDP likely
072 Vancouver-Fairview NDP safe
073 Vancouver-False Creek NDP safe
074 Vancouver-Fraserview NDP safe
075 Vancouver-Hastings NDP safe
076 Vancouver-Kensington NDP safe
077 Vancouver-Kingsway NDP safe
078 Vancouver-Langara NDP leaning
079 Vancouver-Mount Pleasant NDP safe
080 Vancouver-Point Grey NDP safe
081 Vancouver-Quilchena BCU likely
082 Vancouver-West End NDP safe
086 West Vancouver-Capilano BCU likely
Electoral district
005 Burnaby North
006 Burnaby-Deer Lake
007 Burnaby-Edmonds
008 Burnaby-Lougheed
018 Delta North
019 Delta South
039 New Westminster
042 North Vancouver-Lonsdale
049 Port Coquitlam
050 Port Moody-Coquitlam
054 Richmond North Centre
055 Richmond South Centre
056 Richmond-Queensborough
057 Richmond-Steveston
063 Surrey South
064 Surrey-Cloverdale
065 Surrey-Fleetwood
066 Surrey-Green Timbers
067 Surrey-Guildford
068 Surrey-Newton
069 Surrey-Panorama
070 Surrey-Whalley
071 Surrey-White Rock
072 Vancouver-Fairview
073 Vancouver-False Creek
074 Vancouver-Fraserview
075 Vancouver-Hastings
076 Vancouver-Kensington
077 Vancouver-Kingsway
078 Vancouver-Langara
079 Vancouver-Mount Pleasant
080 Vancouver-Point Grey
081 Vancouver-Quilchena
082 Vancouver-West End
086 West Vancouver-Capilano