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Metro Vancouver

44 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
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British Columbia flag

Metro Vancouver

44 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Metro Vancouver 43% 55% 49% ± 6% ▼ NDP 31% 42% 37% ± 5% ▼ CPBC 5% 12% 9% ± 3% ▲ BCG 1% 7% 4% ± 3% ▲ ONE 338Canada popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Metro Vancouver, 44 federal districts 34 [25-41] NDP 9 [2-18] CPBC 1  [1-1] BCG 338Canada seat projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Metro Vancouver

CPBC 37% ± 5% NDP 49% ± 6% BCG 9% ± 3% ONE 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Metro Vancouver 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG ONE February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 47% CPBC 23% BCG 8% ONE 3% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 46% CPBC 28% BCG 7% ONE 3% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 43% CPBC 35% BCG 7% ONE 2% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 44% CPBC 32% BCG 8% ONE 2% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 45% CPBC 33% BCG 8% ONE 2% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 43% CPBC 35% BCG 8% ONE 2% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 44% CPBC 36% BCG 8% ONE 2% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 44% CPBC 36% BCG 8% ONE 2% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 8% ONE 2% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 8% ONE 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 8% ONE 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 8% ONE 1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 8% ONE 1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 8% ONE 1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 8% ONE 1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 48% CPBC 44% BCG 8% ONE 1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 50% CPBC 43% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 5% ONE 1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 50% CPBC 44% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 50% CPBC 43% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 51% CPBC 43% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 6% ONE 1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 50% CPBC 42% BCG 5% ONE 3% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 5% ONE 2% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 5% ONE 2% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 51% CPBC 42% BCG 5% ONE 3% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 50% CPBC 42% BCG 5% ONE 3% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 50% CPBC 40% BCG 5% ONE 2% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 50% CPBC 40% BCG 6% ONE 2% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 50% CPBC 39% BCG 6% ONE 3% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 49% CPBC 37% BCG 9% ONE 4% 2026-02-18

Seat projection | Metro Vancouver

CPBC 9 [2-18] NDP 34 [25-41] BCG 1 [1-1] Seat projection | Metro Vancouver 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 39 BCG 1 CPBC 0 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 37 CPBC 5 BCG 1 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 34 CPBC 9 BCG 1 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 36 CPBC 7 BCG 1 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 36 CPBC 7 BCG 1 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 35 CPBC 8 BCG 1 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 34 CPBC 10 BCG 0 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 34 CPBC 10 BCG 0 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 31 CPBC 13 BCG 0 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 31 CPBC 13 BCG 0 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 31 CPBC 13 BCG 0 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 31 CPBC 13 BCG 0 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 31 CPBC 13 BCG 0 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 30 CPBC 14 BCG 0 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 30 CPBC 14 BCG 0 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 30 CPBC 14 BCG 0 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 30 CPBC 14 BCG 0 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 29 CPBC 15 BCG 0 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 29 CPBC 15 BCG 0 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 30 CPBC 14 BCG 0 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 30 CPBC 14 BCG 0 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 34 CPBC 10 BCG 0 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 33 CPBC 11 BCG 0 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 33 CPBC 11 BCG 0 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 33 CPBC 11 BCG 0 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 34 CPBC 10 BCG 0 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 34 CPBC 10 BCG 0 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 32 CPBC 12 BCG 0 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 33 CPBC 11 BCG 0 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 29 CPBC 14 BCG 1 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 30 CPBC 13 BCG 1 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 30 CPBC 13 BCG 1 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 30 CPBC 13 BCG 1 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 29 CPBC 14 BCG 1 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 32 CPBC 11 BCG 1 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 32 CPBC 11 BCG 1 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 34 CPBC 9 BCG 1 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 34 CPBC 9 BCG 1 2026-02-18

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List of districts | Metro Vancouver
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
 Projection
Burnaby Centre
Anne Kang
 N NDP likely
Burnaby East
Reah Arora
 N NDP likely
Burnaby North
Janet Routledge
 N NDP likely
Burnaby South-Metrotown
Paul Choi
 N NDP likely
Burnaby-New Westminster
Raj Chouhan
 N NDP safe
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
Jodie Wickens
 N NDP leaning
Coquitlam-Maillardville
Jennifer Blatherwick
 N NDP likely
Delta North
Ravi Kahlon
 N NDP likely
Delta South
Ian Paton
 C CPBC leaning
Maple Ridge East
Lawrence Mok
 C NDP leaning
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
Lisa Beare
 N NDP likely
New Westminster-Coquitlam
Jennifer Whiteside
 N NDP safe
North Vancouver-Lonsdale
Bowinn Ma
 N NDP safe
North Vancouver-Seymour
Susie Chant
 N NDP safe
Port Coquitlam
Mike Farnworth
 N NDP likely
Port Moody-Burquitlam
Rick Glumac
 N NDP likely
Richmond Centre
Hon Chan
 C CPBC likely
Richmond-Bridgeport
Teresa Wat
 C CPBC likely
Richmond-Queensborough
Steve Kooner
 C Toss up
Richmond-Steveston
Kelly Greene
 N NDP leaning
Surrey City Centre
Amna Shah
 N NDP leaning
Surrey North
Mandeep Dhaliwal
 C Toss up
Surrey South
Brent Chapman
 C CPBC likely
Surrey-Cloverdale
Elenore Sturko [Elected with CP]
 I Toss up
Surrey-Fleetwood
Jagrup Brar
 N NDP leaning
Surrey-Guildford
Garry Begg
 N NDP leaning
Surrey-Newton
Jessie Sunner
 N NDP likely
Surrey-Panorama
Bryan Tepper
 C Toss up
Surrey-Serpentine River
Linda Hepner
 C Toss up
Surrey-White Rock
Trevor Halford
 C Toss up
Vancouver-Fraserview
George Chow
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Hastings
Niki Sharma
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Kensington
Mable Elmore
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Langara
Sunita Dhir
 N NDP leaning
Vancouver-Little Mountain
Christine Boyle
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Point Grey
David Eby
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Quilchena
Dallas Brodie [Elected with CP]
 O CPBC leaning
Vancouver-Renfrew
Adrian Dix
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-South Granville
Brenda Bailey
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Strathcona
Joan Phillip
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-West End
Spencer Chandra Herbert
 N NDP safe
Vancouver-Yaletown
Terry Yung
 N NDP likely
West Vancouver-Capilano
Lynne Block
 C CPBC safe
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
Jeremy Valeriote
 G GRN likely