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British columbia


Nanaimo-North Cowichan


MLA: Doug Routley (NDP)


Latest projection: February 11, 2023

NDP likely
Nanaimo-North Cowichan 47% ± 9% NDP 31% ± 9% BCG 19% ± 6% BCU 2% ± 2% BCC NDP 2020 49.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50% 100% Nanaimo-North Cowichan 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% BCU Odds of winning | February 11, 2023


Popular vote projection | Nanaimo-North Cowichan

BCU 19% ± 6% NDP 47% ± 9% BCG 31% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Nanaimo-North Cowichan 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Nanaimo-North Cowichan

BCU <1% NDP 98% BCG 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Recent electoral history | Nanaimo-North Cowichan



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 46.9% 49.5% 47% ± 9% BCG 23.9% 29.8% 31% ± 9% BCU 28.2% 20.7% 19% ± 6% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%