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Recent electoral history | Surrey-Guildford


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 45% ± 8% 49.4% 60.1% 46.9% CPBC 44% ± 8% 0.0% 0.1% 46.8% BCG 7% ± 4% 10.0% 8.0% 4.3% BCU 0% ± 0% 38.1% 30.1% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-Guildford projection

Latest update: August 17, 2026

Surrey-Guildford 37% 53% 45% ± 8% NDP 36% 52% 44% ± 8% CPBC 3% 10% 7% ± 4% BCG NDP 2024 46.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-Guildford 58%▲ NDP 42%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Surrey-Guildford

Odds of winning | Surrey-Guildford