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Surrey-Guildford

Latest update: December 20, 2025
N
MLA: Garry Begg
New Democratic Party
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Recent electoral history | Surrey-Guildford


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 47% ± 9% 49.4% 60.1% 46.9% CPBC 45% ± 9% 0.0% 0.1% 46.8% BCG 5% ± 4% 10.0% 8.0% 4.3% BCU 0% ± 0% 38.1% 30.1% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-Guildford projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Surrey-Guildford 38% 56% 47% ± 9% NDP 36% 54% 45% ± 9% CPBC 1% 9% 5% ± 4% BCG NDP 2024 46.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-Guildford 61%▲ NDP 39%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Surrey-Guildford

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 45% ± 9% NDP 47% ± 9% BCG 5% ± 4% ONE 2% ± 2% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Surrey-Guildford 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 54% CPBC 21% BCU 16% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 52% CPBC 27% BCU 13% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 48% CPBC 35% BCU 9% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 50% CPBC 33% BCU 10% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 50% CPBC 33% BCU 9% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 49% CPBC 35% BCU 8% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 49% CPBC 36% BCU 7% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 49% CPBC 36% BCU 7% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 53% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 50% CPBC 40% BCG 5% BCU 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 50% CPBC 40% BCG 5% BCU 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 51% CPBC 44% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 51% CPBC 44% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 51% CPBC 44% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 52% CPBC 44% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 52% CPBC 44% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 53% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 53% CPBC 42% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 53% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 52% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 53% CPBC 42% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 53% CPBC 43% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 52% CPBC 42% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 53% CPBC 42% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 47% NDP 47% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 47% CPBC 47% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 47% CPBC 47% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 47% CPBC 47% BCG 4% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCG 4% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 47% CPBC 45% BCG 5% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 47% CPBC 45% BCG 5% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Surrey-Guildford

BCU <1% CPBC 39% NDP 61% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 81% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 69% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 22% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 32% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 16% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 17% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 12% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 39% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 91% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 97% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 51% CPBC 49% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 51% CPBC 49% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 52% CPBC 48% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 60% CPBC 40% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 61% CPBC 39% BCG <1% 2024-09-26