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British columbia

Vancouver-Quilchena


Latest projection: October 2, 2024
CPBC safe

Candidates | Vancouver-Quilchena


BC NDP Callista Ryan
Conservative Party of BC Dallas Brodie
BC Green Party Michael Barkusky
Independent Caroline Ying-Mei Wang

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Vancouver-Quilchena 58% ± 7%▲ CPBC 30% ± 6%▼ NDP 12% ± 4% BCG LIB 2020 56.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 2, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Quilchena >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 2, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Vancouver-Quilchena

CPBC 58% ± 7% NDP 30% ± 6% BCG 12% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver-Quilchena 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 14% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 58% NDP 30% BCG 12% 2024-10-02

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Quilchena

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-02

Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Quilchena



2017 2020 Proj. CPBC 0.0% 0.0% 58% ± 7% NDP 27.3% 28.5% 30% ± 6% BCG 14.2% 14.6% 12% ± 4% BCU 57.3% 56.8% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.