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Vancouver-Quilchena

Latest update: February 18, 2026
O
MLA: Dallas Brodie
OneBC
CPBC leaning
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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Quilchena


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 43% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 51.6% NDP 39% ± 8% 27.3% 28.5% 38.9% BCG 11% ± 5% 14.2% 14.6% 7.8% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 57.3% 56.8% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-Quilchena projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Vancouver-Quilchena 35% 50% 43% ± 8% ▼ CPBC 32% 47% 39% ± 8% ▼ NDP 6% 16% 11% ± 5% ▲ BCG 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE CPBC 2024 51.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Quilchena 73% CPBC 27% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Vancouver-Quilchena

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 43% ± 8% NDP 39% ± 8% BCG 11% ± 5% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 2% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver-Quilchena 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 BCU 33% NDP 27% CPBC 26% BCG 12% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 32% BCU 29% NDP 26% BCG 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 40% NDP 24% BCU 24% BCG 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 37% NDP 25% BCU 25% BCG 12% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 38% NDP 25% BCU 23% BCG 12% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 41% NDP 24% BCU 20% BCG 13% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 41% NDP 25% BCU 20% BCG 13% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 42% NDP 25% BCU 19% BCG 12% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 55% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 57% NDP 30% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 58% NDP 30% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 58% NDP 30% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 58% NDP 30% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 58% NDP 30% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 56% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 57% NDP 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 56% NDP 31% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 56% NDP 31% BCG 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 56% NDP 31% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 55% NDP 31% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 55% NDP 31% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 55% NDP 31% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 54% NDP 31% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 54% NDP 32% BCG 14% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 51% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 47% NDP 40% BCG 8% ONE 5% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 48% NDP 39% BCG 8% ONE 5% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 46% NDP 40% BCG 8% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 46% NDP 40% BCG 9% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 44% NDP 40% BCG 9% ONE 5% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 43% NDP 39% BCG 11% ONE 5% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Quilchena

BCU <1% CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 21% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 21% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 20% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 45% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 12% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 60% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 96% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 78% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 78% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-27